Excellent points. Injuries have to be factored in.
Not just IF Zach will be playing, but will he be helping or hurting his team after sitting out a month to 6 weeks. He could be playing but still not be fully himself, in which case he might not be helping them much if at all. It remains to be seen.
Villanova with Justin Moore back is an interesting case. Moore is obviously not himself yet. Shooting only 30% from the floor, 26% on 3’s, and 67% from the line. Those are not Justin Moore numbers. BUT they are playing better as a team with him in the lineup because he does other things. You never know.