Back for this update after the weekend and Tues/Wed games. Off the bubble: St. John's and Xavier. Resume metrics just not good enough and St John's only 1 chance for meaningful win remaining. Xavier has a few, but they're really behind the eight ball with 13 losses and only 2 quad 1 wins and 2 bad losses.
33. Villanova 15-11 (8-7 BE)
Power - #28, Resume - #60
Non-Conf SoS - #84
Away/Neutral: 6-7
Q1: 3-6 (1A 2-3)
Q2: 6-2
Top 2: 9-8
Q3+Q4 losses: 3
Wins Under Consideration: 7-4 (6-6 rest)
BracketMatrix - First Four out (#48)
Remaining schedule - @ UConn, GTown, @ Prov, @SHU, Creighton
61. Butler 15-11 (7-9 BE)
Power - #62, Resume - #56
Non-Conf SoS - #85
Away/Neutral: 5-7
Q1: 4-10 (1A 2-6)
Q2: 3-1
Top 2: 7-11
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 6-10 (9-1 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed (#42)
Remaining schedule - @SHU, St. John's, @DePaul, Xavier
55. Providence 18-9 (9-7 BE)
Power - #52, Resume - #45
Non-Conf SoS - #242
Away/Neutral: 4-7
Q1: 5-6 (2-4)
Q2: 3-3
Top 2: 8-9
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 5-6 (13-3 non)
BracketMatrix - First team out (#46)
Remaining schedule - @Marq, Nova, @GTown, UConn
65. Seton Hall 17-9 (10-5)
Power - #56, Resume - #49
Non-Conf SoS - #237
Away/Neutral: 6-6
Q1: 5-5 (1A 2-4)
Q2: 2-2
Top 2: 7-7
Q3+Q4 losses: 2
Wins Under Consideration: 4-5 (13-4 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed, Last team in (#45)
Remaining schedule - Butler, @ Creighton, @ UConn, Nova, DePaul
For comparison, here's the last non-Big East team currently in the field by BracketMatrix.
22. Gonzaga 15-9 (4-7 B12)
Power - #19, Resume - #55
Non-Conf SoS - #24
Away/Neutral: 8-4
Q1: 1-5 (1A 1-3)
Q2: 2-1
Top 2: 3-6
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 1-4 (14-5 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed, 2nd Last team in (#44)
Villanova continues to have the most bizarre resume. They have a better record against teams under consideration than they do against non-tournament teams and their power metrics are getting really good. It's possible our home game against them will move to Q1. Their fate will likely be determined by how the committee treats bad losses vs. top 2 quads. Providence and Seton Hall have been improving their resumes and are looking decent right now, but they need to keep it up. Butler is moving the wrong direction. BracketMatrix still had them somewhat safely in as of last night, but looking at the resumes I'd have them behind both Providence and Seton Hall.
33. Villanova 15-11 (8-7 BE)
Power - #28, Resume - #60
Non-Conf SoS - #84
Away/Neutral: 6-7
Q1: 3-6 (1A 2-3)
Q2: 6-2
Top 2: 9-8
Q3+Q4 losses: 3
Wins Under Consideration: 7-4 (6-6 rest)
BracketMatrix - First Four out (#48)
Remaining schedule - @ UConn, GTown, @ Prov, @SHU, Creighton
61. Butler 15-11 (7-9 BE)
Power - #62, Resume - #56
Non-Conf SoS - #85
Away/Neutral: 5-7
Q1: 4-10 (1A 2-6)
Q2: 3-1
Top 2: 7-11
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 6-10 (9-1 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed (#42)
Remaining schedule - @SHU, St. John's, @DePaul, Xavier
55. Providence 18-9 (9-7 BE)
Power - #52, Resume - #45
Non-Conf SoS - #242
Away/Neutral: 4-7
Q1: 5-6 (2-4)
Q2: 3-3
Top 2: 8-9
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 5-6 (13-3 non)
BracketMatrix - First team out (#46)
Remaining schedule - @Marq, Nova, @GTown, UConn
65. Seton Hall 17-9 (10-5)
Power - #56, Resume - #49
Non-Conf SoS - #237
Away/Neutral: 6-6
Q1: 5-5 (1A 2-4)
Q2: 2-2
Top 2: 7-7
Q3+Q4 losses: 2
Wins Under Consideration: 4-5 (13-4 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed, Last team in (#45)
Remaining schedule - Butler, @ Creighton, @ UConn, Nova, DePaul
For comparison, here's the last non-Big East team currently in the field by BracketMatrix.
22. Gonzaga 15-9 (4-7 B12)
Power - #19, Resume - #55
Non-Conf SoS - #24
Away/Neutral: 8-4
Q1: 1-5 (1A 1-3)
Q2: 2-1
Top 2: 3-6
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 1-4 (14-5 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed, 2nd Last team in (#44)
Villanova continues to have the most bizarre resume. They have a better record against teams under consideration than they do against non-tournament teams and their power metrics are getting really good. It's possible our home game against them will move to Q1. Their fate will likely be determined by how the committee treats bad losses vs. top 2 quads. Providence and Seton Hall have been improving their resumes and are looking decent right now, but they need to keep it up. Butler is moving the wrong direction. BracketMatrix still had them somewhat safely in as of last night, but looking at the resumes I'd have them behind both Providence and Seton Hall.
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