Even the non-wonky will understand this chart | The Boneyard

Even the non-wonky will understand this chart

Alas, no Bar Charts, Line Graphs, Pie Charts, Histograms or Heat Maps will give adequate pictoral justice to where that beautiful Husky emblem belongs. Yes, sir. Give this old, retired non-wonk a pretty Quadrant Matrix or Scatter Plot and I'm a happy camper. 😀 Thanks, Nan.
 
Over half of the BE is in the bottom left quadrant. Not a good look for the league.
 
Oh, poor BC


This brings to mind a line from an old Stroh's beer commercial I saw about 50 years ago. In the commercial a flying saucer lands in a country couple's front yard at night while the man and woman are sitting outside on their front porch. A beam of light from the aliens bounces around and then goes in the open front door of their cabin. And soon after bottles of Stroh's stream out to saucer on the beam of light. When they got all the Stroh's, the aliens fly away and the old guy turns to his wife and says, "Don't surprise me none".

Well all I can say about the chart is, "Don't surprise me none".
 
.-.
Sorry, maybe I'm too wonky (in retirement, I sense that I am becoming less so), but this chart doesn't do it for me. The title is "Adjusted Offensive Rating" (presumably the horizontal axis)and "Adjusted Defensive Rating" (the thankfully labeled vertical axis). Which begs the question: What are the adjustments? Were they intended to "adjust" for the strength of the opposition? How did they do this?

I think if they actually showed the formula for either of their "adjusted" ratings, it would be thoroughly wonky. But without any definitions, it seems (to me) thoroughly meaningless.

It seems to say that UCLA and LSU have a higher "adjusted offensive rating" than UConn. I find it hard to imagine that the adjustment for strength of opposition is adequate if it reaches that conclusion about LSU -- they scored over 100 points against very weak non-conference foes, and (to my knowledge) have not come close to that total against SEC opposition. UCLA is a more plausible data point, since they have certainly played a respectable schedule both in and out of their conference.
 
Sorry, maybe I'm too wonky (in retirement, I sense that I am becoming less so), but this chart doesn't do it for me. The title is "Adjusted Offensive Rating" (presumably the horizontal axis)and "Adjusted Defensive Rating" (the thankfully labeled vertical axis). Which begs the question: What are the adjustments? Were they intended to "adjust" for the strength of the opposition? How did they do this?

I think if they actually showed the formula for either of their "adjusted" ratings, it would be thoroughly wonky. But without any definitions, it seems (to me) thoroughly meaningless.

It seems to say that UCLA and LSU have a higher "adjusted offensive rating" than UConn. I find it hard to imagine that the adjustment for strength of opposition is adequate if it reaches that conclusion about LSU -- they scored over 100 points against very weak non-conference foes, and (to my knowledge) have not come close to that total against SEC opposition. UCLA is a more plausible data point, since they have certainly played a respectable schedule both in and out of their conference.
It is similar to Torvik’s.
  • Torvik’s methodology is here.
  • Pythagorean Expectation methods (those that have “runs” defined as offense - defense), including the NET, converge at the end of the season.
IMG_6863.jpeg
 

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