I want to be sure I understand. Are you saying three years beyond, not including, this year? If so, and, if he fails to produce an NCAA team 5 years straight, I don't think you simply fire him. I think you shoot his arse out of a cannon at that point.
For me, if he fails to get us into the NCAAs three years straight, he either gets the axe then or you give him one more year to not only make the dance but at least make it to the second weekend. No way do you let this go more than 4 years.
So basically, no coach but like 5 or 6 in the country should be fired after a few years of coaching? That's preposterous. You realize your expectations are so far out of wack with reality, you'll never, ever be happy with the program again.
There's only 11 current coaches with NCs on their resume:
Bill Self;Jim Boeheim;John Calipari;Kevin Ollie;Larry Brown;Mike Krzyzewski;Rick Pitino;Roy Williams;Steve Fisher;Tom Izzo;Tubby Smith
Most of these guys are HOF coaches. And most fail your incredibly stringent championship requirement.
And here's the ALL TIME list for coaches with multiple NCs--only 13 ever. There's only two active. And Ollie would be one of these if he won another.
John Wooden 10 1964, 1965, 1967, 1968, 1969, 1970, 1971, 1972, 1973, 1975
Adolph Rupp 4 1948, 1949, 1951, 1958
Mike Krzyzewski 4 1991, 1992, 2001, 2010
Bob Knight 3 1976, 1981, 1987
Jim Calhoun 3 1999, 2004, 2011
Dean Smith 2 1982, 1993
Roy Williams 2 2005, 2009
Denny Crum 2 1980, 1986
Billy Donovan 2 2006, 2007
Ed Jucker 2 1961, 1962
Henry Iba 2 1945, 1946
Phil Woolpert 2 1955, 1956
Branch McCracken 2