There are not quite as many variables as last year, but you could be correct. Doing the number crunching regarding possible roster spots the last few years has been very difficult for any program near the maximum, but made even more challenging because of the Covid year, the increase in activity in the portal with the waiting year removed, and NIL monetary considerations, and in our case the huge number of players with an extra year due to a red shirt.
This year it is a little clearer. For another addition, all three of Paige, Azzi and Caroline cannot return, unless someone else left in the portal. Obviously Paige indicated that she expected this to be her last year, but she hasn't totally shut the door on the possibility of returning either, and some think there are significant reasons she might not like her anticipated WNBA destination etc, so I don't think that decision is cast in stone yet.
Uconn has generally been pretty protective of player's privacy regarding stay or go decisions, and injuries, and I expect that to continue. Of course Geno did spill the beans on Aubrey last year ahead of senior night, so I think he will be even more carefull to let them announce on their terms this year.
