I don't necessarily view Washington as a threat to take Mora, but I do think there is a high probability that job opens up. I think they'll aim higher than Mora. Fisch makes $7.5m this year. That's multiple (multiple) levels higher than Mora.
IIRC one of the reasons Mora took this role, although far from Sun Valley, is that he has kids/grandkids in NYC area? That is probably a factor in this.
Coaching college football is a 24/7/365 job in today's era, so there really isn't a point being closer to Sun Valley for him, especially if he is going to a "bigger" job -- he simply won't have the time to get out there anyways. If, for some reason, that is a factor, there still really aren't gigs for him. Mora makes ~$2.2m:
Lateral at Best (so probably not worth it):
- Oregon State $2m
- Colorado State $2m
Will They Even Call (If Open)?
- Boise $2m
- UCLA $3.1m
- UNLV $3.5m
- Stanford (N/A but likely $3-4m+)
Honestly, Stanford is the most intriguing one for me. NFL guy running the show in Andrew Luck. Mora is a proven rebuilder and has experience coaching college ball in California. Plus it would be a very nice pay raise.
The other thing to look at with Mora is next year's team -- it's a mini-rebuild in a lot of ways. Yes, the foundation and culture is really strong -- and they have a lot more leverage to attract talent, but you still need to hit on at minimum a QB1 and WR1. You're losing two of the best players in the country. Going to be nearly impossible to replace to begin with, let alone hit on. So if I'm Mora, I would view this as the offseason to leave. I do think if he stays this cycle and granted things don't go south fast, this will be his last coaching gig.