Right after Griner, Delladon and Diggins? Seems a might high for someone that probably won't make AA. No team needs a glue player that bad. How bout 4th or 5th pick in the 2nd round?
LOL good one. If you read what I wrote... " I believe she will be a first round pick, possibly as high as 4th or 5th, especially if she has more games like the one last night.".
Meaning as it stands now, I believe she will be a first round pick. IF she has more games like the one vs. Colgate (17 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 3 steals), then yeah - I think she could go as high as 4th or 5th. And by the way, her stats are at least as good, if not better, than Diggins so far this year.
I'm certainly not saying I believe Kelly will be drafted above Griner or EDD, or Diggins for that matter. But name 10 players you'd draft ahead of Kelly this year. Name even 5 players. I can think of 3 - Griner, EDD and Diggins. After that, who? Walker (UCLA)? Reed? Oliver? Smith (SJU)? Williams (Baylor)? Ruffin-Pratt? Taylor Hill (OSU)? Tinkle? Hassell (Georgia)? Spani?
Smith is having a terrific year for SJU - 21 PPG but she plays 38 minutes per game. Give Kelly 38 minutes how do you think she'd do? Same for Hill at OSU - 19 PPG in 35 MPG. I haven't checked the others, but I'm betting if they are averaging over 15 PPG it's because they are playing over 30 MPG...
If you look at other "seniors" who have better numbers on teams the caliber of James Madison or other mid major types, they may not have even 1 player besides their "star" who averages double figures in scoring, and I bet that star takes 15-20 shots per game. They are being asked to shoot and score and do that much for their teams.
Kelly is averaging 4.7 shot attempts per game. In only 24 minutes per game. She's incredibly efficient and on a lesser team could easily be averaging 20 PPG. But that's not what is generally asked of her (to be a scorer). Put Kelly on any mid major and she'd be a huge star on that team.
Bottom line I think she goes in the first round. How high depends on how she scores this year...