Incorrect. The dollar was 100% backed by gold at that time, not "to a degree." Any person could walk in with dollars and walk out with gold, at a fixed rate.
You are talking about "convertibility of" not being "backed by" gold, which are two diff things. Prior to FDR, the USD was "convertible" for gold, ie you could walk into a bank with dollars and exchange them for gold. Post FDR, you could not. The dollar was no longer convertible
for private citizens by law.
That said, the dollar was backed by gold both before and after. It was still backed and convertible for international trade between govts at this stage, though citizens could no longer convert. The dollar was not fully removed from the gold standard until Nixon broke the Bretton Woods Agreement in 1971.
To be fair, I miswrote, poorly I might add, what I was trying to say as well. I was merely attempting to reference a 1:1 dollar/gold ratio (which it was obv not at the time). Shouldn't have even mentioned it as it was not really germane to the discussion anyway.
Not sure what you're saying here, but I think we agree. FDR wanted the ability to inflate the currency without having the American people, recognizing the devaluation of the dollar, exchange their devaluing dollars for gold. Simple as that. FDR wanted the ability to "goose" the economy by having the Fed expand the money supply without dealing with the obvious consequence of money supply expansion - citizens converting the dollars to gold, thereby depleting the U.S. gold supply.
Incorrect. This had nothing to do with bank runs. It had nothing to do with "hoarding," which is the word that government stooges use when they want to take your stuff. It had to do with one thing, and one thing only: FDR wanted to expand the money supply, which he knew would devalue the dollar, which he knew would cause citizens to trade dollars for gold, which he knew would cause U.S. gold supplies to get used up. That was the whole point of the dollar/gold standard. The point was to prevent politicians and bureaucrats from expanding the money supply and/or printing money.
This had everything to do with bank runs and hoarding. You even said as much in the first of the above 2 paragraphs.
FDR wanted to devalue the dollar. We know this. What would happen if he did this without making gold illegal? Citizens would simply go to the bank, exchange their dollars for gold, and then "hoard" that gold to preserve their purchasing power. There would be runs on the gold held in banks, and the dollar would effectively collapse. In order to stop people from doing that (ie stop runs and hoarding), he stripped convertibility of the dollar by making it illegal to own gold..
The reason he made it "illegal" to own gold (and confiscated it), as opposed to just simply severing convertibility by decree, was to increase, by govt 'hoarding' of all US gold, the 'power' of the American dollar and influence for international trade. He who holds the gold, makes the rules.
The motivation to seize gold would not be to prevent the dollar crash, which is now virtually unavoidable. The point would be to seize the asset for use by the government. The demand for dollars is shrinking around the world. The demand for gold is rising. If and when the politicians want more money, and printing dollars won't work, they will simply take assets. Gold is an obvious target.
Where this argument fails is that there is a massive difference between how much gold is held privately back then as compared to now. The vast majority of privately held gold in the world today is in Asia (specifically China and India). Hardly any private US citizens own gold at this point, in comparison to the total above ground supply worldwide.
The amount of gold held by the American public is minuscule. It would make zero difference to the bottom line were politicians wanting to use it for trade. It would require a colossal waste of time, money, and political power to try to seize public gold. Just wouldn't happen.
If the govt wanted to go after gold (which I don't believe they'll bother anyway), they would simply tax the hell out of it (cap gain of gold treated might be treated as a special category). However, if they think about doing things to cap gains, they'll do it to stocks/bonds first and foremost, as that's where the bulk of American investing wealth is (not incl property here). Gold isn't worth their time.
Point is this. Precious metals will be an easy target for confiscation by the govt. They can set whatever dollar to gold ratio they want, and then force you to turn in your gold. They can then use the gold as currency with countries that don't want any more dollar bill toilet paper. Conclusion - owning gold will not save you from a crashing dollar - it will simply make you a target of asset confiscation.
If they set a fixed price for gold in today's markets, they'd quickly lose all of it to the Chinese. Arbitrage opportunities would abound. And the price would be revalued much higher as a result. Wouldn't take long at all. Markets are too connected in todays day and age to pull off what you are talking about.
Again, it might be an easy target, but its completely worthless as far as the US public is concerned.