Bracketology 2/22

[UChusky916]

Beat a 1 and you become a 1.

Let's worry about beating teams like Temple in the AAC and clinching a tournament birth before we start talking about beating 1 seeds.

 

[Hi-Low]

I really don't think our current situation is yet comparable to the recent tourney snubs Temple or SMU. All our metrics say we are in solidly in "as of now"....Only 2 things can screw UConn up now -
- Losing to anyone other than SMU in last four regular season games.
- TX, SMU, Michigan, Tulsa (top 50ish wins) collapse down the stretch taking us down the board with them.

 

[Jerry1714]

As a follow up bracket matrix has us as a 8 seed

http://bracketmatrix.com/

 

[BFieldHusky]

Oh they are definitely in real danger, but here is the S curve

Saturday seed list (CAPS=AQ): 01-NOVA, 02-KU, 03-UVa, 04-Okla, 05-UNC, 06-Xav, 07-IOWA, 08-Miami, 09-MichSt, 10-Md, 11-Wvu, 12-Ore, 13-UK...14-Duke, 15-IowaSt, 16-Day, 17-Purd, 18-NDame, 19-ZONA, 20-Texas, 21-TexA&M, 22-Utah, 23-Ind, 24-Bay, 25-Cal, 26-SoCal, 27-WICH, 28-Flor, 29-Prov, 30-Colo, 31-SoCar, 32-StJoe, 33-Conn, 34-ZAGA, 35-Wisc, 36-Cuse, 37-VCU, 38-Mich, 39-SHall, 40-Pitt, 41-TEMP, 42-Lsu, 43-VALP...44-TTech(L4), 45-Bama(L4), 46-MONM, 47-Butler(L4), 48-Cincy(L4), 49-SDSU, 50-UALR, 51-CHATT, 52-STONY, 53-YALE, 54-AKRON, 55-HAW, 56-UNCW

So prior to their Houston win they were 1 at large spot from the L4 in.

So based on this, there are 11 at large teams behind us in the bracket. Beat USF, Houston and UCF and I think the American tournament is purely for seeding. Beat SMU in addition to this, and we could move up towards a 6 seed.

 

[Blue Blood]

Has anyone looked at the tourney odds despite us being a 9 seed lunardi has us 20th most likely to win the ship ahead of 3 seed Oregon among others not that it means anything just found it interesting

 

[Jerry1714]

Has anyone looked at the tourney odds despite us being a 9 seed lunardi has us 20th most likely to win the ship ahead of 3 seed Oregon among others not that it means anything just found it interesting

My site has 40-1, which they have been at most of the year

 

[Blue Blood]

My site has 40-1, which they have been at most of the year

Lunardi does it differently he gives us a .9% to win Kansas is number 1 with a little over 10%

 

[storrs15]

They were 100-1 in 2014 at this time

 

[Jaker]

If we are in the NYC pod, I give us about 20-1