cferraro04
Sensei
- Joined
- Aug 26, 2011
- Messages
- 2,094
- Reaction Score
- 9,662
GENERAL COMMENTS:
Looking forward to watching this game in hopes that Azzi will have shaken off some of the rust. It is only her 2nd game back...it is going to take some time...but, I expect to see her improving each game until she is back in form. This Oregon team really would have been pretty good had not Regan Beers transferred out. So far this season it hasn't been too pretty, they are 1 and 4 and they are only averaging 60.6 points while giving up 70.8 points per game...a pretty anemic offense...which won't bode well against UConn's potent offense. They are not as of yet a good three-point shooting team only averaging 4.4 threes per game. They turn the ball over frequently at a clip of 16.6 turnovers per game and in doing so they give up 18.2 points off turnovers. Thus far this season they have been somewhat unimpressive on defense only creating 10.0 turnovers off of 6.0 steals per game.
What Oregon does have going for it is it has a lot of experience they will start four seniors and one sophomore. Their bench is not that deep with three freshmen, one sophomore, one Jr., and one senior coming off the bench. They do have some good height in that they start 6'7", 6'5", 6'1", 6'0" and 5'10". The first three players off the bench are all guards at 5'10", 5'11", and 5'8". I think that Oregon State will have a difficult time playing an uptempo game that UConn is likely to present.
PLAYER ANALYSIS:
Ice Brady, 6'3" Sophomore vs Sela Heide, 6'7" Senior - Sela has good size and is capable of a double-double but will more than likely face difficulty in accomplishing that task against UConn's defense. Sela averages 10.6 points and 4.4 rebounds per game. Ice will have to keep Sela off the glass and depend on her speed and agility to finish around the basket. Ice averages 7.8 points and 3.8 rebounds per game. She also contributes in the offense by making some good passes and is averaging 2.0 assists per game. While statistically they are almost even I believe UConn's team defense is going to make it extremely difficult for Sela to hit her averages. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Sarah Strong, 6'2" Freshman vs Kelsey Rees, 6'5" Senior - Kelsey is a very good player who averages 10.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, and one block per game. She is capable of hitting a three if she is left open. But, I believe that Sarah Strong is getting more and more comfortable in the UConn offense with each game she plays. We saw her find her comfort zone with the three-ball last game. She is becoming quite the stat-stuffer and has a great all-around game. Sarah averages 16 points, 8.0 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 2.5 steals, and 2.0 blocks per game. She also knocks down 1.5 threes per game. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Paige Bueckers, 6'0 senior vs A.J Marotte, 6'1" senior - A.J Marotti is a big guard so while she isn't much of a scoring threat averaging 8.4 points per game Paige's size is a good fit for this match-up. AJ also averages 3.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. She also shoots approximately one three per game. If this is indeed the match-up AJ will probably be facing the best player she has ever played against. Paige is currently averaging a quiet 20.0 points, 5 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 2.8 steals per game. And even though she is only averaging 2.0 three-pointers per game...you just know it is only a matter of time before she has an explosive night from the three. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Ashlynn Shade, 5'10" sophomore vs Catarina Ferreira, 6'0" senior - This should be an interesting match-up for Ashlynn. Catarina is a pretty good all-around player. Ashlynn will need to guard her close. Catarina averages 10.8 points, 6.4 rebounds, 1,8 assists, and 1.2 steals while hitting 1.0 three-pointers per game. Ashlynn is playing well this season but I believe she has not hit her stride yet. Ashlynn averages 8.5 points, 2.3 rebounds, 1.8 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Ashlynn is hitting 1.5 three-pointers per game. While both Catarina and Ashlynn statistically are pretty close, I think Catarina is a stronger rebounder. ADVANTAGE - EVEN
Kaitlyn Chen, 5'9" graduate vs Kennedie Shuler, 5'10" sophomore - Kennedie is also a pretty good all-around player. Kennedie is averaging 10.6 points, 4.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1 steal per game. Kaitlyn is averaging 8.0 points, 2.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. These players are almost statistically identical. However, when you look at the difference in the competition each player has faced this season Kaitlyn is accomplishing her stats against stronger competition while she is on the floor with a better complimenting cast of players. It is going to be interesting to watch Kennedie chase Kaitlyn around...Kaitlyn is in constant motion, she never stops. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
BENCH:
UConn has the "X" factor on the bench, Azzi Fudd...when does she start hitting her stride...she came out of high school as the number one recruit in the land, so we know it is just a matter of time. Even without Fudd UConn will bring in 25.3 points and 15.4 rebounds off the bench...so anything that Azzi contributes will just be gravy. Oregon State will bring 10.6 points and 8.6 rebounds off the bench. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
COACHING:
Geno and Chris are the winningest coaches in the history of the game both men and women. They will be adding another win to their already unmatchable record. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
INTANGIBLES
The game will be played on a neutral court so there is no home-court advantage...but UConn is too quick, too talented, and too deep for Oregon State.
ADVANTAGE - UCONN
UCONN - 95
OREGON STATE - 49
MOV - 46
Looking forward to watching this game in hopes that Azzi will have shaken off some of the rust. It is only her 2nd game back...it is going to take some time...but, I expect to see her improving each game until she is back in form. This Oregon team really would have been pretty good had not Regan Beers transferred out. So far this season it hasn't been too pretty, they are 1 and 4 and they are only averaging 60.6 points while giving up 70.8 points per game...a pretty anemic offense...which won't bode well against UConn's potent offense. They are not as of yet a good three-point shooting team only averaging 4.4 threes per game. They turn the ball over frequently at a clip of 16.6 turnovers per game and in doing so they give up 18.2 points off turnovers. Thus far this season they have been somewhat unimpressive on defense only creating 10.0 turnovers off of 6.0 steals per game.
What Oregon does have going for it is it has a lot of experience they will start four seniors and one sophomore. Their bench is not that deep with three freshmen, one sophomore, one Jr., and one senior coming off the bench. They do have some good height in that they start 6'7", 6'5", 6'1", 6'0" and 5'10". The first three players off the bench are all guards at 5'10", 5'11", and 5'8". I think that Oregon State will have a difficult time playing an uptempo game that UConn is likely to present.
PLAYER ANALYSIS:
Ice Brady, 6'3" Sophomore vs Sela Heide, 6'7" Senior - Sela has good size and is capable of a double-double but will more than likely face difficulty in accomplishing that task against UConn's defense. Sela averages 10.6 points and 4.4 rebounds per game. Ice will have to keep Sela off the glass and depend on her speed and agility to finish around the basket. Ice averages 7.8 points and 3.8 rebounds per game. She also contributes in the offense by making some good passes and is averaging 2.0 assists per game. While statistically they are almost even I believe UConn's team defense is going to make it extremely difficult for Sela to hit her averages. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Sarah Strong, 6'2" Freshman vs Kelsey Rees, 6'5" Senior - Kelsey is a very good player who averages 10.2 points, 6.8 rebounds, and one block per game. She is capable of hitting a three if she is left open. But, I believe that Sarah Strong is getting more and more comfortable in the UConn offense with each game she plays. We saw her find her comfort zone with the three-ball last game. She is becoming quite the stat-stuffer and has a great all-around game. Sarah averages 16 points, 8.0 rebounds, 4.8 assists, 2.5 steals, and 2.0 blocks per game. She also knocks down 1.5 threes per game. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Paige Bueckers, 6'0 senior vs A.J Marotte, 6'1" senior - A.J Marotti is a big guard so while she isn't much of a scoring threat averaging 8.4 points per game Paige's size is a good fit for this match-up. AJ also averages 3.6 rebounds and 3.6 assists per game. She also shoots approximately one three per game. If this is indeed the match-up AJ will probably be facing the best player she has ever played against. Paige is currently averaging a quiet 20.0 points, 5 rebounds, 4.3 assists, and 2.8 steals per game. And even though she is only averaging 2.0 three-pointers per game...you just know it is only a matter of time before she has an explosive night from the three. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
Ashlynn Shade, 5'10" sophomore vs Catarina Ferreira, 6'0" senior - This should be an interesting match-up for Ashlynn. Catarina is a pretty good all-around player. Ashlynn will need to guard her close. Catarina averages 10.8 points, 6.4 rebounds, 1,8 assists, and 1.2 steals while hitting 1.0 three-pointers per game. Ashlynn is playing well this season but I believe she has not hit her stride yet. Ashlynn averages 8.5 points, 2.3 rebounds, 1.8 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Ashlynn is hitting 1.5 three-pointers per game. While both Catarina and Ashlynn statistically are pretty close, I think Catarina is a stronger rebounder. ADVANTAGE - EVEN
Kaitlyn Chen, 5'9" graduate vs Kennedie Shuler, 5'10" sophomore - Kennedie is also a pretty good all-around player. Kennedie is averaging 10.6 points, 4.4 rebounds, 3.6 assists, and 1 steal per game. Kaitlyn is averaging 8.0 points, 2.3 rebounds, 4.5 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. These players are almost statistically identical. However, when you look at the difference in the competition each player has faced this season Kaitlyn is accomplishing her stats against stronger competition while she is on the floor with a better complimenting cast of players. It is going to be interesting to watch Kennedie chase Kaitlyn around...Kaitlyn is in constant motion, she never stops. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
BENCH:
UConn has the "X" factor on the bench, Azzi Fudd...when does she start hitting her stride...she came out of high school as the number one recruit in the land, so we know it is just a matter of time. Even without Fudd UConn will bring in 25.3 points and 15.4 rebounds off the bench...so anything that Azzi contributes will just be gravy. Oregon State will bring 10.6 points and 8.6 rebounds off the bench. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
COACHING:
Geno and Chris are the winningest coaches in the history of the game both men and women. They will be adding another win to their already unmatchable record. ADVANTAGE - UCONN
INTANGIBLES
The game will be played on a neutral court so there is no home-court advantage...but UConn is too quick, too talented, and too deep for Oregon State.
ADVANTAGE - UCONN
UCONN - 95
OREGON STATE - 49
MOV - 46
