He's going to be coaching the same team right? The one that can't block, run, throw, or tackle?
You can't hang this team's performance on just "poor coaching".
Rookie coach starting a freshman QB...even if the O-line suddenly remembers how to block, expecting more than 2/3 wins is just ludicrous. Chalking up 4 automatic wins over 4 "lousy" teams is a bit of a stretch I think. Four teams that are 3-16 are going to be very competitive games for a team that's 0-4. Poor coaching may have only made a mediocre team bad. With better coaching is this 10-18 team 14-14, 18-10? I really hope over the next 8 games to find out that the talent on this team really is better than 10-18.
If Weist gets 2/3 wins and at least competes on the field he may get an interview and an Ollie-like prove it to me contract for next year. "Proven" coaches aren't going to be knocking on the door here. The notion of some big name or highly regarded assistant coming to UConn is just fantasy. Big names are only going to places where the table is already set for them. Any assistant from any school is going to be the same unknown quantity TJ is.
No matter what Warde says about wins, if he sees 8 Michigan-like efforts, regardless of the record, TJ will get a fair shot at the job.
To answer the question; rookie coach, rookie QB, and overall talent level that's still to be determined, 2/3 wins and competitive play I'd give TJ another year, maybe two. I'd want to see how he recruits before making longer commitment.