Recent content by auror | The Boneyard

Recent content by auror

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    St. John's Post Game Thread

    It was the slowest number of possessions in a game this season. But we pushed it sometimes lol.
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    WAB (2/26)

    It's THE most important for selection at the bubble. It seems to be pretty important at the top with #1 seeds, but so are the predictive metrics. Probably roughly equal. We just saw them slot Iowa State at 4 and us at 5 in the bracket reveal when Iowa State was 8th and we were 4th in WAB. This...
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    WAB (2/26)

    In this hypothetical I replied to where we lose in the BET final, It would end up being like 9-3 in Q1 for us and 14-5 for them, us with a Q3 loss and them with better predictive metrics. The head to head helps, but the sheer volume of wins might give the edge to them.
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    WAB (2/26)

    We should probably be rooting pretty hard for Michigan in the Big 10 tourny, Arizona in the Big 12 tourny, and literally anyone to beat Florida.
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    1 or 2 Seed Better?

    They got schedule slammed, but also, they're just good not great.
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    St. John's Post Game Thread

    Only if you consider Georgetown high level.
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    Pre game press media St. John's

    Me too.
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    Peacock vs st johns

    Because Peacock paid a lot to get a high "dibs" level.
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    OT: What are the “Alabama” of sports stats

    Plain, single game plus/minus is pretty bad. Plus/minus you need to adjust for teammates, then adjust for opponents and location. Then get a bigger sample, preferably multi-year. Maybe add a box score prior. Then you get the useful versions: RAPM, BPR, EPM, etc.
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    OT: What are the “Alabama” of sports stats

    #2 The NET gives a bubble team.a 10% chance to beat Michigan in a neutral (and thus 0.9 if you win), not 25%.
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    Villanova Post Game Thread

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    1 or 2 Seed Better?

    Yes, true. It's probably a long shot, but the game is at home at least.
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    1 or 2 Seed Better?

    I think Purdue and Florida now have the best chance to come at us for the #1 seed. Iowa State closest now, but they're likely to lose to Arizona. Purdue and Florida have 3 Q1 games left each they will be heavily favored in and then should do damage in their conf tournys from high seeds. But...
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    1 or 2 Seed Better?

    They would not do this. You put the first 3 teams from each conference into different regions as a rule.
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    Race for 1 Seed (2/5)

    Yes, bingo. Would take someone like Kansas moving ahead of them or someone passing Michigan, or yeah necessary swapping due to so many Big Tena and Big 12 teams cluttering up the top 4 lines.
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