- Joined
- Oct 7, 2011
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With how ugly that tournament was, we have a top 10 offense but an 82 defense. That’s a heck of a lot of room for growth.
handle/opposite of postWith how ugly that tournament was, we have a top 10 offense but an 82 defense. That’s a heck of a lot of room for growth.
that's what gets me about so many people complaining about what we need to do to score more. We're scoring just fine, even if it's not the world-beating offense we're used to...it's the dumster fire on defense that's killing us.With how ugly that tournament was, we have a top 10 offense but an 82 defense. That’s a heck of a lot of room for growth.
Buddy of mine shared an interesting theory. Fewer teams seem to foul in the last minute, and the theory is that fouling late is more likely to turn an 8 point lead into a 14 point loss than it is to result in a win. KenPom and NET punish 10+ point losses, so a close loss is better than chasing a 10% chance of a win.
Net and Kenpom don’t have some special penalty for 10+ point losses. Obviously closer is better but it’s not like you hit 10 and it’s exponentially worse than 9.Buddy of mine shared an interesting theory. Fewer teams seem to foul in the last minute, and the theory is that fouling late is more likely to turn an 8 point lead into a 14 point loss than it is to result in a win. KenPom and NET punish 10+ point losses, so a close loss is better than chasing a 10% chance of a win.
that's correct.The NET used to cap margin of victory in the model at 10 in a piece of the model, but I think they eliminated that part of it.