3/10 Games to Watch for Seeding

[Tenspro2002]

Moved UConn ahead of K-State, kept Tennessee at 3.

Ah, great, I hoped that KSU losing would help us. We'll find out if the Committee agrees.

By the way, this is why it was better for Marquette to win. It should be hard for the Committee to penalize us for losing to a top 10 team. Losing to St. John's would be devastating.

Going forward, Tennessee could still gain, but KSU is done.

 

[nelsonmuntz]

Either Baylor gets a 2 seed or Bracketmatrix never needs to get used again. That website, along with every single "bracketologist" that has Baylor as a 2 seed has put all their chips on that call.

 

[UCLJ0211]

Looks like Lunardi changed it this morning we are a 3 seed in the East (still in Albany) with Baylor the 2. Would like that draw

Has Kentucky, Duke and Michigan State in our bracket. That’s a good omen!

 

[auror]

Let's do Arizona also.

	UConn	Arizona
Record	25-7	26-6
NET	7	11
Predict Rank Ave	4.66	10
Resume Rank Ave	14.5	10.5
SoS (non conf in para)	43 (86)	54 (56)
Q1 (Q1A in para)	7-5 (4-3)	8-2 (4-1)
Q2	6-1	6-4
Q1+2	13-6	14-6
Q3+Q4 losses	1	0
Away+Neutral	10-5	11-4

Pretty clearly behind them. Only real thing we have on them is predictive stuff and small SoS. We'd need them to lose ASAP and then maybe win BET to pass them.

 

[auror]

Lastly for today, UConn - Kansas St.

	UConn	Kansas St
Record	25-7	23-9
NET	7	23
Predict Rank Ave	4.66	26
Resume Rank Ave	14.5	11.5
SoS (non conf in para)	43 (86)	16 (312)
Q1 (Q1A in para)	7-5 (4-3)	9-8 (4-5)
Q2	6-1	4-1
Q1+2	13-6	13-9
Q3+Q4 losses	1	0
Away+Neutral	10-5	7-8

I don't even think this is particularly close. Our resume is better. We should be above them.

They're out. If we lose tonight, the profiles will be closer and they could get it with B12 bias. If we win, we're clearly ahead of them.

 

[Jbirdp5]

Lastly for today, UConn - Kansas St.

	UConn	Kansas St
Record	25-7	23-9
NET	7	23
Predict Rank Ave	4.66	26
Resume Rank Ave	14.5	11.5
SoS (non conf in para)	43 (86)	16 (312)
Q1 (Q1A in para)	7-5 (4-3)	9-8 (4-5)
Q2	6-1	4-1
Q1+2	13-6	13-9
Q3+Q4 losses	1	0
Away+Neutral	10-5	7-8

I don't even think this is particularly close. Our resume is better. We should be above them.

They're out. If we lose tonight, the profiles will be closer and they could get it with B12 bias. If we win, we're clearly ahead of them.

I’m sure you’ve said this before, but this closely resembles the team sheets the commitee uses?

 

[BFieldHusky]

I don't think that's what Palm actually has. He's just listing them E-M-S-W. He has Marquette slotted as the 2 in Purdue's region, Kansas State as the 3, and Tennessee as the 4. And they're all listed first—so that can't actually be an S-Curve. It it were listed in S-Curve order, Purdue would be Top Overall, and Marquette should have been listed last among 2-seeds. etc.

My bad. I should have looked at it closer! You are right.

 

[auror]

I’m sure you’ve said this before, but this closely resembles the team sheets the commitee uses?

They have all the metrics listed out, not just the averages. And they have a lot more info in general and every game listed. But this is the stuff that I think most often is what they say or act like they care about most. I'd probably add like "best 3 wins and worst 3 losses" or something to add more info without reproducing the whole sheet, but that's too much work for forum posting.

 

[bendm]

Looks like Lunardi changed it this morning we are a 3 seed in the East (still in Albany) with Baylor the 2. Would like that draw

this is 110% the best possible scenario for us

 

[storrsroars]

Bracket Matrix still shows that, on average, more bracketologists than not have them ahead of us. It's close though.

Tennesse's average is 3.41
UConn's is 3.56

Frankly I think we should be solidly ahead of them, Baylor (whose average is 2.06) and Kansas State (3.01).

Needs to be pointed out that a number of the bracketologists there aren't updating daily.

 

[HooperScooper]

 

[phillionaire]

I get that the Big 12 is a tough league, but at some point actually winning games has to matter right?

 

[Hunt for 7]

If you review what I will call the big three bracket projects, Lunardi ESPN, Palm CBS or DeCourcey Fox, two have us as 3 seed in the East and one as a 3 seed in the south? As I look at them I find myself thinking we have a good draw. It;s because I believe if we play like we can, stop the careless turnovers we will win against anyone we play right now. This reminds me of the year we lost to George Mason. We were the best team in the country but we had internal team issues. This team does not have those issues, they just get over confident too quickly cuz they know how good they are and that leads to the careless play. What I don’t like is the two captains are the ones turning the ball over. I think Andre and Adama just need to lean on Hawk. Hurley will turn to him if we get in a tight game and we need leadership by example. It is going to come from Hawk.

 

[Hunt for 7]

this is 110% the best possible scenario for us

But they all look good to me. If we play our game it makes no matter what our seed or who the opponent is…..we will win. We just have to avoid beating ourselves and we have a great chance of getting to the final four.

 

[BFieldHusky]

Tennessee losing really helps!

 

[Tenspro2002]

Missouri over Tennessee, along with KSU and Baylor losing, has been arguably a best case scenario for our seeding considerations.

If we beat Marquette, we should be locked into a #3 seed, and even if we lose, we should be in good shape.

 

[Rocktheworld]

Missouri over Tennessee, along with KSU and Baylor losing, has been arguably a best case scenario for our seeding considerations.

If we beat Marquette, we should be locked into a #3 seed, and even if we lose, we should be in good shape.

If we beat Marquette and aren’t locked in, with the accompanying losses in the Big 12, something sinister is afoot

 

[Tenspro2002]

If we beat Marquette and aren’t locked in, with the accompanying losses in the Big 12, something sinister is afoot

Yeah if we win tonight, we are a slam dunk #3 seed with a puncher's chance at a #2 if we win tomorrow.