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Message: [QUOTE="huskymedic, post: 4317178, member: 549"] [URL unfurl="true"]https://d1baseball.com/projections/stock-report/week-14-stock-report-breaking-down-races-for-national-seeds-at-larges/[/URL] -> There are 31 automatic bids awarded to conference champions. [B]These 12 are safe bets to be one-bid leagues[/B], regardless of how their conference tournaments shake out. The MAC moves into this category this week, as Ball State’s 11-spot drop in the RPI effectively dashed its already slim hopes for an at-large spot. We’re also moving the Big West into this category, since UC Santa Barbara has the regular-season title all-but sewn up and there is no conference tournament, and no other Big West team is inside the top 100 of the RPI. [B]Sure-fire one-bid leagues:[/B] America East, Big West, Horizon, MAAC, MEAC, Mid-American, Mountain West, Northeast, Patriot, Southland, Summit, SWAC [B]The following nine conferences are likely to be one-bid leagues[/B], but each has at least one team with at least a shot at an at-large bid, though the poor RPIs of the rest of their conferencemates figure to drag some of them down below at-large range as the season continues. In some of these leagues, there is one sure-fire at-large team that would take an at-large bid if it fails to win its conference tournament, making its conference a two-bid league. [B]Likely one-bid leagues [/B](potential at-large teams in parentheses): [B]American Athletic [/B](East Carolina) [B]Atlantic 10 [/B](Davidson) [B]Big East [/B](Connecticut) [B]Big South[/B] (Campbell) [B]Colonial[/B] (College of Charleston) [B]Ivy [/B](Pennsylvania) [B]Missouri Valley [/B](Dallas Baptist) [B]Ohio Valley[/B] (Belmont, Southeast Missouri) [B]WAC[/B] (Grand Canyon) [I]Out of this group of teams, Dallas Baptist (No. 8 RPI), East Carolina (No. 29), Connecticut (No. 43) and Grand Canyon (No. 42) look like strong bets for at-large bids. DBU’s RPI makes it a lock, as does ECU’s combination of RPI and regular-season conference title (already clinched). UConn and Grand Canyon have dominated their leagues and also performed well out of conference, earning them some leeway despite bubblish RPIs.[/I] <- [/QUOTE]

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