I think there's a non-0% chance he commits. There's been no smoke at all lately, but things can change quickly. In the past week:
1. Trilly put in a gif for Cloer to NC State
2. Trilly said a source told him UConn might let County walk to go all in on Mingo/Landrew. When asked to clarify if they we going all in on both he said he wasn't sure it was realistic to get both.
3. Tom Moore's comments in his Storrs Central interview the other night when talking about our recruiting model
Tom Moore Live Q&A (Varsity) (at the 57:48 mark)
If Cloer told the staff he will be committing to NC State, that's suddenly a bucket of NIL money planned for Cloer that gets freed up. If we can't realistically afford both Mingo and Landrew (hope this isn't true) then following the model Tom mentioned, we could pivot to a big offer for Mingo, up the offer for Toure a bit, and the remaining budget goes to another developmental player. I know this probably gives off Pepe Silvia vibes, but it's at least plausible.