I like the VAMike's and DaddyChoc's posts for reasons not easy to explain.
We all know that the two teams match up evenly. The best player on the floor plays for Notre Dame. The best player in the previous three meetings between these two teams plays for Notre Dame. UConn has the better players overall and should win. UConn has the more successful coach. So, breaking down the matchups is futile. My prediction, then, will be based upon unSpock-like logic. It will be the guess he made in the fourth movie transporting the whales into the future.
The guess, however, can be explained.
1. Notre Dame is 3-0 against UConn in national semifinals. For UConn to win, something's gotta give.
2. No team in WCBB has beaten an opponent four times in one season. For Notre Dame to defy the odds, something's gotta give.
3. Notre Dame depends highly upon just one freshman, Big East POY, Jewel Lloyd. UConn depends upon three freshman, one of whom is the point guard; A move that had to be made, and it has been successful. However, history has not been kind to freshman point guards. Point all you want to Kristi Tolliver's game against Duke in 2006 and I will counter that argument with her 6-18 shooting performance. For UConn to win with a freshman point guard, something's gotta give.
4. Notre Dame has two first team All Americans, UConn has two first team All Americans. However, UConn's All Americans are front court players, one of whom is playing with a stress fracture. Notre Dame's All Americans are in the backcourt. Games at this level tend to be won in the backcourt. For UConn to overcome Notre Dame's two stellar backcourt All Americans, something's gotta give.
5. UConn has three very significant X factors; Kelly Faris, Bria Hartley, and Morgan Tuck. An outstanding game from two of three X factors, well within the realm of possibility, swings the tide in favor of the Huskies. For Notre Dame to overcome a decided X factor disadvantage, something's gotta give.
In the history of college sports, there has never been a more fortunate/luckier program than Notre Dame. For Notre Dame to even have a chance at the national championship, an improbable series of events had to occur. The most improbable, Baylor's elimination has already occurred. Winning a fourth time against UConn? We will find out tomorrow. This comes down to Notre Dame luck and the Skylar Diggins legacy. A consensus of UConn fans aside, Ms Diggins does not carry the baggage of ill will that the all time leading shot blocker from Baylor has been forced to endure for four years. As the dearly departed Big Dipper from Philadelphia can attest, no one roots for Goliath.
So, based on the incredible luck of the Irish and 3 of 5 above factors favoring Notre Dame, the biggest of which, being their stellar backcourt, Notre Dame wins the national semifinal and runs the table.
Notre Dame 74
Connecticut 67