Wtic Sports Talk AAC Bids

[tcf15]

I think what we're seeing with Temple being #1 in AAC but outside of the NCAA tournament is two things: importance of non-conference performance and not losing to teams in the bottom half of the AAC.

Temple sh t the bed against all of their top OOC opponents (UNC, Butler, Utah, Wisconsin, St. Joe's and Villanova). Their best OOC win is Minnesota (177 KenPom; 240 RPI). Non conference record is 6-6. In the AAC, while going 7-2 against the likes of UConn, Cincinnati, SMU, Tulsa and Houston, Temple dropped games to Memphis (104 KP; 155 RPI) and East Carolina (191 KP; 189 RPI). Couple that with their awful non-conference record and it's clear why they are on the wrong side of the bubble.

UConn, in comparison, beat some decent teams in non-conference: Michigan (49 KP; 57 RPI), Ohio State (64 KP; 73 RPI), Texas (31 KP; 25 RPI), Georgetown (72 KP; 107 RPI). In the AAC, they've gone 3-6 against Temple, Cincinnati, SMU, Tulsa and Houston, but they have not lost any games to the bottom half of the conference. Zero bad losses (in the committee's eyes) and a solid non-conference record is why UConn is in better shape than Temple.

 

[uconngb]

No, that is not how it works.

Taken from another poster and under this try to tell me UConn and Temple are comparable:

So I have posted before an article saying that the selection committee looks at 6 rankings:

RPI
KPI
BPI
Pomeroy
Sagarin
LRMC

And I posted some research that if you averaged those six rankings last year, you would have correctly identified every at large team.

Currently, you have to be in the Top 50 of the six-rank average to get an at-large bid. There are 36 at-large bids, 12 conference champs in the Top 50, plus SMU/Louisville.

Here are where the American teams currently rank in the six-rank average:

SMU 13
UConn 31
Cincy 33
Tulsa 47 (among the last 4 in)
-----------------
Houston 61
Temple 77

This seems pretty compelling to me based on last year's results.

 

[Milo65]

A win today goes a long way in locking up a bid. I much rather win a bid, then lose and have to hope and pray.

 

[intlzncster]

But we would be convinced we were right. Sports Politics message boards are the most biased places on the planet. Its fine. They should be. That is about rooting for your team and all that. No problem there.

ftfy

 

[intlzncster]

There were years in the old Big East when lower teams beat the top teams twice. Tis shouldn't mean the rest of the season is invalidated because of two games.

See PCU.

 

[August_West]

ftfy

true too.

 

[intlzncster]

Just win.

Seriously. Everything else is masturbation.

 

[AZHuskiePop]

Fortunately for us, there are a lot of teams with even more embarrassing stuff on their record. This isn't just homer opinions, it is what most bracketologists are saying.

I really don't care about other teams .
That UConn is flawed but it's less flawed than some of the competition really doesn't make me happy.
I see a talented team unable to take advantage of its opportunities, it's extremely disappointing. If we managed wins in two of the four games I mentioned we would have a case.

 

[CallMeBruce]

I really don't care about other teams .
That UConn is flawed but it's less flawed than some of the competition really doesn't make me happy.
I see a talented team unable to take advantage of its opportunities, it's extremely disappointing. If we managed wins in two of the four games I mentioned we would have a case.

You do understand that they're going to fill all of the slots for the tournament, right? Even if you find the available teams "disappointing."

 

[Jerry1714]

I really don't care about other teams .
That UConn is flawed but it's less flawed than some of the competition really doesn't make me happy.
I see a talented team unable to take advantage of its opportunities, it's extremely disappointing. If we managed wins in two of the four games I mentioned we would have a case.

I think you may be confused on how the ncaa tournament works........

 

[David 76]

I really don't care about other teams .
That UConn is flawed but it's less flawed than some of the competition really doesn't make me happy.
I see a talented team unable to take advantage of its opportunities, it's extremely disappointing. If we managed wins in two of the four games I mentioned we would have a case.

The thread is about bids in the NCAA. There are plenty of others for expressing anger and disappointment about the season. But other than being in the wrong thread, I agree. But getting in gives us a chance.