Games remaining:
P4 games:
Villanova @ Wisconsin (12/19)
St. John's vs. Kentucky (Atlanta) (12/20)
Butler vs. Northwestern (12/20)
Cupcake games:
Butler vs. NJIT (12/22)
Georgetown vs. Coppin State (12/22)
Creighton vs. Utah Tech (12/22)
St. John's vs. Harvard (12/23)
The league sits at 20-27 overall against the P4. To beat last year's winning percentage of 43.9%, we need to win two of the final three contest agains the P4 (very doable).
We also need to take care of business against the four cupcakes. If we do, we will only have six losses against teams outside of the P4, which is very impressive.
With regards to bids, if we go 6-1 the rest of the way, I believe we will end up anywhere between 3-5 bids depending on what happens in the league. Ultimately I believe we end up with four bids.
Field prognostication based solely on resume so far:
Lock: UConn
Should be in: St. John's, Seton Hall
Work left to do: Butler, Villanova
Out: Marquette, Creighton, Xavier, DePaul, Georgetown, Providence
I'm going to play predictor here for a moment and say the league wins six of the final seven with Nova being the only loss.
Here is how I see the final standings:
1. UConn 18-2 (29-2)*
2. St. John's 15-5 (23-8)*
3. Seton Hall 13-7 (23-8)*
4. Villanova 13-7 (21-10)*
5. Butler 11-9 (20-11)
6. Creighton 10-10 (16-15)
7. Xavier 8-12 (16-15)
8. Providence 7-13 (14-17)
9. Marquette 6-14 (11-20)
10. Georgetown 6-14 (14-17)
11. DePaul 3-17 (11-20)
*= NCAA tournament teams
Side bar: Nova beats Butler in a win and your in BET quarterfinal
Tournament seeds:
UConn: 1
St. John's: 6
Seton Hall: 10
Villanova: 11 (Dayton)
Butler: first four out