Recent content by auror

The shenanigans have begun

The logic is that the alt lines have >+200 odds so I only need to win 1 of the 2 to profit on both bets. Essentially I'm betting that it's more likely to be an extreme outcome than what is projected as the most likely outcome. Now is that a good bet? Probably not. It's more risky than typical...

I smell shenanigans. I took DePaul +8.5 and UConn -23.

This is borderline fireable, not even kidding.

St. John's, NCAA tournament lock? Nah. They're on the bubble right now and need to play their way in.

Butler and Villanova winning these last 2 opens the door a bit wider for 5-bids. 4 is probably most likely. Butler injury for Kaiser isn't ideal, though. And now maybe we have to worry about St. John's missing.

45 points for St. John's in 3/4 of the game.

Al Gilbert flashbacks.

Providence hot in the 2nd half when they weren't turning it over. Fouling multiple times per trip on defense, though.

The problem is that other conference bubble teams have way more opportunities to build a resume in-conference. Non con was more important for the big east teams. It's not a lost cause for the Villanova's of the world if they lose tonight, but their margin for error is a lot smaller.

His rankings do change quicker in the portal era, he confirmed he tweaked things and you can tell when comparing it to other metrics which are slower to adapt.

That's my point. That's why I don't think the conference is guaranteed to get 4 bids. There's a decent chance it shakes out that way, but there are an unfortunate number of poor scenarios.

And there's a reasonable argument that those are the 3rd and 4th most talented teams in the conference, so them finishing 4th and 5th (or higher) is certainly in the realm of possibility. Creighton looked the part last night.

I definitely wouldn't say for sure. Too many of the decent teams failed to accumulate wins. I think St. John's is too good not to get in, and Seton Hall has put themselves in a decent position. 3 seems almost a lock. Assuming Nova loses to Wisconsin in Milwaukee, then entering league play: Nova...