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Without OU and Texas the recruiting at the other schools is sure to suffer. Also, what if the PAC 12 comes calling? If that happens the Big 12 is done!
Couple of paragraphs in regards to recruiting in a much larger article on the Big12 in The Athletic today:I don’t buy that, that’s like saying if Alabama and Auburn left the SEC that recruiting would surely suffer in the SEC.
-> While there hasn’t been a slew of decommitments for the eight Big 12 members since this news hit, coaches and staffers say an uncertain future is immediately impacting their recruiting efforts. It’s way too easy right now for programs they’re competing with to sow doubt in recruits: Why go there? They’ll end up in a Group of 5 league. “It’s killing us right now,” one Big 12 coach said. “It’s absolutely, no doubt hurting us.”
One would think this is more detrimental for the next recruiting class, since the grant of rights through the summer of 2025 is supposed to ensure recruits in the current 2022 cycle get to play at least three seasons in the Big 12. But it’s hard to have good answers for these prospects and their parents right now about what the future holds.
This is hitting at an especially brutal time, too, with four of these eight programs recruiting quite well this summer. West Virginia has the No. 19 class on 247Sports, Iowa State is ranked No. 25, Baylor is No. 26 and Oklahoma State is currently No. 29 as of Sunday night.
These programs already have a tough enough time building classes that consistently rank at a top-25 level. If you take the last five years of 247Sports class rankings and look at average finish over that span, Oklahoma’s recruiting ranks No. 6 nationally and Texas ranks No. 8. No other member of the Big 12 makes the top 30.
Five-year average class ranking:
| TEAM | RANK | BEST | WORST |
|---|---|---|---|
| TCU | 31 | 24 (2020) | 53 (2021) |
| Oklahoma State | 34 | 30 (2021) | 40 (2020) |
| Baylor | 39 | 29 (2018) | 50 (2020) |
| West Virginia | 43 | 35 (2018) | 57 (2017) |
| Iowa State | 51 | 46 (2019) | 60 (2021) |
| Kansas State | 59 | 52 (2020) | 66 (2018) |
| Texas Tech | 62 | 48 (2020) | 74 (2021) |
| Kansas | 68 | 56 (2020) | 71 (2017) |
How might that change once the two defecting members are gone? Recruiting at Oklahoma and Texas certainly won’t suffer from moving to the SEC. And recent history suggests we may end up living in a world where two-thirds of the blue-chip recruits in Texas are signing with SEC schools. The unknowable question is just how much the Big 12 is diminished in the eyes of recruits. Are these developmental programs going to have an even harder time convincing four- and five-star prospects to play in their league? <-