Its down to the last few weeks in the Premiership. There's basically 3 races going on with Liverpool and Man City fighting for the league title, Arsenal, Man U, Tottenham, and Chelsea fighting for a spot in next season's Champions League, and a pile of teams trying to avoid the last regulation slot (Huddersfield and Fulham have already been relegated.
Since I am an Arsenal fan, the first and third race are of passing interest. The interest is in the Champions League with 3 slots (2 automatic and 1 play-in) up for grabs between 4 teams - Arsenal, Tottenham, Man U and Chelsea.
Remaining fixtures:
- Arsenal - 3rd Place with 63 points, 7 games remaining: 1) @ Everton, 2) @ Watford, 3) v. Crystal Palace, 4) @ Wolverhampton, 5) @ Leicester, 6) v. Brighton, 7) @ Burnley...plus Europa play (Napoli)
- Tottenham - 4th place with 61 points, 7 games remaining: 1) v Crystal Palace, 2) v. Huddersfield, 3) @ Man City, 4) v Brighton, 5) v West Ham, 6) @ Bournemouth, 7) v. Everton...plus Champions league play (Man City)
- Man U - 5th Place with 61 points, 6 games remaining: 1) v West Ham, 2) @ Everton, 3) v. Man City, 4) v. Chelsea, 5) @ Huddersfield, and 6) v. Cardiff...plus Champions league play (Barcelona)
- Chelsea - 6th Place with 60 points, 7 games remaining: 1) v. Brighton, 2) v. West Ham, 3) @ Liverpool, 4) v. Burnley, 5) @ Man U, 6) v. Watford, 7) @ Leicester...plus Europa play (Prague)
Thoughts...
- Arsenal has the 'easiest' Premiership fixtures left on paper though they will need to take points on the road with 5 of their last 7 away and both Brighton (home) and Burnley (away) will be fighting relegation. They do have a tough Europa home & away with Napoli; but, its easier than the Champions league play that two of this group have to play. Oh, I am really going to miss Ramsey.
- Tottenham has to deal with Man City 3 times over the last month between Premiership and Champions League, which is going to be brutal. Brighton (home) and Bournemouth (away) may also be fighting to avoid relegation.
- Man U benefited from a month of freedom after Mourinho got ejected; but, have come to down to earth lately as its clear their team needs a roster overhaul. Is Solskjaer up for the job? They get both Man City and Chelsea at home plus relegation threatened Cardiff to go along with a home & away in Champions league play against Barcelona. No easy task, especially as their 3 rivals all have an extra game remaining.
- Chelsea has the easiest playoff match-up in Prague of the 4 teams here; but, they are 3 points out of 3rd place and do have to contend with away games at Man City and Liverpool and home matches with relegation threatened Brighton and Burnley.
So, Arsenal will do just enough on the road while Tottenham's 3 Man City matches will take just enough out of them for Arsenal to hold onto third while the one less game and games versus Man City and Chelsea will send Man U to Europa
3rd (Champions): Arsenal, 77 points
4th (Champions): Tottenham, 76 points
5th (Champions play-in): Chelsea, 72 points
6th (Europa): Man U, 70 points
Of course, if I do as well with this as I did with my NCAA bracket, none of this will be right...