Day of Reckoning For #1 Seeds

[YKCornelius]

Nah, it wasn't my implication. It was your inference.

Tell you what. We will see what the end of the day brings, and then I will come back on this thread and tell you where I think UConn will end up. No incorrect inferences will be necessary.

So, here's my thoughts:
First, I believe UConn will be given the #5 overall seed after winning the Big East tournament.
Second, I think South Carolina will beat Texas and receive the overall #1 seed in the Birmingham One Region.
Third, I think UCLA will beat USC (by double digits) and receive the #2 overall seed in the Spokane Two Region.
Fourth, I think the committee will place Texas in the overall #3 and keep them on the other side of the bracket in the Spokane Three Region. That way, if SC and Texas meet for a fourth time it will be in the NCAA championship.
Fifth, following the same logic, I think USC will be placed in the Birmingham Four Region as the overall #4. A fourth meeting between them and UCLA would only occur in the NCAA championship.
Sixth, on the second seed line along side the Huskies, I think we will see TCU whether they win or lose the Big 12 championship, NC State regardless of whether they win or lose the ACC championship, and then either Duke or Notre Dame, depending on how Duke fares in the championship game.
Seventh, I believe LSU drops to a third seed, alongside either Duke/ND, Ohio State, and either Baylor if they win the Big 12 championship or Oklahoma if Baylor loses the Big 12 final.

Regardless of where UConn ends up, I think they have all the tools to go all the way to #12.

 

[bballnut90]

Well, UConn needs some help here. SoCal needs to beat up on UCLA and we need Texas to put a hammer on SoCar. And, UC needs to win out. This is the only way we may get lucky and a 1 Seed.

There’s really no shot at this point. Both teams have far better wins and overall resumes than UCONN does.

 

[bballnut90]

Would rather be #6 overall. Seems SC will be #4 overall and would absolutely not want to see them again

I actually think SC would be an optimal matchup for UCONN compared to the others. SC isn’t a great rebounding team and UCONN would have a lot of confidence going into the game after beating them by nearly 30 in their last matchup. I’d expect it to be a lot closer this time but UCONN absolutely shredded them. The other 3 all have big strong posts that can score which would pose a problem for UCONN IMO.

 

[freshler40]

I actually think SC would be an optimal matchup for UCONN compared to the others. SC isn’t a great rebounding team and UCONN would have a lot of confidence going into the game after beating them by nearly 30 in their last matchup. I’d expect it to be a lot closer this time but UCONN absolutely shredded them. The other 3 all have big strong posts that can score which would pose a problem for UCONN IMO.

While the bigs of the other top teams are excellent, those teams are not deep at the five. We can go big or quick and small as well as deep at most positions. We are peaking and generally healthy.

 

[oldhusky]

While the bigs of the other top teams are excellent, those teams are not deep at the five. We can go big or quick and small as well as deep at most positions. We are peaking and generally healthy.

Texas is as deep at the 5 as any team could hope for with two great players there.

 

[CL82]

UConn lost to Tennessee in February, which is not early in the season.

It was a "quad one" loss though. Connecticut has not had any "bad losses" this season and we appear to be playing our best basketball of the year.

[Knocks wood]

I like our momentum but I agree with you that are likely at two seed.

 

[Bone Dog]

Texas is as deep at the 5 as any team could hope for with two great players there.

I think there's only one really good one -- Taylor Jones, and her health and stamina is iffy, though I'm glad to see she's stopped wearing all the kinesiology tape on her shoulder. I hope that bodes well for her.

Oldacre is a serviceable backup, big at 6'6" but slow and not able to run the floor effectively. Her points production has improved this year to 9.5 with 6 rebounds, though she has no midrange game to speak of. Although Jones's numbers don't seem much better, 12 pts, 7 rebounds, she's quicker, runs the floor better and is a more effective rim protector and scorer. She plays exactly the role Vic wants her to.

Between the two of them, Texas has a formidable front court with Carlton and Mwenentanda playing next to them. The loss of Aaliyah Moore was significant, unfortunately.

The key to beating Texas is shutting down Booker, not Jones or Oldacre. But that is really hard to do with all the other strong 6-footers Vic can put on the floor next to her.