AP Top 25 Week 14: Top 4 remain the same | The Boneyard

AP Top 25 Week 14: Top 4 remain the same

UCLA's 3 point margin of victory over Michigan yesterday was the same as UConn's MOV over them.
Michigan missed the last shot of the game to tie it, and UCLA missed 2 foul shots which would have made it a 2 possession game.
Both teams seem capable of cracking under pressure.

SCar's 43 point MOV over Tennessee was greater than UConn's 30 point MOV over them with Blamca out.
 
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Duke is the power mover of the week: up 6 to #11. BDs now in contention for a 2 seed.
But not all joy in @triaddukefan land as that "other" team was the 2nd biggest mover -- up 4 to #21.

Meanwhile that injury has killed Iowa -- down another 5 this week, and in danger of falling out of hosting. I hope Jan Jensen still gets conference COY -- they were clearly #2 in the B1G -- but it's probably Close's now.
 

And it was only a few weeks ago, when we were all complaining about the really bad TOs the team was making! (I hope Blanca is learning something during her forced absence from the line-up! 😎 )
 
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And it was only a few weeks ago, when we were all complaining about the really bad TOs the team was making! (I hope Blanca is learning something during her forced absence from the line-up! 😎 )
Actually, Strong has the most turnovers on the team with 48. Williams has 43, Blanca has 38 & Azzi has 36.
And Strong also sat out the last game.

 
Duke needed a signature win to force voters to re-evaluate them. Beating Louisville provided that.

The bottom 5+/- are in a musical chairs competition week to week - none have great records, so they switch seats amongst themselves based on a win or loss each week, and will continue to do so through conference tournaments, with no one in the 'also receiving votes' really applying any pressure to replace them. A signature win could move them up out of the chatter, TN has the most chances, but also the highest chance of losing 5 games. MD playing Mich/MichSt/tOSU might have the best chance. NC has a H/H with Duke - a split would certainly help them.
 
UCLA's 3 point margin of victory over Michigan yesterday was the same as UConn's MOV over them.
Michigan missed the last shot of the game to tie it, and UCLA missed 2 foul shots which would have made it a 2 possession game.
Both teams seem capable of cracking under pressure.

SCar's 43 point MOV over Tennessee was greater than UConn's 30 point MOV over them with Blamca out.

Michigan's last shot was an airball by Swords. Remember her?

UCLA's missed FTs were by Jacquez, who was shooting 89%.
 
Actually, Strong has the most turnovers on the team with 48. Williams has 43, Blanca has 38 & Azzi has 36.
And Strong also sat out the last game.

Post players generally lead teams in TO as they operate in the most crowded area of the floor and are double/triple teamed at a higher rate. On the other hand, they seldom lead the team in assists as Strong currently does, nor do they sport her 2.25 A/TO ratio, but she also isn't a traditional post. Serah is more typical, but she still has a better than 1.00 A/TO. In fact Jana's 16/19, and Ayanna's 3/7 A/TO are the only two at less than 1.00 in their limited minutes.
 
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Sarah and Azzi have the ball in their hands more often then other players
To be honest, we should look at when during the season were the most TO's made by a player.
Were the TO's mostly made earlier in the seaosn soon after Blanca arrived or more recently such as in Strong's
case?
Fans should realize when patterns emerge, & not refer to them as current after TO patterns could have changed.
Thus it becomes more of a matter of when did the pattern occur and not that it occcurred in the more distant past.
Geno has addressed this already anyway regarding Blanca which was the post that I replied to.
 
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Lots of losses at spots 5-25 further solidifying the top 4 ncaa seeds. Vandy now really only team that could still move up...

...but Shea's group faces 5 ranked teams plus #28 Georgia in their last 6 games. Against this gauntlet they could even fall out of top 8.

Tonight Vandy goes up against Oklahoma. Pre season OU would have been favored, but with new Vandy the game is a toss up.

Big game. Will be rooting for Shea and team.
 
Duke needed a signature win to force voters to re-evaluate them. Beating Louisville provided that.

The bottom 5+/- are in a musical chairs competition week to week - none have great records, so they switch seats amongst themselves based on a win or loss each week, and will continue to do so through conference tournaments, with no one in the 'also receiving votes' really applying any pressure to replace them. A signature win could move them up out of the chatter, TN has the most chances, but also the highest chance of losing 5 games. MD playing Mich/MichSt/tOSU might have the best chance. NC has a H/H with Duke - a split would certainly help them.
I’m not sure what happened but Louisville had to dig out of an 18-1 deficit in the first quarter. They made it competitive but that’s pretty tough against Duke. Still, I think Jeff has done an incredible job this season. As has Kara of course, they looked dead in the water early on.
 
Lots of losses at spots 5-25 further solidifying the top 4 ncaa seeds. Vandy now really only team that could still move up...
.
If LSU beats SC and then makes the SECT final, I think they'd have a good chance. They split with Texas, have close losses to Vandy and Ky, and would have a win over SC plus likely another win over SC/Tex.

I'd say Vandy is a longer shot bc of the 30 pt loss to SC. Still not sure how good they are.
 
That SEC tournament could conceivably be a preview of the NCAA final four with 2 two seeds playing 2 one seeds! Regardless - it is going to be a tournament stacked with nine top 25 teams!

UCLA and Uconn obvious will be large hurdles to overcome before that happens and a few other teams could toss a spanner in it, but ...
 
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If LSU beats SC and then makes the SECT final, I think they'd have a good chance. They split with Texas, have close losses to Vandy and Ky, and would have a win over SC plus likely another win over SC/Tex.

I'd say Vandy is a longer shot bc of the 30 pt loss to SC. Still not sure how good they are.
Well nice work by Vandy vs Oklahoma.

Vandy now has wins over LSU, MI, OK and KY on the road. The gauntlet keeps going but TX and TN are the biggest remaining hurdles.

True LSU has an outside chance too. They do host SC this season, but a sweep of TX would have really helped them.
 
TTU and TCU were really over ranked .. they are coming down and will prob going south even further . Vandy and Princeton , in my opinion are also over ranked .
 
SC is really coming on strong. They destroyed TN and have looked awfully good recently. In terms of the Final Four yes, UCLA will be a contender, but the team UConn should watch for is SC, IMHO.
They always look good at home. Let's wait on their away game with LSU.
 
TTU and TCU were really over ranked .. they are coming down and will prob going south even further . Vandy and Princeton , in my opinion are also over ranked .
Did you see last night's game vs #10 Oklahoma? I don't think #5 is too high, they're 3-1 against the top ten.
 
For the week 14 AP top 25, I will post the top 54 SRCBB Adjusted Net Ratings (last column on right) simply in order to capture all of the AP's top 25. Note that according to SRCBB's computer algorithm, Princeton is the most wildly over-ranked AP team and Minnesota (yet again) is the most under-ranked team.

Rk
SchoolConf AP RankWLPtsOppMOV SOS OSRSDSRSSRSORtgDRtgNRtg
1ConnecticutBig East125089.850.639.2814.2230.3823.1353.50129.3358.9170.43
2UCLABig Ten223186.057.029.0019.2027.7320.4848.20132.3667.0265.34
3South CarolinaSEC324288.155.732.4614.9128.5318.8547.37126.2165.0861.13
4TexasSEC423286.954.832.1214.9726.6220.4747.09124.6064.2860.33
5Louisiana StateSEC622396.657.838.768.2334.3412.6546.99125.2068.7556.45
6MichiganBig Ten720486.962.324.6316.3426.9813.9940.97119.9367.9152.02
7OklahomaSEC1017688.065.522.4313.7027.848.3036.14113.6670.3643.30
8LouisvilleACC922481.759.921.8112.9121.6913.0334.72119.0473.9745.07
9DukeACC1118675.958.317.6316.7417.0217.3434.36112.4968.1744.32
10VanderbiltSEC523285.463.222.1611.4323.819.7833.59121.8178.5643.25
11Michigan StateBig Ten1320485.363.322.0411.1022.9910.1533.14120.0977.1142.98
12MarylandBig Ten2019683.161.621.5210.9422.969.5032.46116.5574.0442.52
13TCUBig 121721480.255.324.967.5016.9515.5132.46114.1972.1342.06
14IowaBig Ten1518579.966.113.8318.2820.8111.2932.11115.9974.6541.34
15MinnesotaBig Ten18675.555.919.6311.9514.2117.3731.58115.2571.9943.27
16Ohio StateBig Ten822383.864.419.4011.8122.268.9531.21113.2474.8338.41
17Southern CaliforniaBig Ten15969.859.710.0820.3911.9818.5030.48107.9067.6940.20
18KentuckySEC1818776.658.717.9212.5314.8815.5730.45115.0474.3340.71
19MississippiSEC1419577.557.220.339.3915.3514.3729.72111.5373.3438.19
20West VirginiaBig 121920576.859.417.3612.0416.0113.3929.40110.5273.0237.49
21TennesseeSEC2215676.665.111.5217.2018.869.8628.72110.3773.8636.51
22NebraskaBig Ten16880.966.614.3313.8218.709.4528.15117.3280.3137.01
23NC StateACC17778.466.012.4215.5819.308.7028.00113.5377.6035.93
24North CarolinaACC2120575.457.917.5210.4613.6714.3127.98109.3072.8436.46
25OregonBig Ten18876.963.413.5414.1016.8510.7827.63110.3974.4135.98
26Oklahoma StateBig 1219685.162.422.686.0320.176.5626.74117.7883.9733.81
27Notre DameACC15979.166.112.9613.3118.987.2926.27113.0480.2432.80
28Texas TechBig 121622373.856.417.408.1511.4814.0725.55107.1574.0633.09
29Iowa StateBig 1219583.664.119.466.0020.445.0225.46117.3484.0433.30
30BaylorBig 121221472.457.814.6010.7911.7213.6725.39105.1371.7233.41
31AlabamaSEC2320571.458.113.2411.7411.1813.7924.98110.4176.8533.56
32WashingtonBig Ten2518674.160.913.1711.4412.9411.6724.61112.2678.7533.51
33IllinoisBig Ten16877.465.511.9212.0414.589.3823.96111.5580.6730.88
34GeorgiaSEC19575.558.816.677.2112.4211.4523.87108.4577.4730.98
35Mississippi StateSEC16877.864.813.009.0015.616.3922.00110.5982.3428.25
36SyracuseACC19575.261.913.297.7813.687.3921.07104.9278.4926.43
37VirginiaACC17777.062.314.716.2913.677.3221.00109.7281.9527.77
38ColoradoBig 1216868.661.07.5412.127.7611.9019.66101.7976.4825.31
39Virginia TechACC18773.959.913.965.6310.429.1719.59102.2077.9324.27
40StanfordACC16969.460.88.5210.777.9211.3719.29103.8077.7826.02
41VillanovaBig East19572.861.910.888.2711.507.6519.15106.1780.7125.46
42ClemsonACC17870.157.412.686.156.1512.6818.83108.6783.0725.60
43FloridaSEC151173.865.58.319.4910.896.9117.80103.8782.0821.79
44CaliforniaACC151070.263.96.3611.199.498.0517.55105.2182.9022.31
45Miami (FL)ACC121270.865.55.2112.239.727.7217.44103.9282.2421.68
46UtahBig 1216869.263.95.2912.938.438.8917.32102.8780.7922.08
47RichmondA-1020475.661.414.213.0212.095.1417.23111.9788.8923.08
48KansasBig 12151073.866.07.7211.9211.635.5117.13107.3285.1922.12
49Arizona StateBig 1219667.059.08.008.904.8512.0516.9097.8576.2021.65
50North Dakota StateSummit22281.459.122.29-4.1512.913.5416.44109.7787.4022.38
51Brigham YoungBig 1216870.563.37.258.468.417.3015.7198.7979.8618.93
52James MadisonSun Belt18874.763.511.194.419.635.9615.60102.2482.1720.07
53South Dakota StateSummit18675.863.412.463.1010.465.1115.56107.6386.9420.70
54PrincetonIvy2419274.063.810.195.3111.464.0415.50109.4188.9120.50
 
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