Drew
Its a post, about nothing!
- Joined
- Jun 19, 2013
- Messages
- 7,762
- Reaction Score
- 27,507
As it is currently:
1. Tulsa (4-1)
2. Houston (4-1)
3. Memphis (3-1)
4. Cincinnati (4-2)
5. Wichita St (3-2)
6. SMU (3-2)
7. ECU (2-3)
8. UCF (2-4)
9. Temple (2-4)
10. Tulane (2-4)
11. UConn (1-3)
12. USF (1-4)
A few things...
You have to figure ECU and Tulane will continue to slide down to the bottom of the rankings. Tulane had the shocking win over Cincinnati and ECU beat USF/SMU but reality seemingly is setting in for those schools the last few games out.
There is a 0.0% chance Tulsa finishes in the top 4 of the league. Their 4 league wins are Temple (Home), Houston (Home), ECU (Road), Tulane (Road). Their next 4 game stretch is: Memphis (Home), UConn (Road), Wichita St (Home), UConn (Home). They also still have to go on the road to Temple, Wichita State, and Houston. They’ll likely finish in the middle of the pack.
Which brings me to this: UConn can still make a run at being a top 5 or 6 seed in the conference tournament. I don’t think we’ll catch Houston or Memphis, but the rest of the games for us are seemingly winnable: Tulsa x2, Cincinnati (Home), SMU (Road), ECU (Road), Temple x2, Memphis (Home), UCF (Home), USF (Home), Houston (Home), Tulane (Road) are all winnable games. Figuring losses @ Memphis and @ Houston are fairly likely- UConn would need to go 8-4 in the listed games above to get to 9-9 in the league. Why not? If we can avoid Houston in the AAC tournament there is nobody else on that list I truly doubt we can beat on a neutral floor. Some are writing off the season but I’m not ready to totally give up yet
1. Tulsa (4-1)
2. Houston (4-1)
3. Memphis (3-1)
4. Cincinnati (4-2)
5. Wichita St (3-2)
6. SMU (3-2)
7. ECU (2-3)
8. UCF (2-4)
9. Temple (2-4)
10. Tulane (2-4)
11. UConn (1-3)
12. USF (1-4)
A few things...
You have to figure ECU and Tulane will continue to slide down to the bottom of the rankings. Tulane had the shocking win over Cincinnati and ECU beat USF/SMU but reality seemingly is setting in for those schools the last few games out.
There is a 0.0% chance Tulsa finishes in the top 4 of the league. Their 4 league wins are Temple (Home), Houston (Home), ECU (Road), Tulane (Road). Their next 4 game stretch is: Memphis (Home), UConn (Road), Wichita St (Home), UConn (Home). They also still have to go on the road to Temple, Wichita State, and Houston. They’ll likely finish in the middle of the pack.
Which brings me to this: UConn can still make a run at being a top 5 or 6 seed in the conference tournament. I don’t think we’ll catch Houston or Memphis, but the rest of the games for us are seemingly winnable: Tulsa x2, Cincinnati (Home), SMU (Road), ECU (Road), Temple x2, Memphis (Home), UCF (Home), USF (Home), Houston (Home), Tulane (Road) are all winnable games. Figuring losses @ Memphis and @ Houston are fairly likely- UConn would need to go 8-4 in the listed games above to get to 9-9 in the league. Why not? If we can avoid Houston in the AAC tournament there is nobody else on that list I truly doubt we can beat on a neutral floor. Some are writing off the season but I’m not ready to totally give up yet