St. John's has the most favorable schedule of the BE 3rd place contenders. With Villanova, Seton Hall, and DePaul (@ home) they are in position to steal 3rd place away from both Louisville and Syracuse. If they win out or get 2 of 3 their record over the final 10 games will be either 9-1 or 8-2.
Top 4 BE finish, good record over past 10 games, and the nature of their losses (early season injuries, 5 games lost by 3pts or less to 4 ranked teams, close one with UConn etc. I think they get in when you look at some of the bad losses that mid-pack tourney teams from the B1G and ACC have recorded. Only Texas loss is to a guaranteed non-tourney team.