Yuck

[JaYnYcE]

Im watching SportsNite and they mentioned Rutgers could be co-champs if they win tomorrow.

Please, for the love of GOD beat them tomorrow boys!!!


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[TRest]

I think WV and Louisville winning today pretty much shuts them out of the BCS bowl. We can put the final nail in the coffin tomorrow.

 

[whaler11]

Only BCS chance for Rutgers is to win tomorrow have Cinci win twice and then be ranked highest in the BCS standings. There are 7 different ways things can end. LV wins 3, Cinci 1 and the other 3 are to the highest in BCS rankings.

 

[DieHardHusky]

Let's take care of business!

 

[nimzovich]

Only BCS chance for Rutgers is to win tomorrow have Cinci win twice and then be ranked highest in the BCS standings. There are 7 different ways things can end. LV wins 3, Cinci 1 and the other 3 are to the highest in BCS rankings.

The way i figure it, with 4 teams in the chase, and 4 games left that affect the rankings, and none of the teams playing each other, there are actually 16 possibilities the games can go (2x2x2x2) and 8 different ways the standing can finish. So i just killed 3-0 minutes looking at it.

There are 7 different possible ties and and the scenarios where Louisville is the only 5-2 team.
Louis alone at 5-2 =Louisville to the BCS (3/16 chances)
2-way tie of RU and Louisville = Louisville to the BCS (3/16)
2-way tie of WVU and Louisville = Louisville to the BCS (3/16)
2-way tie of Cincy and Louisville = Cincy to the BCS (1/16)
3-way tie of RU WVU and Louisville = Louisville to the BCS (3/16)
3-way tie of RU Cincy and Louisville = highest ranked to the BCS - either Cincy or RU to the BCS (1/16)
3-way tie of Cincy WVU and Louisville = highest ranked to the BCS - either WVU or Cincy (1/16)
4-way tie = highest ranked of WVU or Louisville to the BCS = WVU to the BCS (1/16)

Louisville wins 12 of the 16 scenarios
Cincy wins 1 of the 16
WVU wins the 4-way tie (RU and Cincy eliminated at 1-2, and WVU beats out 7-5 Louisville)

1 of the 16 is highest ranked of 9-3 Cincy or 9-3 RU (throw out 7-5 Louisville)
1 of the 16 is highest ranked of 9-3 Cincy or 9-3 WVU (throw out 7-5 Louisville)

 

[Adios]

So Louisville is going to the Orange Bowl...

 

[NutmegState]

So Louisville is going to the Orange Bowl...

Not if Cincy beats Cuse and UConn.

 

[nimzovich]

Not if Cincy beats Cuse and UConn.

true...any time Cincy is in the first-place tie, Louisville is out of luck.

 

[Adios]

Too bad Zach Collaros got injured. Won't be as easy for Cincy to win.

 

[Excalibur]

I'd love to get the W and guarantee that RU is out, but I can't say I have a lot of confidence. Not that RU is that good, but they're a pass-happy team and Schiano is guaranteed to run at least one trick play every game. Our D is marginal vs. the pass and susceptible to misdirection.

 

[whaler11]

The way i figure it, with 4 teams in the chase, and 4 games left that affect the rankings, and none of the teams playing each other, there are actually 16 possibilities the games can go (2x2x2x2) and 8 different ways the standing can finish. So i just killed 3-0 minutes looking at it.

There are 7 different possible ties and and the scenarios where Louisville is the only 5-2 team.
Louis alone at 5-2 =Louisville to the BCS (3/16 chances)
2-way tie of RU and Louisville = Louisville to the BCS (3/16)
2-way tie of WVU and Louisville = Louisville to the BCS (3/16)
2-way tie of Cincy and Louisville = Cincy to the BCS (1/16)
3-way tie of RU WVU and Louisville = Louisville to the BCS (3/16)
3-way tie of RU Cincy and Louisville = highest ranked to the BCS - either Cincy or RU to the BCS (1/16)
3-way tie of Cincy WVU and Louisville = highest ranked to the BCS - either WVU or Cincy (1/16)
4-way tie = highest ranked of WVU or Louisville to the BCS = WVU to the BCS (1/16)

Louisville wins 12 of the 16 scenarios
Cincy wins 1 of the 16
WVU wins the 4-way tie (RU and Cincy eliminated at 1-2, and WVU beats out 7-5 Louisville)

1 of the 16 is highest ranked of 9-3 Cincy or 9-3 RU (throw out 7-5 Louisville)
1 of the 16 is highest ranked of 9-3 Cincy or 9-3 WVU (throw out 7-5 Louisville)

I think that is what they meant by 7 different scenarios, throwing out the Ville winning straight up. It's 3 to Ville, 1 to Cinci and 3 to highest in BCS.

 

[nimzovich]

I think that is what they meant by 7 different scenarios, throwing out the Ville winning straight up. It's 3 to Ville, 1 to Cinci and 3 to highest in BCS.

works for me, but i doubt the Ville wants to throw out that scenario...