Hunt for the CFP

[shizzle787]

Michigan St. Lost for the second time.
31 teams remain.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

While I agree for the most part with the premise that two losses will eliminate a P-5 school, there may be years where a two loss P-5 gets in.

There will never be a year where fewer than three P-5 schools make it (and that would be only in stray years with an exceptional G-5 who had enough quality P-5 wins while simultaneously there were not four P-5's to place above them).
If there aren't enough one or fewer loss P-5's, a two loss P-5 will sneak in.

 

[Sky ball]

While I agree for the most part with the premise that two losses will eliminate a P-5 school, there may be years where a two loss P-5 gets in.

There will never be a year where fewer than three P-5 schools make it (and that would be only in stray years with an exceptional G-5 who had enough quality P-5 wins while simultaneously there were not four P-5's to place above them).
If there aren't enough one or fewer loss P-5's, a two loss P-5 will sneak in.

If there were ever 2 G5 teams that made the playoffs they would play each other 1st round. Imagine two G5 teams beating Bama and Ohio state in the 1st round and two G5's playing for NC?. The apple cart would topple over.

 

[shizzle787]

If there were ever 2 G5 teams that made the playoffs they would play each other 1st round. Imagine two G5 teams beating Bama and Ohio state in the 1st round and two G5's playing for NC?. The apple cart would topple over.

That would never happen, though. You would need at least 3 P5 conferences and ND to have no body with less than two losses.

 

[shizzle787]

Houston and Air Force lost.
UNC, Texas Tech, Indiana, Minnesota, Colorado, Arkansas all lost for the second time.
23 teams remain.

 

[Vowelguy]

Houston and Air Force lost.
UNC, Texas Tech, Indiana, Minnesota, Colorado, Arkansas all lost for the second time.
23 teams remain.

P5
ACC (6) - Louisville, Clemson, Wake, NC St / VaTech, Miami*
B12 (2) - Baylor, WVa
B10 (5) - Michigan, Maryland, OhioSt / Wisc, Nebr
PAC (4) - Stanford*, Wash / Utah*, ArizSt*
SEC (4) - Tenn, Fla / Alabama, TAMU

G5
MAC (1) - W Mich
MTN (1) - Boise

p5 teams in bold are undefeated
* game in progress

 

[Vowelguy]

As of right now, we're looking at
Alabama v Washington
Clemson v Ohio St/Michigan winner

waiting in the wings: Baylor/WV winner, Texas A&M, Ohio St/Mich loser, Louisville

 

[brasssbonanzaa]

As of right now, we're looking at
Alabama v Washington
Clemson v Ohio St/Michigan winner

waiting in the wings: Baylor/WV winner, Texas A&M, Ohio St/Mich loser, Louisville

If the game is close, I would not be surprised by the OSU/UM loser getting in.

 

[shizzle787]

Stanford lost for the second time.
22 teams remain.

 

[huskypantz]

As of right now, we're looking at
Alabama v Washington
Clemson v Ohio St/Michigan winner

waiting in the wings: Baylor/WV winner, Texas A&M, Ohio St/Mich loser, Louisville

Agreed. UM/OSU loser and TAMU probably waiting in the wings at 5 and 6, respectively.

On another note, don't look now but here comes BSU after the "best of the rest" bowl spot. Houston has the tougher schedule but it's conceivable that BSU could run the table here.

 

[shizzle787]

Agreed. UM/OSU loser and TAMU probably waiting in the wings at 5 and 6, respectively.

On another note, don't look now but here comes BSU after the "best of the rest" bowl spot. Houston has the tougher schedule but it's conceivable that BSU could run the table here.

Boise St. still has BYU and Air Force away so I would be somewhat surprised if they won out.

 

[huskypantz]

Boise St. still has BYU and Air Force away so I would be somewhat surprised if they won out.

They definitely need to lose one of those two, maybe both. Houston has 3 tough games left vs UL, @Memphis and probably the championship game. The option possibility we have is for someone like USF to run the table or lose 1, which would give the AAC champ a nice SOS bump and a second team that could jump BSU.

 

[Vowelguy]

On another note, don't look now but here comes BSU after the "best of the rest" bowl spot. Houston has the tougher schedule but it's conceivable that BSU could run the table here.

Spot goes to highest rated conference champ, so first Houston needs Navy to lose. Possibly twice depending American tiebreaker.

 

[shizzle787]

They definitely need to lose one of those two, maybe both. Houston has 3 tough games left vs UL, @Memphis and probably the championship game. The option possibility we have is for someone like USF to run the table or lose 1, which would give the AAC champ a nice SOS bump and a second team that could jump BSU.

There's another scenario (for us). If we win out (which would require winning the USF game especially, BC not important for CCG) and USF loses once more, we go to the CCG. I doubt we go to the NY6 game, but if W. Michigan and Boise St. both lose twice, we could get in at 10-3 (a pipe dream I realize).

 

[Dream Jobbed 2.0]

They definitely need to lose one of those two, maybe both. Houston has 3 tough games left vs UL, @Memphis and probably the championship game. The option possibility we have is for someone like USF to run the table or lose 1, which would give the AAC champ a nice SOS bump and a second team that could jump BSU.

Well USF is getting punched in the mouth next week. Sorry AAC!

 

[Vowelguy]

P5
ACC (6) - Louisville, Clemson, Wake, NC St / VaTech, Miami
B12 (2) - Baylor, WVa
B10 (5) - Michigan, Maryland, OhioSt / Wisc, Nebr
PAC (3) - Wash / Utah, ArizSt
SEC (4) - Tenn, Fla / Alabama, TAMU

G5
MAC (1) - W Mich
MTN (1) - Boise

p5 teams in bold are undefeated

 

[shizzle787]

Maryland lost for the second time.
21 teams remain.

 

[Jimmy Serrano]

Clemson in big trouble.

 

[Jimmy Serrano]

Clemson in big trouble.

Boneyard jinx.

 

[shizzle787]

Awesome job there.

 

[Scoe]

Clemson in big trouble.

Don't ever mess with the mojo ever.

 

[ASweet3781]

There is some bad late game coaching in college football. NC State just showed that again.

 

[shizzle787]

There is some bad late game coaching in college football. NC State just showed that again.

Should have made a 33 yard FG regardless.

 

[Scoe]

There is some bad late game coaching in college football. NC State just showed that again.

The 1st down play wtf were they thinking run the ball up the middle if they stop you kick the field goal, 4 yard difference on the road is huge psychologically for a college kicker.

 

[ASweet3781]

There is some bad late game coaching in college football. NC State just showed that again.

If you have a bad kicker, which they do, a 33 yarder on the road is a lot harder than a 29 yarder that he would have taken had they not gone for a pass play on 1st down. They were moving the ball on the ground. They had time for 2 more run plays. They'd be looking at around a 25 yard FG if they simply ran the ball. Huge difference.