FYI - A bunch of smoke over at the Oklahoma CR Board

[jlarson]

How could ESPN lose the ACC? They have them under contract until the end of time.

No ACC Network is the make or break for ACC schools. And I am serious about that. The B1G is going to get paid a good $45 million to $50 million per school per year off of their new contract and their Tier1 rights, which is what is up for bid, could be shared among FOX and other networks unless FOX puts up a bid so large in dollars that they take the rights and leave ESPN behind.

FOX already owns their conference title game and that is up for bid. Therefore, FOX will bid heavily to retain the conference title game and get more B1G games. FOX also owns 49% of the B1G Network.

If FOX can pull away the B1G from ESPN, then FOX becomes the media company that owns the most CFB rights and not ESPN. ESPN doesn't own all of the SEC rights either. THey do own the rights to the ACC. So, to make the ACC Network, they will need to buy what they already own to broadcast what they already own.

The devil in the details is that the SEC Network is really just another ESPN channel. That is all it is.

So, when the B1G schools are clearing $50 million a year, which IS realistic since that is what Delany said the contract is likely to go for, the ACC schools will remain at their usual $22 millionish a year level. So the B1G schools end up double the revenue than the ACC schools.

No ACC Network means the ACC schools will run away fast to where they can get more money to fund their stadium upgrades for various sports, pay student athletes, etc, etc.

So it is up to ESPN to spend money on stuff they already own and broadcast to keep the rights they already own. Thus, they spend more on what they already own just to keep what they already own.

 

[whaler11]

No ACC Network is the make or break for ACC schools. And I am serious about that. The B1G is going to get paid a good $45 million to $50 million per school per year off of their new contract and their Tier1 rights, which is what is up for bid, could be shared among FOX and other networks unless FOX puts up a bid so large in dollars that they take the rights and leave ESPN behind.

FOX already owns their conference title game and that is up for bid. Therefore, FOX will bid heavily to retain the conference title game and get more B1G games. FOX also owns 49% of the B1G Network.

If FOX can pull away the B1G from ESPN, then FOX becomes the media company that owns the most CFB rights and not ESPN. ESPN doesn't own all of the SEC rights either. THey do own the rights to the ACC. So, to make the ACC Network, they will need to buy what they already own to broadcast what they already own.

The devil in the details is that the SEC Network is really just another ESPN channel. That is all it is.

So, when the B1G schools are clearing $50 million a year, which IS realistic since that is what Delany said the contract is likely to go for, the ACC schools will remain at their usual $22 millionish a year level. So the B1G schools end up double the revenue than the ACC schools.

No ACC Network means the ACC schools will run away fast to where they can get more money to fund their stadium upgrades for various sports, pay student athletes, etc, etc.

So it is up to ESPN to spend money on stuff they already own and broadcast to keep the rights they already own. Thus, they spend more on what they already own just to keep what they already own.

This is the sort of thing that people keep posting - but nobody has moved since the GORs have been signed.

So maybe it happens and maybe they don't stand up - but I'm not sure how people make such bold confident predictions when so much is unknown.

What are the chances the Big Ten walks away from ESPN? 5%? If that?

 

[NYUConn]

This is the sort of thing that people keep posting - but nobody has moved since the GORs have been signed.

So maybe it happens and maybe they don't stand up - but I'm not sure how people make such bold confident predictions when so much is unknown.

What are the chances the Big Ten walks away from ESPN? 5%? If that?

I mean it's been what 15 months at most since GOR's were signed? Movement takes time.

Money talks. If the B1G is really staring down a deal that will net members $50 million you can bet that nobody in that conference will shed a tear about never visiting Bristol again.

 

[whaler11]

I mean it's been what 15 months at most since GOR's were signed? Movement takes time.

Money talks. If the B1G is really staring down a deal that will net members $50 million you can bet that nobody in that conference will shed a tear about never visiting Bristol again.

If you think the Big 10 coaches want to lose their ability to be on ABC and ESPN... I'm pretty sure they don't want a huge recruiting disadvantage like that.

Didn't the ACC sign their GOR around when Maryland left in 2012.

 

[SubbaBub]

The B1G will sign multiple content distribution agreements. The big change from there current arrangements, other than the size of the check, is that the BTN will get options for more and better games.

The Saturday noon slots will still be on ESPN, the 3:30 and night games will still be on ABC, but a few more will be on Fox and FS1. There will be fewer B1G games on ESPN2/U.

 

[dayooper]

If you think the Big 10 coaches want to lose their ability to be on ABC and ESPN... I'm pretty sure they don't want a huge recruiting disadvantage like that.

Didn't the ACC sign their GOR around when Maryland left in 2012.

The agreed to the GoR in spring 2013, about 6 months after UMD announced they were leaving.

 

[NickyNewark]

No ACC Network is the make or break for ACC schools. And I am serious about that. The B1G is going to get paid a good $45 million to $50 million per school per year off of their new contract and their Tier1 rights, which is what is up for bid, could be shared among FOX and other networks unless FOX puts up a bid so large in dollars that they take the rights and leave ESPN behind.

FOX already owns their conference title game and that is up for bid. Therefore, FOX will bid heavily to retain the conference title game and get more B1G games. FOX also owns 49% of the B1G Network.

If FOX can pull away the B1G from ESPN, then FOX becomes the media company that owns the most CFB rights and not ESPN. ESPN doesn't own all of the SEC rights either. THey do own the rights to the ACC. So, to make the ACC Network, they will need to buy what they already own to broadcast what they already own.

The devil in the details is that the SEC Network is really just another ESPN channel. That is all it is.

So, when the B1G schools are clearing $50 million a year, which IS realistic since that is what Delany said the contract is likely to go for, the ACC schools will remain at their usual $22 millionish a year level. So the B1G schools end up double the revenue than the ACC schools.

No ACC Network means the ACC schools will run away fast to where they can get more money to fund their stadium upgrades for various sports, pay student athletes, etc, etc.

So it is up to ESPN to spend money on stuff they already own and broadcast to keep the rights they already own. Thus, they spend more on what they already own just to keep what they already own.

They reap what they have sown.