#11 AP | The Boneyard

#11 AP

I’ll take it. I was expecting #12.

Like Finding Dory…just keeping winning, just keep winning. Or something like that….
 
As the season progresses Maui will look more and more like a fluke. Our resume is not as good as our ranking, but IMO the ranking underestimates how good this team is, as strange as that sounds...
I think we’re better off hoping those three teams’ metrics/rankings go up; because in no world is three in a row a fluke. We are clearly a vulnerable team; hopefully, by March, the rest of the basketball world sees those losses as not bad.
 
As the season progresses Maui will look more and more like a fluke. Our resume is not as good as our ranking, but IMO the ranking underestimates how good this team is, as strange as that sounds...
Doesn't sound strange to me; we haven't seen this team at their full potential yet.
 
I think we’re better off hoping those three teams’ metrics/rankings go up; because in no world is three in a row a fluke. We are clearly a vulnerable team; hopefully, by March, the rest of the basketball world sees those losses as not bad.
I'm less concerned about how good/bad our losses look than about our wins.

One reason beating Gonzaga was so important is because they are the only bona fide Top 25 win on our schedule.

Now, Texas (SEC) and Baylor (Big XII) have the opportunity for some major marquee wins since those conferences were really strong out of the gates, the SEC in particular (5 of the top 7 in the poll, goodness). But if those teams faltered, and with the Big East down, it's possible we wouldn't have had a single Top 25 win all year.
 
For context:
KenPom: 12
Bart Torvik: 14
Evan Miya: 12

It makes sense that our AP ranking is higher than the analytics; this shows that the sentiment is that we're better than our metrics, which Maui hurt. That said, if people ignored Maui entirely, we'd rank much higher.

I'm not sure why they don't do it like this, but if you asked me today, on a neutral court against any other team in the country, I think we'd be one of the top 5 teams.
 
For context:
KenPom: 12
Bart Torvik: 14
Evan Miya: 12

It makes sense that our AP ranking is higher than the analytics; this shows that the sentiment is that we're better than our metrics, which Maui hurt. That said, if people ignored Maui entirely, we'd rank much higher.

I'm not sure why they don't do it like this, but if you asked me today, on a neutral court against any other team in the country, I think we'd be one of the top 5 teams.
As a follow-up to this, Evan Miya has us as the #1 team when playing in the Continental US:

EvanMiya CBB Analytics
 
IMG_5682.jpeg
 
Baylor and Gonzaga will end up ranked high, top 15.

Texas I expect to drop a lot.

This is based on talent and coaching.

Gonzaga and Baylor have both.

Texas has neither.

Memphis and Dayton will look solid all year.

So, 4 of the games will end up against good teams likely ranked all year in the top 25, while 2 of the games (1 win, 1 loss) will end up against mediocre teams.
 
In his last post game interview Hurley made a point to say that some of the top teams this year are already pretty close to their ceiling with older players and less upside as what he has to work with. He expects continued improvement and progress from the sophomore’s and hopefully he can get Nowell back up to speed.
On another note Mcneeley is a dog just like Hurley and I can see him playing a much bigger role going forward. He hasn’t even really shot the ball well yet but has contributed in so many other ways.
 

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