In all honesty, I figure the best case is:
Uconn runs past USF, though not as easily as the last game, I would say 18 to 20 points, pulling away in the end, maybe scoring 75 to 80 points. They build on the first half vs Houston, this time by 12 at the half and learn from the 2nd half (re: what not to do). They improve 2nd half play compared to the last match up. Still, they hold on for a 2 or 3 point win similar in fashion to the second UCF game, in a game that is in the high 50s or low 60s. It is not a pretty win, but it brings Uconn to the semi finals. Cincy gets a surprisingly tough game from Tulsa, "eeking" out an 11 to 14 point win that keeps the pundits off their back because it is a double digit win, but the game is closer than the final score would show and cincy has to work harder than they might of thought. Uconn keeps the game vs Cincy close in the first half, only down around 7 or 8 though this is just as low scoring, I would say Cincy is in the high 20s, doubtful to crack 30. Cincy slowly builds a 15 point lead and wins by 10 to 12 in the end.
Worst case scenario:
Uconn struggles against USF, surprisingly, and eeks out a 5 to 8 point win. They are visibly tired by the end of the game and is starts to show midway through the first half of the Houston game where Houston breaks open a game that is even 10 t 12 minutes in and goes into the locker room up 9 by the end of the half, the lead made smaller by a prayer 3 at the buzzer from probably JA. BYard folk start to think this could be the start to a second half run but Uconn comes out flat in the second half, tired and quickly loses the game. The Houston lead balloons to 25 before Uconn makes it somewhat respectable, losing by 14 to 16.
What really happens:
Who knows? Most likely something kind of in-between those two scenarios.
