3 - Pre-Barnes, Arizona drew well for the quality of play. Barnes brought winning. I've had season tix for 12 seasons, it isn't any more complicated than that. The WNIT run of success is what sold Arizona fans on women's basketball.
But ..... It might be. Winning is one of many factors, an important one to be sure.
Attendance ( revealed preference), is a fairly complex phenomenon and I tend to be skeptical of single answer explanations and more persuaded by multi-causality. But then again I'm a Sun Devil fan so what do I know.
Tucson a community of over 500,000, the 33rd largest city in the US, has no professional football, no professional basketball, no professional hockey, no professional baseball in short it has very limited sport options for fans seeking the entertainment of attending a game in person. Also while a vibrant cultural center other options for in person entertainment are also constrained by proximity of Tucson to larger population centers or lack thereof and the size of the community.
As I previously pointed out Tucson also a very strong basketball market going back to the '70s in men's basketball with fairly fast Freddy Snowden. That is there is a relatively long-term history of strong basketball allegiance in the Old Pueblo particularly at the collegiate level.
So beyond the variable of winning: factors such as population size, alternatives for in person sports options, other entertainment options, relative geographic isolation, demographics, shape preferences for sports attendance.
If winning as you suggest is the only variable to consider and explain attendance where does that leave us in analyzing Duke and their attendance?
Now clearly time frame is an additional variable so there may be a lag effect to attendance.
What we can agree on is that we both enjoy women's basketball both in person and on the screen. And I suspect both of us would appreciate a broader audience for this sport that we enjoy.
Where we do differ is perhaps on the explanation of why the scale of support for women's basketball is closer to niche sports:. lacrosse, poker, Australian rules football, then to its male counterpart.
I like to think of myself as an optimist and so I hope you're right that there are many potential fans for the sport we love.