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Bracketology

in 2017 , after Stewie, Tuck and Moriah graduated, Not a single person including Geno did not pick UConn to get back to the final four, but here we are on the path for 15 straight final four's.. I am a believer!!! This Team even without Paige and Ice is a special team... they have the potential to be among the leaders in scoring and the defense will only get better.. Let the fun begin....
 
Why? to achieve the only acceptable goal for UConn you will still have to play one of them at some point... My Money is on UConn this season and every season, but especially this season... #12 is within our reach.. Mark my words...
Home court advantage. It's a lot different facing SC in the state of South Carolina with 18k fans all cheering for SC than it is facing them on a neutral court in the Final Four. Aliyah Boston has lost 1 game in her career at home, and it was with only 3.5k fans in the house due to covid restrictions.

I know some UCONN fans have a "win it all or bust" mentality, but getting to a Final Four is a huge accomplishment in and of itself. Namely, it keeps UCONN's F4 streak alive and it quiets a lot of doubters who think UCONN's F4 streak comes to an end this year with Paige out. For reference, looking at last year, I think majority of UCONN fans were very proud of the run the team made despite not winning it all.
 
Everyone, breathe.


A famous, un-named Coach has said: It doesn't matter where you are ranked in November that matters. (However, it may give Uconn a shot in the arm(?) to make the prognosticators WRONG.)
The Bracketology by Creme is ridiculous. Having said that, the Texas game now has become huge for us. We need to beat them to give us some credibility in the WBB world, as poll after poll keeps disrespecting us. By beating Texas, followed by NCST, we will be back in the conversation until someone knocks us off. If we lose this game, it will be a hard road back to getting the respect that we deserve.
It is only reasonable (not correct however) to see Paige, ICE, are not here. Americ coming into the game late is an indicator not just seen by Uconn Fans. So, a reasonable person, usually wrong, would think: They won't be as good as predicted with all healthy and functional. November and part of December is testing ground and adjustment time for GENO. This is when he finds out who will and who won't play up to UConn Standards and beyond. AYanna showed she has Uconn kind of Determination, Azzi---what can I say? LOU, she's a real deal, Caroline out---changes the predictions, Edwards and Dorka are better than ever, Nika is a proven leader.
So, let the predictors predict and we'll be waiting in April for the Apologies --that never come.
 
I get dropping the Huskies because they lost Paige, but Ice? She’s just a freshman that hasn’t played a college game. Not sure why that would affect UConn’s seeding but whatever
 
Home court advantage. It's a lot different facing SC in the state of South Carolina with 18k fans all cheering for SC than it is facing them on a neutral court in the Final Four. Aliyah Boston has lost 1 game in her career at home, and it was with only 3.5k fans in the house due to covid restrictions.

I know some UCONN fans have a "win it all or bust" mentality, but getting to a Final Four is a huge accomplishment in and of itself. Namely, it keeps UCONN's F4 streak alive and it quiets a lot of doubters who think UCONN's F4 streak comes to an end this year with Paige out. For reference, looking at last year, I think majority of UCONN fans were very proud of the run the team made despite not winning it all.
AMEN, Brother, Amen. (Last Paragraph) . UConn Wbb is MY team. Geno, just runs it for me. I don't live for STREAKS, they always end. Win, lose or draw- UCONN-They have been UP and rarely down and most often they surprises US. Thanks, your comment it is warming on a cold day.
 
I get dropping the Huskies because they lost Paige, but Ice? She’s just a freshman that hasn’t played a college game. Not sure why that would affect UConn’s seeding but whatever
ICE alone would not be the tipping point. Caroline sidelined (viewing begs the question what will she be like this season, healthy?, not me-== prognosticators.
The others are still to be tested. So, it is not unreasonable (except to UC fans) for it to drop UC in the polls. Polls mean nothing in November.
 
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As we go through each higher seeded opponent this year, Starting with Good Ole Tennessee: :)

another-one.jpg
 
I get dropping the Huskies because they lost Paige, but Ice? She’s just a freshman that hasn’t played a college game. Not sure why that would affect UConn’s seeding but whatever
SI noted the injuries to both Brady & Paige together which is a cumulative loss of 2 players.
Their absence reduces the team's depth to only 10 players when other contenders have as many as 15 or more that can absorb injuries to key players which plagued UConn last year.
In USA basketball, Ice tied a single game US rebounding record. She had a "Game-high 15 rebounds (14 DR) in 82-77 gold medal win vs. CAN (6/19/22) tied U.S. record for most rebounds in WU18 play..." which shows that she played a key role in winning a gold medal.
She also partially represented Geno's attempt to improve a UConn team that was convincingly beaten in the NC game.
And she was rated as a 5 star post player, ranked #2 by position according to ESPN.


 
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With that quadrant id be happy. None of those 3 teams can beat us in storrs !
 
My bracketology sees South Carolina losing on March 27, 2023 in the Elite 8 in Greenville, SC.

Why? Because Div I women's basketball is in a period of Parity, A lot of good teams capable of beating any team and a lot of good coaches. It is next to impossible for a team to win back to back championships. Other than UConn winning back to back (or 4 in a row) the only other teams to win two or more consecutive are Tennessee with three (96, 97, & 98) pre parity and two in a row (07 & 08) about the start of parity; and Southern Cal two in a row (83 & 84) way prior to parity. Tara won in 90 & 92 and then it took 29 years for another one.
 
Here are my thoughts on this topic:
1) Today is November 8th, so no need to start (excessively) worrying about UCONN’s rank/placement in the NCAAs. I firmly believe that UCONN will work hard, and prove to everyone that their place/position is amongst the echelon group of WCBB by next March — even without their super star and Ice Brady.
2) I’ll read the mock drafters’ opinions, but I won’t start hyperventilating about “early reveals”
3) I truly cannot be upset or disappointed if SCar plays in front of their 18K fans during the NCAAs. Why, bc UCONN has been in this situation many times before. At this moment, Dawn Staley’s team sits on top of the mountain, and if the new format says they play close to home, then that’s what should happen bc they’ve earned it. At least until some other team pushes them off the mountain top.
4) Best wishes to everyone. I know my team is talented, and I’m rooting for them to do great. No more injuries! Go UCONN!
 
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And how odd that the Vegas betting line for this game had OSU winning by 2.5 points. Maybe the bookies are better judges than the sports writers.
 
Just over: #5 Tennessee loses to #14 Ohio State.
 
On the other side of the bracket, IU looked pretty good in their exhibition game. Scalia and Garzon shot well from 3. This is an aspect that was lacking in their game last year. It’s not lacking anymore.
 
...how about the Big East with 5 teams in.
That is only appropriate. The real joke is that the ACC and the SEC get 18 spots between them. Talk about the laziness of the experts. I get that a lot of money is invested in those two conferences. This is what gets exposed when ESPN publishes stuff like this in November.
 
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It is of ZERO consequence what Charlie is putting out there on Nov 8th... March Madness is a long time from now. These brackets will look completely different when it matters. Who can predict if another top team... i.e., SC, Stanford, Tenn, or your choice... don't have an injury plagued season like UCONN did last year???? I guess Charlie has to publish something at this time of the year to earn his paycheck.:confused:
The result of OSU vs Tenn proves my point on my post above. Charlie Creme's bracketology was busted in the first day. Tenn will fall.

Until we get through 75% of the season, bracketology predictions are not of a whole lot of value.

Go Huskies!!!
 
And how odd that the Vegas betting line for this game had OSU winning by 2.5 points. Maybe the bookies are better judges than the sports writers.
Bookies don’t analyze games; they analyze bettors. Odds are set so that half of the bettors bet on each team and that’s why the odds move. If bettors are betting on one team over the other, the bookies move the odds to make the other team a more attractive bet
 
Bookies don’t analyze games; they analyze bettors. Odds are set so that half of the bettors bet on each team and that’s why the odds move. If bettors are betting on one team over the other, the bookies move the odds to make the other team a more attractive bet
So what you are really saying is that the betting public has a better idea than the folks that rank the teams, of the better team. Examples: Ohio State favored over Tennessee in wcbb and Georgia over Tennessee in football, although lower ranked.
 
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I don't gamble so count me amongst the clueless. Never even purchased a scratchoff. lol
I at least am in possession of a lottery ticket worth $1.9b… potentially. It’s my retirement plan.

And now I await explanations of how the lottery works.
 
I don't gamble so count me amongst the clueless. Never even purchased a scratchoff. lol
as @Skeets and @HuskyNan pointed out, bookies are not experts who analyze teams and choose who they think is gonna win a game - in any sport - even ones they might follow like NFL. They make book on hundreds of different sports some of which they no absolutely nothing about. There is no team of experts about anything except money.

The point spread is initaiily set at a number that they believe will encourage people on both sides to bet the max. Their goal is to get as much money bet on the games as possible - not to pick a winner. They get 10% of the top of all money that is bet. However, they don't want all the dollars bet on either side. If the betting is one sided and that team wins, the bookie has to go in his pocket to pay off the winners. Ideally, both teams in the competition have the same amount of money backing them. That way all the money from the losers will be used to pay the winners and the bookie merely takes his 10% .

When they see most money being bet heavily on one side, they adjust the spread to encourage betting on the other side. They are not changing their opinion, the are merely attempting to cover the risk of loss. As skeets indicated, it is the betting public that decides the spread. "Credit the gamblers" - not Vegas.
 
So, let me get this straight.
Tennessee loses.
Drops down.
UCONN buries Northeastern tomorrow.
Then tops Texas next game.
UCONN vaults to #4 behind SC, Stanford and Iowa?
Granted, Texas is no gimme.
But so much for the preseason projected demise of UCONN Woman’s Basketball..
 
So, let me get this straight.
Tennessee loses.
Drops down.
UCONN buries Northeastern tomorrow.
Then tops Texas next game.
UCONN vaults to #4 behind SC, Stanford and Iowa?
Granted, Texas is no gimme.
But so much for the preseason projected demise of UCONN Woman’s Basketball..
Assuming Iowa doesn't get dinged in the meantime
 
Anyone happen to capture the 11/8 bracketology? I should have archived the page or screen shotted it while away.
 
He's back. TN, TX, OK, AZ, L'ville drop out of top 16. UCLA and Utah in.
(sorry for the gap on 11/8 as I didn't grab a screenshot while out of country)
1669127383013.png
 
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