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Okay, maybe I am getting a better understanding of Grants of Rights. Given some of the recent commentary:
1) GoR's are particularly important for Conference Networks: B1G has GoR, B1G has BTN (with Fox); Pac-12 signed GoR at the creation of the Pac12 Network; SEC now launching SEC network (ESPN) which *may* incite a GoR; ACC launches "planning" of network (with ESPN) and signs GoR; Big 12 has no conference network, but has GoR, schools retain Tier 3 rights.
2) Television contracts: B1G(through 2015-16): ESPN, BTN(Fox); Pac-12: ESPN, Fox, Pac12N, SEC: CBS, ESPN, SECN(ESPN), ACC: ESPN; Big 12: Fox, ESPN.
So the Big12 is the only conference firmly committed to "no network", yet it has a "GoR". Given that Big 12 Tier 1 is Fox (and Tier 3 is with the schools, most of whom have allied with Fox), that BTN is Fox and likely Fox will make major effort for B1G Tier 1 for this next contract... hmmm....
If I subscribe to the pj, westharthusk train of thought that the GoR is with the television network, well then, I'd say the odds of Kansas and Oklahoma going to the Big Ten are getting better. (There is still the issue with K-State and OkState, however.)
Yes. This is why the B1G TV contract and the B1G expansion talk are so tightly coupled. If the B1G signs with Fox then they can expand from the B12 but not the ACC. If the B1G signs with ESPN they can expand from the ACC but not the B12. (Assuming the GoRs have no "outs".) And, if the B1G wants to expand, then TV networks may be sweetening their offers by trying to broker some sort of realignment deal; and the B1G itself needs to thoroughly evaluate expansion options before choosing its TV partner.
It does seem like the B12 is a more likely target for a raid, and that Fox may have a leg up with the B1G.