32. St. John's 20-12 (11-9 BE, 1-0 tourny)
Power - #26 (#25), Resume - #53 (#54)
Non-Conf SoS - #174
Away/Neutral: 7-8
Q1: 3-9 (1A 2-6), H-Creighton, @-Villanova @-Butler
Q2: 7-2
Top 2: 10-11
Q3+Q4 losses: 1, H-Michigan
Wins Under Consideration: 6-9 (14-3 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed, Last four in (#43) before winning against Seton Hall
Remaining schedule - H-UConn
Thoughts: Somehow power metrics darlings. N-Utah is currently right on the edge of Q1 vs. Q2. Seton Hall win (and UConn game today) is considered a home game by committee. Did well to stay ahead of the bubble, but questionable resume metrics and mediocre resume all over the place leave some doubt. Power metrics may be their savior.
39. Villanova 18-15 (10-10 BE, 1-1 tourny)
Power - #32 (#32), Resume - #68 (#67)
Non-Conf SoS - #71
Away/Neutral: 8-10
Q1: 4-11 (1A 2-5), N-North Carolina, @-Creighton, N-Texas Tech, @-Providence
Q2: 5-1
Top 2: 9-12
Q3+Q4 losses: 3, H-St. Joe's, N-Drexel, @-Penn
Wins Under Consideration: Not going to bother
BracketMatrix - First four out before losing to Marquette
Remaining schedule - None
Thoughts: They're cooked. 15 losses, terrible resume metrics. Would take a selection committee miracle.
57. Providence 21-12 (10-10 BE, 2-0 tourny)
Power - #53 (#48), Resume - #49 (#52)
Non-Conf SoS - #236
Away/Neutral: 7-8
Q1: 6-8 (1A 3-6), H-Marquette, H-Creighton, H-Wisconsin, @-Seton Hall, @-Xavier, N-Creighton
Q2: 3-4
Top 2: 9-12
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 6-10 (15-2 non)
BracketMatrix - 5th team out (#49) before Creighton win.
Remaining schedule - N-Marquette
Thoughts: Hoo boy, now this is a bubble resume. About as bubble as it comes. 6 Q1 wins is really nice, but 9-12 in first 2 quads is not great overall and only 10-12 in first 3 quads (11-0 in Q4). Mediocre power AND resume metrics, but not horrible. Bad record against teams under consideration. They really should win Marquette game today.
65. Seton Hall 20-12 (13-7 BE, 0-1 tourny)
Power - #61 (#66), Resume - #51 (#54)
Non-Conf SoS - #230
Away/Neutral: 6-9
Q1: 5-8 (1A 3-6), H-UConn, H-Marquette, @-St. John's, @-Providence, @-Butler
Q2: 4-3
Top 2: 9-11
Q3+Q4 losses: 1, H-Rutgers
Wins Under Consideration: 6-10 (14-2 non)
BracketMatrix - 10 seed, (#39) before loss to St. John's.
Remaining schedule - None.
Thoughts - Well that wasn't an ideal result yesterday for them. A very low KPI alongside low power metrics is making this resume considerably less appealing than their Big East record would indicate. I'm not sure how safe this team really is. I'd take Providence's resume over theirs at this point, and it's possible that St. John's and Providence will push them out of the field.
For comparison, here's the last 4 non-Big East team currently in or out of the field by BracketMatrix:
26. New Mexico 23-9 (10-8 MWC, 1-0 tourny)
Power - #33 (#39), Resume - #48 (#48)
Non-Conf SoS - #272
Away/Neutral: 11-6
Q1: 4-6 (1A 1-5), @-Nevada, H-San Diego St, N-Boise St, H-Utah St
Q2: 3-1
Top 2: 7-7
Q3+Q4 losses: 2, H-UNLV, H-Air Force
Wins Under Consideration: 6-6 (17-3 non)
BracketMatrix - Last out (#45) before win over Boise.
Remaining schedule - N-Colorado St.
28. Indiana State 27-6 (17-3 MVC, 2-1 tourny)
Power - #42 (#42), Resume - #38 (#42)
Non-Conf SoS - #185
Away/Neutral: 15-5
Q1: 1-4 (1A 0-2), @-Bradley
Q2: 4-1
Top 2: 5-5
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 1-4 (26-2 non)
BracketMatrix - Last team in (#44) before win over BC.
Remaining schedule - None.
50. Virginia 23-9 (13-7 ACC, 1-0 tourny)
Power - #57 (#58), Resume - #31 (#31)
Non-Conf SoS - #167
Away/Neutral: 8-7
Q1: 2-6 (1A 1-3), N-Florida, @-Clemson
Q2: 8-3
Top 2: 10-9
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 4-5 (18-2 non)
BracketMatrix - Last four in (#42) before win over BC.
Remaining schedule - N-NC State
46. Texas A&M 19-13 (9-9 SEC, 1-0 tourny)
Power - #43 (#42), Resume - #49 (#46)
Non-Conf SoS - #21
Away/Neutral: 9-8
Q1: 5-6 (1A 2-4), H-Tennessee, N-Iowa St, H-Kentucky, @-Ohio State, @-SMU
Q2: 7-2
Top 2: 12-8
Q3+Q4 losses: 5, H-Memphis, H-Ole Miss, H-LSU, H-Arkansas, @-Vanderbilt
Wins Under Consideration: 6-7 (13-6 non)
BracketMatrix - Last four out (#46) before win over Ole Miss.
Remaining schedule - N-Kentucky
Power - #26 (#25), Resume - #53 (#54)
Non-Conf SoS - #174
Away/Neutral: 7-8
Q1: 3-9 (1A 2-6), H-Creighton, @-Villanova @-Butler
Q2: 7-2
Top 2: 10-11
Q3+Q4 losses: 1, H-Michigan
Wins Under Consideration: 6-9 (14-3 non)
BracketMatrix - 11 seed, Last four in (#43) before winning against Seton Hall
Remaining schedule - H-UConn
Thoughts: Somehow power metrics darlings. N-Utah is currently right on the edge of Q1 vs. Q2. Seton Hall win (and UConn game today) is considered a home game by committee. Did well to stay ahead of the bubble, but questionable resume metrics and mediocre resume all over the place leave some doubt. Power metrics may be their savior.
39. Villanova 18-15 (10-10 BE, 1-1 tourny)
Power - #32 (#32), Resume - #68 (#67)
Non-Conf SoS - #71
Away/Neutral: 8-10
Q1: 4-11 (1A 2-5), N-North Carolina, @-Creighton, N-Texas Tech, @-Providence
Q2: 5-1
Top 2: 9-12
Q3+Q4 losses: 3, H-St. Joe's, N-Drexel, @-Penn
Wins Under Consideration: Not going to bother
BracketMatrix - First four out before losing to Marquette
Remaining schedule - None
Thoughts: They're cooked. 15 losses, terrible resume metrics. Would take a selection committee miracle.
57. Providence 21-12 (10-10 BE, 2-0 tourny)
Power - #53 (#48), Resume - #49 (#52)
Non-Conf SoS - #236
Away/Neutral: 7-8
Q1: 6-8 (1A 3-6), H-Marquette, H-Creighton, H-Wisconsin, @-Seton Hall, @-Xavier, N-Creighton
Q2: 3-4
Top 2: 9-12
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 6-10 (15-2 non)
BracketMatrix - 5th team out (#49) before Creighton win.
Remaining schedule - N-Marquette
Thoughts: Hoo boy, now this is a bubble resume. About as bubble as it comes. 6 Q1 wins is really nice, but 9-12 in first 2 quads is not great overall and only 10-12 in first 3 quads (11-0 in Q4). Mediocre power AND resume metrics, but not horrible. Bad record against teams under consideration. They really should win Marquette game today.
65. Seton Hall 20-12 (13-7 BE, 0-1 tourny)
Power - #61 (#66), Resume - #51 (#54)
Non-Conf SoS - #230
Away/Neutral: 6-9
Q1: 5-8 (1A 3-6), H-UConn, H-Marquette, @-St. John's, @-Providence, @-Butler
Q2: 4-3
Top 2: 9-11
Q3+Q4 losses: 1, H-Rutgers
Wins Under Consideration: 6-10 (14-2 non)
BracketMatrix - 10 seed, (#39) before loss to St. John's.
Remaining schedule - None.
Thoughts - Well that wasn't an ideal result yesterday for them. A very low KPI alongside low power metrics is making this resume considerably less appealing than their Big East record would indicate. I'm not sure how safe this team really is. I'd take Providence's resume over theirs at this point, and it's possible that St. John's and Providence will push them out of the field.
For comparison, here's the last 4 non-Big East team currently in or out of the field by BracketMatrix:
26. New Mexico 23-9 (10-8 MWC, 1-0 tourny)
Power - #33 (#39), Resume - #48 (#48)
Non-Conf SoS - #272
Away/Neutral: 11-6
Q1: 4-6 (1A 1-5), @-Nevada, H-San Diego St, N-Boise St, H-Utah St
Q2: 3-1
Top 2: 7-7
Q3+Q4 losses: 2, H-UNLV, H-Air Force
Wins Under Consideration: 6-6 (17-3 non)
BracketMatrix - Last out (#45) before win over Boise.
Remaining schedule - N-Colorado St.
28. Indiana State 27-6 (17-3 MVC, 2-1 tourny)
Power - #42 (#42), Resume - #38 (#42)
Non-Conf SoS - #185
Away/Neutral: 15-5
Q1: 1-4 (1A 0-2), @-Bradley
Q2: 4-1
Top 2: 5-5
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 1-4 (26-2 non)
BracketMatrix - Last team in (#44) before win over BC.
Remaining schedule - None.
50. Virginia 23-9 (13-7 ACC, 1-0 tourny)
Power - #57 (#58), Resume - #31 (#31)
Non-Conf SoS - #167
Away/Neutral: 8-7
Q1: 2-6 (1A 1-3), N-Florida, @-Clemson
Q2: 8-3
Top 2: 10-9
Q3+Q4 losses: 0
Wins Under Consideration: 4-5 (18-2 non)
BracketMatrix - Last four in (#42) before win over BC.
Remaining schedule - N-NC State
46. Texas A&M 19-13 (9-9 SEC, 1-0 tourny)
Power - #43 (#42), Resume - #49 (#46)
Non-Conf SoS - #21
Away/Neutral: 9-8
Q1: 5-6 (1A 2-4), H-Tennessee, N-Iowa St, H-Kentucky, @-Ohio State, @-SMU
Q2: 7-2
Top 2: 12-8
Q3+Q4 losses: 5, H-Memphis, H-Ole Miss, H-LSU, H-Arkansas, @-Vanderbilt
Wins Under Consideration: 6-7 (13-6 non)
BracketMatrix - Last four out (#46) before win over Ole Miss.
Remaining schedule - N-Kentucky