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Duke was lead by freshmen - AZ isn’t. This field is also not nearly as good. Duke also had that game in the bag and blew it. Played good enough to win.By that logic the sophomores are juniors, the juniors are seniors, the seniors are 5th year seniors and the 5th year seniors are professionals. So still more experience than a freshman.
Let's revisit this in March. Just one example, and they got very far, but I think Duke lost in the Final Four last year because they were inexperienced. Would you be satisfied if Arizona got to the Final Four and lost? That's a pretty good run but I'm just saying I wouldn't pick Arizona to win it all.
That said, I don’t know if I’d pick AZ either. They’re simply playing the best ball right now. I’m honestly not sure who is the clear cut favorite as of now, a number of teams in the same boat.