Interestingly, 21 posts and no one has supplied any math. People are just posting things they heard about it meaning more money for us - but no math.
Also remember BC's football and MBB programs were both stronger the day they left the Big East than they are now.
There are somet things that occur that you don't need to resort to math. Common sense can simply prevail. Is it cheaper for me to take the bus to work or drive my car? I don't have to go look up bus fair then compare the cost of gas and maintenance to my car to know that it's cheaper to ride the bus. Pitt and Cuse didn't bolt in the middle of the night to wind up in a conference where they would draw less revenue. Why would they want to travel further and lose long standing rivals for no gain? They wouldn't.
But because we've had enough back and forth discourse, I knew that wouldn't placate you. So I spent about 3 minutes googling to come up with this:
In 2010, the ACC got a new ESPN contract for Football and Basketball that works out to 155milllion/year. If they go to 16, that works out to 9.6million per team per year. That could well be renegotiated to more with the inclusion of 4 more teams particularly if they get ND and UConn. But let's just say 9.6M per team at 16 no matter who is there.
In 2010, the Big East still had 4 years on football and 3 years on basketball in the current contract. That contract is 39 million/year. The previous ACC contract was 67 million for fewer teams if you want to compare contracts by age. There's a big difference between 67M for 12 teams vs 39M for 18 teams. So for the old ACC contract it was 5.5M per team.
I'm sure the football schools get more than the BB only schools, but to make it simple, I'm just going to use 18 teams. That's 2.2M/year for each team. Let's assume the football schools get a 60% share which I think is realistic. 39*.60/8 = 2.9M. 5.5M per team vs 2.9M for football BE schools is a huge difference. Figure in the new contract that bumps that up to 9.6M for 16 teams and the gap is enourmous.
In 2010, the Big East hoped to triple the contract when it's redone. That would be 120M. Using the same math, the football schools would get 9 million, pretty close. However, there are two issues. 1) With Pitt and Cuse gone, there's no way they triple the money they are currently getting. 2) There is no way they can survive with 8 football teams, so that split is going to go down.
With the teams leaving and the instability of the league, they will be lucky to get a contract for even 100M. They almost have to go to a 12/20 team league. That would leave footballs schools with 5M. If they go with a 10/18 league or an 8/16 league, there's no way they sniff 100M.
So there's your math. Best case scenario, 5M/year in the BE. With the current 12 year deal, worst case, they make 9.6M in the ACC. The exit fee is paid in just over a year. Currently the differene is 2.9M vs 9.6M. A few million here and a few million there and pretty soon you're talking about real money.
This is absolutely a no brainer.
ps Just for reference, the SEC has a 205M deal. For 16 teams, that's 12.8M. The move from the ACC to the SEC would take about 6 to 7 years to pay off.