Bracketology - week of Feb 27 | The Boneyard

Bracketology - week of Feb 27

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BRS24

LisaG
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No new ins/outs in top 16. Official NCAA reveal this Thursday.

Per Charlie:
Several games this week will impact the NCAA selection committee's reveal of its top 16 seeds Thursday and possibly even what happens on Selection Sunday. Texas will play at Oklahoma on Wednesday in what likely will decide the Big 12 regular-season championship and have major implications for whether the Longhorns can hold down the final No. 1 seed. Stanford can clinch the final Pac-12 title with a win at Oregon State on Thursday or at Oregon on Saturday. But the Cardinal's chances of locking up a top seed in the NCAA tournament might come down to what happens in Corvallis. Virginia Tech is a team that could steal a No. 1 seed from either Texas or Stanford, but the Hokies probably must prevail at Notre Dame on Thursday to do it.​
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Wow! Interesting to think what will happen if Texas, Stanford, and West Virginia all lose this week! Still a lot of things that can happen before we get a final bracket! That’s good as it gives me something else to look for other than “Strong to UConn!“ Both of those two possibilities could have a big effect on Women’s College Basketball but one of them will have a far greater effect on me! I’ll leave it to others to guess which one! :rolleyes:
 
Cuango said:
Wow! Interesting to think what will happen if Texas, Stanford, and West Virginia all lose this week! Still a lot of things that can happen before we get a final bracket! That’s good as it gives me something else to look for other than “Strong to UConn!“ Both of those two possibilities could have a big effect on Women’s College Basketball but one of them will have a far greater effect on me! I’ll leave it to others to guess which one! :rolleyes:
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What does West Virginia possibly losing have to do with UConn
 
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Centerstream said:
possible (3) UConn vs (2) Iowa...hmm
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I think that'll be a great game (if it happens). And I think UConn's defense can handle Clark. I think UConn's offense will be too much for Iowa.
 
Pharos said:
I think that'll be a great game (if it happens). And I think UConn's defense can handle Clark. I think UConn's offense will be too much for Iowa.
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Yes. It is a lot harder for Clark to get open or to make three pointers when an opposing player (Nika) is glued to her face.
 
This is the first really bad matchup bracket they have had so far. The good news is UConn will move up a couple more spots if they don't lose before the NCAA's. They need to be in that 2-3 overall seed bracket so they don't end up playing Stanford or South Carolina before the final.
 
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MSGRET said:
There is no way in heck that UConn is going to be the #3 in Portland and Oregon State the #3 in Albany. The committee will find a way to have those two switched because of attendance.
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I agree. In this particular projected seeding, it would have required sending either USC or UCLA out to Albany as a 2 seed in order to make room for Oregon State as a 3 seed in Portland. But I believe the committee would do so.
 
Of course, CC goes off schedule and updates Bracketology before tonight's reveal (6:30 ESPN). Indiana back in and KSU out of top 16. It will be interesting to see the similarities of CC's post today and the reveal tonight. And GHM if he does another update tomorrow, LOL.

On Thursday, the NCAA tournament selection committee will reveal its top 16 seeds for the second time this season. These will be the final clues from the committee before Selection Sunday, and there are some interesting questions to be answered. After so many teams losses in the last two weeks by top-16 teams, or teams just outside that group, does Gonzaga move in to a top-four seed? How far does Colorado, a No. 1 seed in the last reveal, fall following a four-game losing streak, albeit against teams all in the top 20 of the NET? Who gets the fourth No. 1 seed? And does Stanford even survive and stay on the top line after losing to Arizona? Will the Pac-12 have five teams in the top 16? These are the things we'll be watching.​
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Vowelguy said:
USC as overall 4 and UcLA as 8 is laughably awful.
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I don’t know. USC has the best player in the conference, and the entire Pac12 continues to beat up on each other, with no team having fewer than 3 losses (Stanford) in conference play. Overall, Stanford has 4 losses; UCLA, USC, OSU (5); CO (7); Utah (8). All those teams will be invited to the Big Dance, with AZ on the bubble. The entire Pac12 is either really good or really mediocre……
 
oldude said:
I don’t know. USC has the best player in the conference, and the entire Pac12 continues to beat up on each other, with no team having fewer than 3 losses (Stanford) in conference play. Overall, Stanford has 4 losses; UCLA, USC, OSU (5); CO (7); Utah (8). All those teams will be invited to the Big Dance, with AZ in the bubble.
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Sorry my post wasn’t clear. PAC is great. No problem with the rank levels — it’s the 4 spot gap between USC and UCLA. I still think UCLA is better but could take USC at 5 and UCLA at 6. But 4 and 8? No way.
 
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Well...according to the latest bracketing [today Thursday]...they still have us in the Portland
region: Stanford/Texas/UConn/Indiana.

Oregon State in the 3 slot in Albany. Many important games to go....but this cannot stand.
 
STILL Way too early.

games to be played the next two weeks will devastate these predictions

SCar 1
Gonzaga 16

That's as far as I will go at this point and even that is somewhat shaky, SCar can take an SEC tourney loss. But a loss to Arkansas and/or Tennessee in the remaining regular season games followed by an SEC tourney loss could knock them to a two seed.
 
Vowelguy said:
Duke v Iowa would be an interesting match between 2 teams that both score 50 points a game. (Iowa does it in each half.)
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And Duke is capable of holding a team to 50 per game, and Iowa is capable of holding a team to 50 per half.
 
Vowelguy said:
Sorry my post wasn’t clear. PAC is great. No problem with the rank levels — it’s the 4 spot gap between USC and UCLA. I still think UCLA is better but could take USC at 5 and UCLA at 6. But 4 and 8? No way.
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I don't understand the rationale there either.

Two weeks ago UCLA was #7 and USC was #9.

Since then, UCLA lost on a buzzer beater at Oregon State, and then beat Utah and Colorado at home, while USC beat Oregon State sans Beers, beat Colorado, but lost at home to Utah.

I'm not at all seeing how these results push USC ahead of UCLA in the seeding order.
 
UConn moves up to 10 in latest NCAA Tournament reveal. Positioned in Portland 4 with UCLA as 1, Virginia Tech as 2 and Gonzaga as 4.
 
Here you go. The latest reveal. Interesting to see the reveal on 2/15, CC's take today, and then the NCAA reveal. Lots of games to play before Selection Sunday.
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Are they really going to put UConn in Portland and Oregon State in Albany? I'm looking for fans with pitchforks and torches out in the streets.
 
Of course CC updated after last night's reveal.
The NCAA selection committee uses 14 distinct criteria to determine and seed the 68-team field. The top-16 reveals, like the one we had Thursday, often offer a glimpse of what the committee seems to be emphasizing that year. There seem to be a few common threads to what this 12-member panel values this season. In no particular order: how a team is playing now, the quality of a team's losses, the eye test, nonconference strength of schedule, and top-25 and top-50 wins. The eye test isn't an official criterion, but it seemed to come into play with LSU -- a team playing well with an abundance of talent that is now blending together but also a team lacking quality wins or a good strength of schedule. The Tigers still managed the No. 9 overall spot. Elsewhere, the committee put UCLA on the top line and Oklahoma joined the top 16.​

The marking updates are showing CC's changes from last night's reveal. Sigh.
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Vandy moves from FFO to LFI:

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Well...we are now back in nearby Albany but we are in South Carolina's pod of 4.
Like/Don't like...lots of games still to go.

Va. Tech a two seed? Another 'Don't like"
 
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