CL82
NCAA Woman's Basketball National Champions
- Joined
- Aug 24, 2011
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- 63,680
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Yeah, in the absence of more complete information, your inclination is to say everything's the same even though the numbers would seem to indicate otherwise. I'm inclined to disagree, but the data isn't out there to quantify it 100%.800 kids getting scholarships pulled, no. There are a multitude of reasons that make up that number. Kids walked away from basketball or moved down to D3 before the transfer portal and the same things are happening now. If you can play, you'll get a scholarship, the same as it was before the portal.
These scholarships aren't disappearing, someone is using them. I'd be curious to see this number in a few years, because I think these numbers are being heavily influenced by the Covid seniors. Even just doing rough math, theres ~4700 scholarships for college basketball with 363 teams, so a little under 1200 per year assuming an even split pre-Covid. Every year the majority of that 1200 would graduate and move on, and a new freshman class would come in. Now all of a sudden you're seeing a 15-25% increase in the player pool when half the senior class returns for a 5th year
Keep in mind that there are a lot of kids who don't see playing time but stay at a college for various reasons. The portal is an inducement for them to throw their hat in the ring, and sometimes they're going to come up empty. That's unfortunate and not in their best interest.
In any event, I think we both thoroughly understand each other's positions. I don't see a whole lot of point in continuing the discussion. Not that I mind it, but I suspect it is boring to everyone but the two of us.