It would be so great to see a mid-major go deep into the tournament but the way the recruiting battles are going I don't think it will happen anytime soon. That's one reason why I find the Delaware situation so interesting.... A mid-major featuring a big-time D1 talent.
There are three huge issues holding the mid-majors back, in my view:
1. There is still such a huge gap between the elite high school players and the girls a tier below that. The late bloomers on the Angel McCaughtry or Courtney Vandersloot level just aren't sufficient in number, and relatively flukey EDD kind of situations are equally insufficient.
2. These elite players play for four years. In the men's game, the equivalent of Brittney Griner or Maya Moore would be gone after a year.
3. We still don't have an embarrassment of riches when it comes to coaching at the college level in WBB. We've seen at schools like Marist and Green Bay that a good coach can make a huge difference.
In MCBB, where the talent disparity isn't as great, where the super-elite players leave as soon as their NBA draft stock is high, and where there are more good coaches to go around, a good coach with an experienced team can take it to a team with elite but young talent, especially in a single-elimination format.