2022-2023 Record Prediction | Page 3 | The Boneyard

2022-2023 Record Prediction

The GT loss is really indicative for me. Paige went down and as I recall we had no practice time before playing GT. Even through the UCLA near miss there had been little opportunity to practice in the new roles Paige’s absence required, much less reassure each other that they knew how and when to step up in the new roles.

At one point I think Evina said something in a postgame presser about having to remind teammates that she needed help inbounding the ball and bringing it up the court. E was the most mature presence on the team and she was the first to step fully into the new situation and rally the others. Yet another reason to admire her.
 
So when i see that UCONN will be better without her it literally blows my mind.
I haven’t actually seen anyone say this or anything remotely resembling this. I think we’ve been around this block before.

What people have said is that our situation isn’t as bad as what we faced last year — a far cry from saying we’re better without Paige.

I don’t think anyone doubts that with Paige we’re a favorite to return to the NC game and obviously deserve a preseason ranking of at least #2. We are clearly not that now. But almost everyone here believes in this scrappy team and thinks we’ll punch well above our weight, as they say in the fight game.

And we all know there’s lots of “if” questions that have to break our way. But with some luck, the forbearance of the injury demons, and our untested talent stepping up, many of us believe that we match up surprisingly well against the main competition we’ll have to face.

Sure, let’s wait and see, but let’s also not rain on the parade. No one is being irrational here. It’s just healthy optimism.
 
There have been several posters saying we need to avoid getting into foul trouble. Obviously this is true, but with our increased depth, we can survive better if someone does foul out. It’s not a big issue for me.
 
I'm hoping for 40-0 and an NC!!! But I won't be surprised by 38-2, with losses to SC and Texas, but still an NC!!!!

I don't think we lose to Tennessee, but ND is possible, which means 37-3... and an NC!!!!

35-5 means another FF at least.

Ok, enough for my irrational expectations.\
Nothing IRRATIONAL here! 40 and 0 should be our hope as every season begins. This prediction, as pointed out above,is much too early. We need 3 good opponents games to assess this team. Until then--the expectation is 40 and ZERO.
 
The single biggest factor that can not be overstated is that we lost Paige early pre-season. Geno and the team will have had months to adjust but the time we play Texas. They know she is not coming back this year.

We have 3 high caliber scorers in the guard/forward positions in Azzi, CD, and Lou Two. We have the biggest team in memory with power and the X factor in Aubrey. We also have a 5th year Dorka who will be the go to player in the paint and who, I predict, will have a great year. So don't worry if we lose a game or two or even three in the regular season. Geno does what he does with the scheduling for a reason. It prepares us for the post-season and it's worked for a ridiculously absurd and downright stupid 14 straight .

I don't care about regular season losses except for seeding purposes, I care about how they play and what causes them to lose. It's a journey, there are usually bumps in the road and with the transfer portal, the talent has gravitated to the marquis teams which makes running the table that much more difficult. Look at this team in November and December, record the games, then watch them in late February and compare them. It will be a different team. The best example of this is what we didn't get to see in the Big Dance due to Covid in 2020. We didn't beat a highly ranked team all year in the regular season. Geno transformed the team with a modified pressing defense in February. They were unrecognizable and Megan Walker became an AA in the process.

It is as predictable as Spring itself. We are going to make the FF. After that, it's house money.
 
The GT loss is really indicative for me. Paige went down and as I recall we had no practice time before playing GT. Even through the UCLA near miss there had been little opportunity to practice in the new roles Paige’s absence required, much less reassure each other that they knew how and when to step up in the new roles.

At one point I think Evina said something in a postgame presser about having to remind teammates that she needed help inbounding the ball and bringing it up the court. E was the Wmost mature presence on the team and she was the first to step fully into the new situation and rally the others. Yet another reason to admire her.
Who shall fills the E role this season? Lou has the potential. Azzi has the position. Nika will need help.
 
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Preach Brother!!!!! :) If they could watch some of Jamelle's games, and see the passion and desire she played with, that would be better for them than anything anyone could say to them. If Jamelle could do it at under 6 feet, we certainly can do it at 6-3 and above.
Keep in mind that DePaul's double-double machine Aneesah Morrow is only 6'1". :eek:

Jamelle: “As a player I was undersized,” Elliott told UConn Today in June 2019. “I won't say my height, but I'm less than 6 foot. I made up for it with with strength, and the determination to stay one step ahead. I knew I had to earn my time on the floor. My competitive spirit gave me a niche in the program.” She was a beast!! I mean that in a very respectful way. She played with fire and desire. Basically......she had heart (grit). ;)
True GRIT--Jamelle-- some are born with it, some learn it with life's lessons, some are pushed into it by a coach and some get it by necessity. Frankly, I don't care where it comes from--Uconn's bigs all need it. Edwards comes the closest. Dorka, is 1/4th the way there, needs a swift kick where the Mongehela meets the Allegheny to form the ohio to get it impressed in her brain.
 
As they say " way too early to predict " ( not knowing who is
fully healthy and playing up to our hopefull expectations and ...with some
very ++ expected improvements and
confidence concerning our Freshman " learning the system" ). So , for "fun" here we go:

Best 38 - 2 regular season losses to ... U South Carolina and Notre Dame , we win the N.C.!

Worse 33 - 6 regular season losses to ... USC, N.D, Texas, Tenn,
and Maryland. We have early season losses ( late to South Carolina ) and lose in the final 4
Semi or Finals to U. South Carolina ( darn it!) 38 or 39 total games

Probable 35 - 4 regular season losses to .... USC, N.D. Tenn, and a
Final Four "finals" close loss to somebody ( South Carolina gets tripped up in the NCAAs
prior to the finals ).
Actually I haven't a clue, and I have some concerns about Texas and North Carolina State,
but I'm more concerned about N.D. getting Egbo ( 6'4") s transfer from Texas and
the transfers streaming into the U of Tennessee... this will be very interesting... Go Huskies!
While it is true some TOP Players can "gel" quickly with a new team, Chemistry isn't an over night performance. Transfers don't always or even usually, become team leaders or effective in their positions with a new team.
Rare ones do. So, Tenn's coaching hasn't proven as much as they should have I worry more about NCS than ND or Tn. Texas, is playing UConn much too early for my fragile emotional system.
 
Texas, is playing UConn much too early for my fragile emotional system.

I know what you mean. But I suspect we’ll be further along in building team chemistry than Texas will be. We can start a core of 5 veterans all familiar with the system and who have all been starters in it. They can’t.
 
Impossible to make any kind of realistic prediction until we see how this team plays together. That said, if the key players stay healthy throughout the season and Griffin returns to earlier form, I could envision UConn only losing two or three games during the regular season and making it to the Final Four again...........
Aubrey isn't an X factor, at least not yet.
My brother, suffered injuries of legs, shoulders, back at various times. A tough kid, he sucked it up and charged forward, not letting an injury stop his life. Eventually, his body didn't meet his brains requests.

Point is, Griffin, has been seriously injured. Her mode of play was all out, sometimes, leaving caution to the wind, and not adjusting speed to the situation. Leaping and speed with talent was her gift, does she still have it?
More than an X factor she is (at least to me) and ?? factor.
 
I know what you mean. But I suspect we’ll be further along in building team chemistry than Texas will be. We can start a core of 5 veterans all familiar with the system and who have all been starters in it. They can’t.
I do think many other teams have an early season advantage since we try to run a more precision communication based offense / defense scheme which requires more time for chemistry and gelling. Other teams and for me TX is clearly in this category focus primarily on swarming the ball and creating havoc and if/when things break down, Harmon (or maybe some one else?) goes iso and their bigs crash the boards without a care in the world about fouling.

TX also has that weave that I expect may give our guards fit's early in the season.
 
The single biggest factor that can not be overstated is that we lost Paige early pre-season. Geno and the team will have had months to adjust but the time we play Texas. They know she is not coming back this year.

We have 3 high caliber scorers in the guard/forward positions in Azzi, CD, and Lou Two. We have the biggest team in memory with power and the X factor in Aubrey. We also have a 5th year Dorka who will be the go to player in the paint and who, I predict, will have a great year. So don't worry if we lose a game or two or even three in the regular season. Geno does what he does with the scheduling for a reason. It prepares us for the post-season and it's worked for a ridiculously absurd and downright stupid 14 straight .

I don't care about regular season losses except for seeding purposes, I care about how they play and what causes them to lose. It's a journey, there are usually bumps in the road and with the transfer portal, the talent has gravitated to the marquis teams which makes running the table that much more difficult. Look at this team in November and December, record the games, then watch them in late February and compare them. It will be a different team. The best example of this is what we didn't get to see in the Big Dance due to Covid in 2020. We didn't beat a highly ranked team all year in the regular season. Geno transformed the team with a modified pressing defense in February. They were unrecognizable and Megan Walker became an AA in the process.

It is as predictable as Spring itself. We are going to make the FF. After that, it's house money.
A couple comments. I agree, to a point, with your comment about “regular season losses.” To be honest, I only want to see UConn win one game, that being the last of the season…..

As for your comment that losing Paige is the biggest single factor heading into the season, while I certainly don’t minimize the loss of Paige, I believe the biggest single factor is the same as it’s been for the past 36 years. Geno Auriemma is quite simply the best coach in WBB.

The old saying that he’ll beat you with his team and then turn around and beat you with yours is hyperbole to be sure, but if it applies to anyone, It’s Geno. Every other team in WBB, including SC have questions that have to be answered in order to make it to the mountaintop of a National Championship.

Geno and his staff will figure things out. Young players will develop over the season. By the BE tournament, the Huskies will be firing on all cylinders. With the one caveat that this UConn team needs to basically stay healthy, I have no doubt that Geno will have the Huskies ready for another title run.
 
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Somehow, we have to get the name Paige out of our minds, like she was never here and never existed on our campus. If that were the case, what would you realistically think our chances at the big prize would be with what we actually have? I believe that if our Bigs have matured, our new girls come in and play up to their potential, and with shooters that are at least as good as the other best teams, we are in pretty good shape. Our only question would be the depth at PG. If Nika improves her offence, and Ines can do a good job in a supporting role, and with Azzi as another option, I think we are still a top 5 team that can compete for the NC. We have a wealth of talent right now, and I really am excited about our chances in the big games this season. Lets concentrate with what we have, and not what we don't have. Go Huskies
 
Actually, Paige’s injuries ( especially last year) proved to be the catalyst for playing Caroline more than she may have otherwise.
No way she would have gotten the court time she did if weren’t for lack of healthy bodies (JMHO). Not Geno’s M.O.
So in my mind, based on playing time (and facing adversity), she’s a junior playing in her sophomore year (if you follow)
Also, Amari’s playing time ( meager as it was) was somewhat by necessity.
I believe we will know sometime before mid January if Amari is the real deal.
Closing thought on UCONN’s plethora of shooters: who are they?
I count 3 unless I’m experiencing a brain freeze- which is very possible.
More “ scorers” yes- but shooters?
TY
 
Offensive ppg/defensive ppg over the past few seasons

2021-2022 73.8/54.9
2020-2021 81.8/52.5
2019-2020 78.7/52.8
2018-2019 82.8/56.6
If the intended point of your post is that we regressed on both Off and Def last year then my retort is that "numbers can, and do, lie."

Lets remember a few critical items about last year:
We had, on a total year basis, far less than a !00% contribution from our star-PB;
Two FR who are both excellent shooters/scorers were affected by injuries for much of the year;
A. Edwards took over half the year to regain her true abilities, after sitting on the Canadian National
teams bench, instead of working out with the UCONN staff and teammates;
Dorka took well into the season to adjust to her new team; and
One of our best defenders-AG-sat out the entire year.

Couple the above with less than stellar/hoped for senior years from CW, EW and ONO (as a group) and I think it completely explains the 2021/22 numbers compared to 2020/21.

Maybe Tony C is getting to me, but while losing (not loosing) Paige certainly hurts, hopefully having healthy , CD and AG, along with improvements from DJ and AE then adding an outstanding recruiting class (Lou, Yanna and Ice along with the unknown Ines) will make this years' team the best in quite a few years (the Stewie days).
 
A couple comments. I agree, to a point, with your comment about “regular season losses.” To be honest, I only want to see UConn win one game, that being the last of the season…..

As for your comment that losing Paige is the biggest single factor heading into the season, while I certainly don’t minimize the loss of Paige, I believe the biggest single factor is the same as it’s been for the past 36 years. Geno Auriemma is quite simply the best coach in WBB.

The old saying that he’ll beat you with his team and then turn around and beat you with yours is hyperbole to be sure, but if it applies to anyone, It’s Geno. Every other team in WBB, including SC have questions that have to be answered in order to make it to the mountaintop of a National Championship.

Geno and his staff will figure things out. Young players will develop over the season. By the BE tournament, the Huskies will be firing on all cylinders. With the one caveat that this UConn team needs to basically stay healthy, I have no doubt that Geno will have the Huskies ready for another title run.
Pure OLDUDE! I'd be a fool not to agree with your Geno Comments. That is the XX factor, Uconn has it and they don't.
But the greatest coach, and we've seen it some seasons, can only drive them to the water but can't make them drink. I.E. he can't play for them.
This group, Geno may sit more than usual, he will have what he hasn't had for a few years--some energetic, jumping, defending shooting, guards with experience and Larger ladies that hopefully can defend as well as score. ICE, Ameri, Ayanna, Griffin, Edwards, Caroline (she's no midget), Dorka, Azzi, Ines and Lou gives Geno fire power he hasn't had with energy/energetic taller and bigs. I still worry about the early games--yea, I'll worry until April 30th.
 
Pure OLDUDE! I'd be a fool not to agree with your Geno Comments. That is the XX factor, Uconn has it and they don't.
But the greatest coach, and we've seen it some seasons, can only drive them to the water but can't make them drink. I.E. he can't play for them.
This group, Geno may sit more than usual, he will have what he hasn't had for a few years--some energetic, jumping, defending shooting, guards with experience and Larger ladies that hopefully can defend as well as score. ICE, Ameri, Ayanna, Griffin, Edwards, Caroline (she's no midget), Dorka, Azzi, Ines and Lou gives Geno fire power he hasn't had with energy/energetic taller and bigs. I still worry about the early games--yea, I'll worry until April 30th.
I’m not quite sure what constitutes “making them drink” when it comes to Geno and UConn WBB. But what I look at as the most impressive aspect of Geno’s tenure as HC is not the 11 national championships, which are obviously impressive. IMO, UConn’s 14 straight FF’s and counting, is a testament to Geno’s ability to get his team ready to compete each and every season on the biggest stage.
 
As usual, oldude has nailed it. The fact that we have Geno and you don't, simply can't be overstated!! I understand that we have a lot of youth on this roster, by my god do they have massive potential and amazing physical attributes (that don't have to be and can't be taught).

Geno and his amazing staff have an unparalleled history of developing these types of players. Yes, Paige won't be walking onto the floor in uniform, but we have a very, very deep bench of highly skilled players and by January, we will certainly be one of the top 3 teams in the country.

As always, it won't look pretty early on, but Geno and Co will transform our team from a Cat 1 Hurricane early on to a Cat 5 monster that no one will want to play come tourney time. I for one can't wait to see the barometric pressure drop during the season:)
 
.-.
I’m not quite sure what constitutes “making them drink” when it comes to Geno and UConn WBB. But what I look at as the most impressive aspect of Geno’s tenure as HC is not the 11 national championships, which are obviously impressive. IMO, UConn’s 14 straight FF’s and counting, is a testament to Geno’s ability to get his team ready to compete each and every season on the biggest stage.
11 NC's and 14 FF Straight are enough to close down any argument. I'm not arguing. Simple fact is, in some years with some talent, he lost an NC or FF. It happens. Top Talent in numbers, we've seen with other top coaches and top teams, just couldn't put all that wealth together to get that FF/NC. That and even the greatest teachers can't always impart the information that had developed students to excel. His course is WCBB. Long winded, I admit. But fewer words would not have answered your question, my way. The Sad truth is: Geno winning every year would be BAD FOR WOMEN's Basketball!
 
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A couple comments. I agree, to a point, with your comment about “regular season losses.” To be honest, I only want to see UConn win one game, that being the last of the season…..

As for your comment that losing Paige is the biggest single factor heading into the season, while I certainly don’t minimize the loss of Paige, I believe the biggest single factor is the same as it’s been for the past 36 years. Geno Auriemma is quite simply the best coach in WBB.

The old saying that he’ll beat you with his team and then turn around and beat you with yours is hyperbole to be sure, but if it applies to anyone, It’s Geno. Every other team in WBB, including SC have questions that have to be answered in order to make it to the mountaintop of a National Championship.

Geno and his staff will figure things out. Young players will develop over the season. By the BE tournament, the Huskies will be firing on all cylinders. With the one caveat that this UConn team needs to basically stay healthy, I have no doubt that Geno will have the Huskies ready for another title run.
I don't disagree. However, the point was that, all other things being equal, including Geno being the coach, losing Paige early pre-season as opposed to early or mid season has a bit of a silver lining if there is any. Paige is not returning so the season is being set up with plenty of time to adjust without her ball handling, passing, shooting and scoring. The plays and offense to be designed for Paige were redesigned or newly designed for others, principally in my mind, Azzi, CD and Dorka with Liya and Lou Two in there also. No mid-season fix or changes on the fly are needed like last season. What we got is what we got and the players can't look to Paige. They have to look for each other. They are doing it going into the season as opposed to having to adjust precipitously to her loss. It's a big difference especially with all that extra time for preparation. I firmly believe what we got is good enough for the FF, bearing in mind full well who the man is behind the curtain. He has gotten there with a lot less than he has now.
 
I’m not quite sure what constitutes “making them drink” when it comes to Geno and UConn WBB. But what I look at as the most impressive aspect of Geno’s tenure as HC is not the 11 national championships, which are obviously impressive. IMO, UConn’s 14 straight FF’s and counting, is a testament to Geno’s ability to get his team ready to compete each and every season on the biggest stage.
Your answer is right there---in the words that follow your " ", check it out.
 
with paige ,maybe we will get a perfect season
without paige , i will guess we may be lose twice on top
 
I haven’t actually seen anyone say this or anything remotely resembling this. I think we’ve been around this block before.

What people have said is that our situation isn’t as bad as what we faced last year — a far cry from saying we’re better without Paige.

I don’t think anyone doubts that with Paige we’re a favorite to return to the NC game and obviously deserve a preseason ranking of at least #2. We are clearly not that now. But almost everyone here believes in this scrappy team and thinks we’ll punch well above our weight, as they say in the fight game.

And we all know there’s lots of “if” questions that have to break our way. But with some luck, the forbearance of the injury demons, and our untested talent stepping up, many of us believe that we match up surprisingly well against the main competition we’ll have to face.

Sure, let’s wait and see, but let’s also not rain on the parade. No one is being irrational here. It’s just healthy optimism.
I will accept and appreciate this outlook !! Sorry im kind of the over zellous glass half empty type of guy lol.
 
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The single biggest factor that can not be overstated is that we lost Paige early pre-season. Geno and the team will have had months to adjust but the time we play Texas. They know she is not coming back this year.

We have 3 high caliber scorers in the guard/forward positions in Azzi, CD, and Lou Two. We have the biggest team in memory with power and the X factor in Aubrey. We also have a 5th year Dorka who will be the go to player in the paint and who, I predict, will have a great year. So don't worry if we lose a game or two or even three in the regular season. Geno does what he does with the scheduling for a reason. It prepares us for the post-season and it's worked for a ridiculously absurd and downright stupid 14 straight .

I don't care about regular season losses except for seeding purposes, I care about how they play and what causes them to lose. It's a journey, there are usually bumps in the road and with the transfer portal, the talent has gravitated to the marquis teams which makes running the table that much more difficult. Look at this team in November and December, record the games, then watch them in late February and compare them. It will be a different team. The best example of this is what we didn't get to see in the Big Dance due to Covid in 2020. We didn't beat a highly ranked team all year in the regular season. Geno transformed the team with a modified pressing defense in February. They were unrecognizable and Megan Walker became an AA in the process.

It is as predictable as Spring itself. We are going to make the FF. After that, it's house money.
How much will seeding matter with the 2 neutral sites this season anyway. I like this POV , go through rough patch during the season and click the last 6 games of the year . They would have seen every possible team they could see in the F4 most likely so i got a strong hunch they will be more than prepared at redemption especially with the doubters just waiting ....
 
I don't disagree. However, the point was that, all other things being equal, including Geno being the coach, losing Paige early pre-season as opposed to early or mid season has a bit of a silver lining if there is any. Paige is not returning so the season is being set up with plenty of time to adjust without her ball handling, passing, shooting and scoring. The plays and offense to be designed for Paige were redesigned or newly designed for others, principally in my mind, Azzi, CD and Dorka with Liya and Lou Two in there also. No mid-season fix or changes on the fly are needed like last season. What we got is what we got and the players can't look to Paige. They have to look for each other. They are doing it going into the season as opposed to having to adjust precipitously to her loss. It's a big difference especially with all that extra time for preparation. I firmly believe what we got is good enough for the FF, bearing in mind full well who the man is behind the curtain. He has gotten there with a lot less than he has now.
I agree and let me try to put a slightly different spin on this (hopefully coherently). Take a top team with a star player who graduates. What does that team do the following year, roll over and play dead? In the past 3 and a half decades how many star players has UConn graduated and how often has UConn had successful seasons the following year (recently 14 in a row). That is exactly the position UConn is in now with the loss of Paige. It's like she graduated (ok, more like taking a sabbatical). You grow the players that you have, add new talent and move on. I expect success just like we've always had following graduations that happen every year.
 
Are you guys looking at the same roster Im lookin at. Do you think a healthy UConn will lose more games this season then the injured sick team lost last season? We have Azzi and Caroline two of the best players in WCBB. IMO both will be AA's. There seems to be some question about Lou and the incoming freshman. Those of you who have been watching UConn and Geno for the past 25+ years know he will have them ready. It may not happen early in the season but it will happen. They're too good not to be ready. We have a solid nucleus coming back. We saw last season what we could do when healthy. The exhibition game against Kutztown and the Northeastern game will tell us alot about this team. More importantly it will tell us what Geno thinks about this team. I look back at last season with all the problems and think how the heck did we get to the final game having to beat Indiana NC State and Stanford. That was a tall order for a team that had so much to overcome. They did it and they are better for having to go through what they did. Now with all that said we must stay healthy this season. Foul trouble will be a problem we must avoid. Im not really to concerned about our tuff schedule early on. We have shown we can win those games and if we dont we will learn from them. The most important thing is that we are ready to play. I dont think they have more talent then us and I dont think they can beat us. This UConn team is better then advertised and for someone to say that Tenn MD and some of the other teams should be ranked ahead of UConn who finished the season in the Final game well that is just silly. We have one month before we face Texas.. Dont be surprised if we win big.
Problem is UCONN is a big unknown. IF the freshmen play well they are contenders, if not what happens? Then the best player on the team is gone. Now can Azzi be a go to player and leader? Another unknown. Who replaces the seniors? It's a lot unknown with the team. Other teams have less questions.
 
Problem is UCONN is a big unknown. IF the freshmen play well they are contenders, if not what happens? Then the best player on the team is gone. Now can Azzi be a go to player and leader? Another unknown. Who replaces the seniors? It's a lot unknown with the team. Other teams have less questions.
Problem?
For who?
Not sure our opponents are that sure how Coach is going to be coming at them.
Big?
Motion?
Bombs away?
Or a combination of the aforementioned?
D will be there.
That’s one constant.
On offense, your guess is as good as mine.
 
Problem is UCONN is a big unknown. IF the freshmen play well they are contenders, if not what happens? Then the best player on the team is gone. Now can Azzi be a go to player and leader? Another unknown. Who replaces the seniors? It's a lot unknown with the team. Other teams have less questions.
I think you underestimate the questions on our main competitors. Maybe SC has fewer questions, though the one concerning point guard is a doozy.

But, yes, questions abound, and my infernal optimism leads me to decide all of them in our favor. Why? Because almost all of them were decided against us last year and we still made it to the NC game. Karma isn't fair, but if even half of the questions go our way, I like our chances for the brass ring.
 
I think you underestimate the questions on our main competitors. Maybe SC has fewer questions, though the one concerning point guard is a doozy.

But, yes, questions abound, and my infernal optimism leads me to decide all of them in our favor. Why? Because almost all of them were decided against us last year and we still made it to the NC game. Karma isn't fair, but if even half of the questions go our way, I like our chances for the brass ring.
Just one note. SC lost Henderson this season. Where would they have been without her last season???? I like our chances alot because I know our freshman will come along and I know are starting 5 has experience...oh yeah and we have a point guard. SC doesnt and last season Stanford didnt. Think about it.
 
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