Honestly, it depends on one thing. Money. If they can get a media deal that guarantees them more money, they will take more money. If that means a 2 team tournament, so be it. If it means they pick the champ out of a hat, well, they’ll get a hat. The NCAA tournament was nice while it lasted. But we have this cool hat with an ESPN logo.
The P5 have shown their willingness to end all sorts of things in pursuit of an extra buck. Oklahoma-Nebraska rivalry going back to 1921? Not important. Texas-A&M played every year since 1888. Nah! You really think they care about tradition? Their motto is The only principal that matters is that upon which interest is paid.
I agree with Huggins that men’s basketball pays for everything including ironically the FCS and other football playoff where football keeps the money 3/4 to P5 1/4 to G5 and Indy’s.
His solution is somewhat unclear.
I don’t agree on limiting the the tourney. Minor conference usually end up with a pittance and add immensely to the fun.
If the goal is to increase basketball payouts the solution is much simpler
1. Eliminate the general distribution
Which accounts for 50% of the revenue. Adding that money to the conference participants.
2. Get football to share in financing non revenue championships and administrative costs.
BB revenue is $800,000,000 while football is half that number.
That keeps the vast majority of the money in Div 1 basketball. Yet still finances all the non revenue championships.
That makes BB a lot more attractive disproportionately to Basketball only conferences ,G5 and most Indy’s. because of their crappy media deals helping stressed budgets.
I suspect the NCAA might lose membership but at 1200-1300 schools with little in common maybe that’s not a bad thing.
Not financing non revenue NCAA championships is a non starter.
The legal ramifications are mind boggling.