Kenpom

[CTpessimist]

With how ugly that tournament was, we have a top 10 offense but an 82 defense. That’s a heck of a lot of room for growth.

 

[HooperScooper]

With how ugly that tournament was, we have a top 10 offense but an 82 defense. That’s a heck of a lot of room for growth.

handle/opposite of post

 

[uh-no]

With how ugly that tournament was, we have a top 10 offense but an 82 defense. That’s a heck of a lot of room for growth.

that's what gets me about so many people complaining about what we need to do to score more. We're scoring just fine, even if it's not the world-beating offense we're used to...it's the dumster fire on defense that's killing us.

If you want it even worse, if you include just the regular season data (discluding preseason bias), trank has us as #13 offense and #218 defense.

Frankly, I don't want to hear a word about what we want to do on offense until we get that straightened out.

The fact that we largely mailed it in vs Dayton didn't help. Team is in their own head now...and Dan Hurley have to fix his own before he can help fix the team's.

 

[nelsonmuntz]

Buddy of mine shared an interesting theory. Fewer teams seem to foul in the last minute, and the theory is that fouling late is more likely to turn an 8 point lead into a 14 point loss than it is to result in a win. KenPom and NET punish 10+ point losses, so a close loss is better than chasing a 10% chance of a win.

 

[nelsonmuntz]

Buddy of mine shared an interesting theory. Fewer teams seem to foul in the last minute, and the theory is that fouling late is more likely to turn an 8 point lead into a 14 point loss than it is to result in a win. KenPom and NET punish 10+ point losses, so a close loss is better than chasing a 10% chance of a win.

Cincinnati didn’t foul at the end of the game tonight despite it being inside 10 points under a minute left.

 

[pj]

Given that Hurley said he was teaching offense in the summer and would install defense later, #10 offense and #82 defense is about what you should expect from a team with limited experience playing together.

 

[Hurleyman216]

We all know Hurley is a defensive coach, so I expect the defense will get fixed within the next 4-6 weeks. Won’t be overnight, but I’m guessing we’ll have a top 20 defense by March.

 

[7774]

Buddy of mine shared an interesting theory. Fewer teams seem to foul in the last minute, and the theory is that fouling late is more likely to turn an 8 point lead into a 14 point loss than it is to result in a win. KenPom and NET punish 10+ point losses, so a close loss is better than chasing a 10% chance of a win.

Net and Kenpom don’t have some special penalty for 10+ point losses. Obviously closer is better but it’s not like you hit 10 and it’s exponentially worse than 9.

 

[auror]

The NET used to cap margin of victory in the model at 10 in a piece of the model, but I think they eliminated that part of it.

 

[uh-no]

The NET used to cap margin of victory in the model at 10 in a piece of the model, but I think they eliminated that part of it.

that's correct.