Game Analysis - Game 12 - UConn vs Iowa

[NEforceUConn]

Great analysis. Really appreciate your doing this every game, especially in front of a tough audience! Go Huskies.

Bleed Blue.

 

[cferraro04]

Just one more small point in Serah vs Heiden: Whatever difference in stats, figure in that Heiden plays 23.5 minutes per game as opposed to 18 per game for Serah.

I don't disagree with you that more minutes means elevated stats. But, I do have a question for you to ponder: What do you see changing in this game with regard to allocated minutes? I think it might be more likely, assuming Heiden doesn't get into foul trouble, that she may see more minutes. Also, what does the loss of Emaly Rodriguez do to Iowa's distribution of minutes?

 

[cferraro04]

Since this analysis took some incoming fire...I thought it would be interesting to compare the pregame analysis with the postgame results. The comparison was indeed interesting.

Pregame - Williams vs Heiden - ADV. Iowa (folks took issue with Williams being 2x all conference and minutes played vs Heiden's mins)
Post game: Williams - 23 minutes, 7 pts., 4 rebounds, 0 assists, 3 blocks, 3 turnovers
Heiden - 19 minutes, 8 pts., 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 0 blocks, 1 turnover
Conclusion - given the shortened minutes for Heiden due to foul trouble and that she outperformed Williams in 4 out of 5 different categories...I would say the pregame analysis was correct.

Pregame - Strong vs Stuelke - ADV UConn (no disagreements there)
Post game: Strong - 34 minutes, 23 points, 7 RBs, 4 assists, 6 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover.
Stuelke - 30 minutes, 17 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 turnovers
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was correct

Pregame - Fudd vs McCabe - ADV UCONN (no one disagreed with this prediction)
Post game: Fudd - 36 minutes - 27 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, 4 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover, 5-13 from 3
McCabe - 28 minutes - 3 points, 1 rebound, 3 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 TOs
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was patently correct

Pregame - Shade vs Feuerbach (you would have to add in Stremlow after Feuerbach's injury)...ADV UCONN
Post game: Shade - 24 minutes 5 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Feuerbach - 9 minutes, 0 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Stremlow - 27 minutes, 11 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 6 TOs
Conclusion - Given that Feuerbach and Stremlow played collectively 3 6 minutes to Shades 24 minutes. I would have to say that the pregame analysis was, for the most part, correct.

Pregame - KK vs Wright: Some thought that my pregame prediction of ADV - EVEN was incorrect because of KK's relentless defense. Well, I think we saw some evidence of Wright being a tough assignment for KK...especially when "Chit-chat broke KK's ankles on the cross-over change of direction dribble.
Post game: KK - 32 minutes, 7 points, 2 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 0 turnovers, 2-2 (three-pointers).
Wright - 35 minutes, 16 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 1 block, 3 turnovers, 4-8 (three-pointers)
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was incorrect, calling this a push...This was more accurately ADV - IOWA

BENCH:
Pregame - the prediction was ADV - EVEN
Post game - UConn - 21 points, 8 rebounds
Iowa - 20 points, 13 rebounds
Conclusion - The pregame analysis for the most part was correct.

 

[Bone Dog]

Since this analysis took some incoming fire...I thought it would be interesting to compare the pregame analysis with the postgame results. The comparison was indeed interesting.

Pregame - Williams vs Heiden - ADV. Iowa (folks took issue with Williams being 2x all conference and minutes played vs Heiden's mins)
Post game: Williams - 23 minutes, 7 pts., 4 rebounds, 0 assists, 3 blocks, 3 turnovers
Heiden - 19 minutes, 8 pts., 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 0 blocks, 1 turnover
Conclusion - given the shortened minutes for Heiden due to foul trouble and that she outperformed Williams in 4 out of 5 different categories...I would say the pregame analysis was correct.

Pregame - Strong vs Stuelke - ADV UConn (no disagreements there)
Post game: Strong - 34 minutes, 23 points, 7 RBs, 4 assists, 6 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover.
Stuelke - 30 minutes, 17 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 turnovers
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was correct

Pregame - Fudd vs McCabe - ADV UCONN (no one disagreed with this prediction)
Post game: Fudd - 36 minutes - 27 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, 4 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover, 5-13 from 3
McCabe - 28 minutes - 3 points, 1 rebound, 3 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 TOs
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was patently correct

Pregame - Shade vs Feuerbach (you would have to add in Stremlow after Feuerbach's injury)...ADV UCONN
Post game: Shade - 24 minutes 5 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Feuerbach - 9 minutes, 0 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Stremlow - 27 minutes, 11 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 6 TOs
Conclusion - Given that Feuerbach and Stremlow played collectively 3 6 minutes to Shades 24 minutes. I would have to say that the pregame analysis was, for the most part, correct.

Pregame - KK vs Wright: Some thought that my pregame prediction of ADV - EVEN was incorrect because of KK's relentless defense. Well, I think we saw some evidence of Wright being a tough assignment for KK...especially when "Chit-chat broke KK's ankles on the cross-over change of direction dribble.
Post game: KK - 32 minutes, 7 points, 2 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 0 turnovers, 2-2 (three-pointers).
Wright - 35 minutes, 16 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 1 block, 3 turnovers, 4-8 (three-pointers)
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was incorrect, calling this a push...This was more accurately ADV - IOWA

BENCH:
Pregame - the prediction was ADV - EVEN
Post game - UConn - 21 points, 8 rebounds
Iowa - 20 points, 13 rebounds
Conclusion - The pregame analysis for the most part was correct.

Good on you, sensei! You deserve kudos again.

I would only quibble about one thing. Chit Chat didn’t “break KK’s ankles,” though the announcer described it that way. But the replay showed clearly that KK’s shoe merely slid on a slippery part of the midcourt logo, the very same spot Kylie Feuerbach had slipped on earlier. In fact, KK was lucky not suffer a similar injury.

That said, Chit Chat had a good game, though some of her points came in garbage time and none of KK’s did. More importantly however, she was as valuable to Iowa as KK was to UConn today. She was able to play the game Iowa needs from her and we weren’t able to prevent it. I’d say the same about Hannah Stuelke. Sarah outplayed her in absolute terms. But Hannah did what she usually does for her team. Iowa was dominated in the second half, but it wasn’t the fault of these two.

 

[Geew1992]

Since this analysis took some incoming fire...I thought it would be interesting to compare the pregame analysis with the postgame results. The comparison was indeed interesting.

Pregame - Williams vs Heiden - ADV. Iowa (folks took issue with Williams being 2x all conference and minutes played vs Heiden's mins)
Post game: Williams - 23 minutes, 7 pts., 4 rebounds, 0 assists, 3 blocks, 3 turnovers
Heiden - 19 minutes, 8 pts., 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 0 blocks, 1 turnover
Conclusion - given the shortened minutes for Heiden due to foul trouble and that she outperformed Williams in 4 out of 5 different categories...I would say the pregame analysis was correct.

Pregame - Strong vs Stuelke - ADV UConn (no disagreements there)
Post game: Strong - 34 minutes, 23 points, 7 RBs, 4 assists, 6 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover.
Stuelke - 30 minutes, 17 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 turnovers
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was correct

Pregame - Fudd vs McCabe - ADV UCONN (no one disagreed with this prediction)
Post game: Fudd - 36 minutes - 27 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, 4 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover, 5-13 from 3
McCabe - 28 minutes - 3 points, 1 rebound, 3 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 TOs
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was patently correct

Pregame - Shade vs Feuerbach (you would have to add in Stremlow after Feuerbach's injury)...ADV UCONN
Post game: Shade - 24 minutes 5 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Feuerbach - 9 minutes, 0 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Stremlow - 27 minutes, 11 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 6 TOs
Conclusion - Given that Feuerbach and Stremlow played collectively 3 6 minutes to Shades 24 minutes. I would have to say that the pregame analysis was, for the most part, correct.

Pregame - KK vs Wright: Some thought that my pregame prediction of ADV - EVEN was incorrect because of KK's relentless defense. Well, I think we saw some evidence of Wright being a tough assignment for KK...especially when "Chit-chat broke KK's ankles on the cross-over change of direction dribble.
Post game: KK - 32 minutes, 7 points, 2 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 0 turnovers, 2-2 (three-pointers).
Wright - 35 minutes, 16 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 1 block, 3 turnovers, 4-8 (three-pointers)
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was incorrect, calling this a push...This was more accurately ADV - IOWA

BENCH:
Pregame - the prediction was ADV - EVEN
Post game - UConn - 21 points, 8 rebounds
Iowa - 20 points, 13 rebounds
Conclusion - The pregame analysis for the most part was correct.

I would say Williams vs Heiden was even

 

[Bedford fan]

You should call this a stat sheet comparison. KK ran the offense and defense for the best team in the country. Blanca also disrupted the entire game. There is no credit for these things on the stat sheet. KK pleases Geno, that's all you can ask.

 

[DEpup]

Since this analysis took some incoming fire...I thought it would be interesting to compare the pregame analysis with the postgame results. The comparison was indeed interesting.

Pregame - Williams vs Heiden - ADV. Iowa (folks took issue with Williams being 2x all conference and minutes played vs Heiden's mins)
Post game: Williams - 23 minutes, 7 pts., 4 rebounds, 0 assists, 3 blocks, 3 turnovers
Heiden - 19 minutes, 8 pts., 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 0 blocks, 1 turnover
Conclusion - given the shortened minutes for Heiden due to foul trouble and that she outperformed Williams in 4 out of 5 different categories...I would say the pregame analysis was correct.

Pregame - Strong vs Stuelke - ADV UConn (no disagreements there)
Post game: Strong - 34 minutes, 23 points, 7 RBs, 4 assists, 6 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover.
Stuelke - 30 minutes, 17 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 turnovers
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was correct

Pregame - Fudd vs McCabe - ADV UCONN (no one disagreed with this prediction)
Post game: Fudd - 36 minutes - 27 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, 4 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover, 5-13 from 3
McCabe - 28 minutes - 3 points, 1 rebound, 3 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 TOs
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was patently correct

Pregame - Shade vs Feuerbach (you would have to add in Stremlow after Feuerbach's injury)...ADV UCONN
Post game: Shade - 24 minutes 5 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Feuerbach - 9 minutes, 0 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Stremlow - 27 minutes, 11 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 6 TOs
Conclusion - Given that Feuerbach and Stremlow played collectively 3 6 minutes to Shades 24 minutes. I would have to say that the pregame analysis was, for the most part, correct.

Pregame - KK vs Wright: Some thought that my pregame prediction of ADV - EVEN was incorrect because of KK's relentless defense. Well, I think we saw some evidence of Wright being a tough assignment for KK...especially when "Chit-chat broke KK's ankles on the cross-over change of direction dribble.
Post game: KK - 32 minutes, 7 points, 2 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 0 turnovers, 2-2 (three-pointers).
Wright - 35 minutes, 16 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 1 block, 3 turnovers, 4-8 (three-pointers)
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was incorrect, calling this a push...This was more accurately ADV - IOWA

BENCH:
Pregame - the prediction was ADV - EVEN
Post game - UConn - 21 points, 8 rebounds
Iowa - 20 points, 13 rebounds
Conclusion - The pregame analysis for the most part was correct.

I really like your analysis but I am not buying your justifications. They are heavily based on points only...

1. Hayden-- If you are a leading scorer for your team and you are on the bench with fouls, I think Serah/Sarah were doing their job and took the advantage away from her.
2. So if Fuerbach gets a helper regardless of her situation then you need to add Blanca's stats on to Shade
3. Really? KK? So you are saying you'd take Wright over KK? KK's defense and pace along with no turnovers affected the game in a way Wright's points did not obviously. And those 3's that KK put down were significant when they happened.

I've been defending your analysis in posts and still enjoy it but this is over the top. UConn wins by 26 and it was more before the end and you are going to say 3/5 positions go to Iowa? That doesn't pass the smell test. I just have to call this out.

 

[uconnfan68]

Since this analysis took some incoming fire...I thought it would be interesting to compare the pregame analysis with the postgame results. The comparison was indeed interesting.

Pregame - Williams vs Heiden - ADV. Iowa (folks took issue with Williams being 2x all conference and minutes played vs Heiden's mins)
Post game: Williams - 23 minutes, 7 pts., 4 rebounds, 0 assists, 3 blocks, 3 turnovers
Heiden - 19 minutes, 8 pts., 6 rebounds, 1 assist, 0 blocks, 1 turnover
Conclusion - given the shortened minutes for Heiden due to foul trouble and that she outperformed Williams in 4 out of 5 different categories...I would say the pregame analysis was correct.

Pregame - Strong vs Stuelke - ADV UConn (no disagreements there)
Post game: Strong - 34 minutes, 23 points, 7 RBs, 4 assists, 6 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover.
Stuelke - 30 minutes, 17 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 turnovers
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was correct

Pregame - Fudd vs McCabe - ADV UCONN (no one disagreed with this prediction)
Post game: Fudd - 36 minutes - 27 points, 2 rebounds, 3 assists, 4 steals, 1 block, 1 turnover, 5-13 from 3
McCabe - 28 minutes - 3 points, 1 rebound, 3 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 4 TOs
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was patently correct

Pregame - Shade vs Feuerbach (you would have to add in Stremlow after Feuerbach's injury)...ADV UCONN
Post game: Shade - 24 minutes 5 points, 2 rebounds, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Feuerbach - 9 minutes, 0 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 0 steals, 0 blocks, 1 TO
Stremlow - 27 minutes, 11 points, 1 rebound, 2 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 6 TOs
Conclusion - Given that Feuerbach and Stremlow played collectively 3 6 minutes to Shades 24 minutes. I would have to say that the pregame analysis was, for the most part, correct.

Pregame - KK vs Wright: Some thought that my pregame prediction of ADV - EVEN was incorrect because of KK's relentless defense. Well, I think we saw some evidence of Wright being a tough assignment for KK...especially when "Chit-chat broke KK's ankles on the cross-over change of direction dribble.
Post game: KK - 32 minutes, 7 points, 2 rebounds, 6 assists, 1 steal, 0 blocks, 0 turnovers, 2-2 (three-pointers).
Wright - 35 minutes, 16 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 steals, 1 block, 3 turnovers, 4-8 (three-pointers)
Conclusion - The pregame analysis was incorrect, calling this a push...This was more accurately ADV - IOWA

BENCH:
Pregame - the prediction was ADV - EVEN
Post game - UConn - 21 points, 8 rebounds
Iowa - 20 points, 13 rebounds
Conclusion - The pregame analysis for the most part was correct.

I’m sorry you feel the need to justify your opinions. Maybe you should simply leave off the advantage part since the players don’t just play against that other player. The rest is informative.

 

[MSGRET]

@cferraro04 keep on doing what you wish to do. If some people don't agree with what you're doing tough, others like your input. I always enjoy info on the opposition, it makes it easier to watch the opposing team without having to dig it up myself. Thanks for you input and keep up the good work.

 

[Bone Dog]

I’m sorry you feel the need to justify your opinions. Maybe you should simply leave off the advantage part since the players don’t just play against that other player. The rest is informative.

I love the advantage part most of all. Those pregame guesses are where all the interesting discussions come from. That’s what all of us are always trying to anticipate and sensei gives us all really good starting points for speculation even if we disagree.