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This is not complicated.
Either you win or March or you don’t.
Yet again the AAC went t!t$ up in March.
Until they stop doing that it’s just talk.
They were the distant 7th league barely ahead of MWC. There isn’t any need to guess. The numbers are available for $20 a year.
Even if I take your word that it was 7th, it doesn't change the fact that the conference sent three legitimate teams to the tournament that were either going to survive the regression model or not. The AAC wasn't really different than any other conference in that respect. If a kid from Michigan hitting a 30 footer is the difference between failing and succeeding in March, then it's purely from a perception standpoint. And that perception matters, but to dismiss the practical aspect of the analysis during a year where Loyola is in the final four and UMBC beat the #1 overall seed is hard for me to understand. The PAC-12, incidentally, lost two of their three teams in the play-in round and a third in a 20 point pasting to Buffalo. The AAC looks like the '85 Big East comparatively.
Postseason disappointments accounted for, the conference still has three teams ranked in the KenPom top 20. SMU flirted with the top 25 before injuries derailed their season, UCF would have competed for a bid at full health, and Temple/UConn/Memphis theoretically cannot remain terrible forever. It's never going to be a great league, but this season it represented itself as a power conference. That's all you can ask for.