Huskies -15.5 vs Iowa

[VaConnFan11]

I know 15 points sounds like a lot, but if UConn wins every quarter by just 4 points, they cover and in most people's minds would be considered a relatively close game.

 

[LoboDays]

The bookmakers are usually pretty good in finding a number that entices bets on both teams. I guessed 12 then went to 14 assuming AE would start. NICA’s status won’t impact the line. Paige, AE, ONO would. And, of course Caitlin.

Many people on this board are in love with Nica. Understandable, since who could not love the way she plays. But, IMO, she is a 6 or 7 on this team. Maybe she starts the Iowa game because of her defensive ability and the player they are facing but the best starting 5 is the one we saw against Syracuse and the one needed against Baylor and, hopefully beyond.

 

[Junkaroo Jam]

To all BY I was taught the Books are not in business to lose money. Just like the casino's here in ct. they are not in business to lose money. Oddsmakers are in business to make money and sometimes it's our money that they make.

 

[bluedevil]

Connecticut has won 11 National Championship games by an average of 16 points. 15-1/2 is not out of line for a Sweet Sixteen game.

True but not one Uconn player has won a title. So not sure how important that stat is..yes I know Geno has coached 11 Natl championships..is that what you mean?

 

[MSGRET]

That’s not how odds work. Oddsmakers try to set odds so that half the bettors bet on one team and the other half bets on the the other. They aren’t setting their perceived margin of victory; they’re trying to predict bettors behavior. That’s why odds will move - if too many people start betting on one team, the odds will move to even out the bets.

Okay Nan, which sports book do you work for out here in Vegas? Not too many people know that, they think that the sports books are are setting a perceived margin of victory.

 

[LoboDays]

They did a good job picking the number. Moved up half point to 16.

 

[CL82]

Wow! That seems like a huge line. If I had some extra cash lying around and were in Vegas, I might be tempted to place a bet. I expect UCONN to win straight up but by more than 15?

Never bet against UConn, even if it is only ATS. It's just bad mojo.

 

[RegisteredUconn]

Wow! That seems like a huge line. If I had some extra cash lying around and were in Vegas, I might be tempted to place a bet. I expect UCONN to win straight up but by more than 15?

Fortunately you ended up in exactly the same position as you started. You had no extra cash, ergo you didn't bet against UConn -17.something in which case you would have had no extra cash. So extra cash/no extra cash equals no extra cash, which is where you started.

 

[lakelorain$]

Iowa played pretty well and still lost by 20. UConn had a huge advantage in talent.