Why do we default to the obvious? | The Boneyard

Why do we default to the obvious?

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I listen to every podcast about the tourney that I can. One thing I notice, year after year, not only in the pods but in office brackets and even here on the yard:

We are so terrified to not go chalk. We sound like the 18 year old who still orders chicken fingers and fries at a restaurant because it's safe.

Listening to field of 68 (which i thing is great btw), all the talk about how tough drake is, or how u san Diego is well built, or new mexicos guards etc. Just to have the 1's and 2's in your final four. Like last year, and the year before that and the year before that. "This years ones are too tough..." on repeat.
do we care that much about being right in a system where we all end up being 50% wrong anyway??? How many times do you finish a bracket and go back and change your non-chalk picks because your boldness of 5 minutes ago just peed it's pants?

Here's the point: I think that these 3 things matter just as much as the jersey or the 5star guys you have on your team, or the conference you're in:

1) coaching
2) coaching
3) experience and coaching.

Which is why upsets all over the place are a given in march.

Which is also why I think you'll see us in the sweet 16.
 
Now's the time of year when all things are possible. And usually I have no problems cranking it up. The difference this year is that I didn't see them play for almost all of February; and when I finally went to a game after that lay-off I didn't see any growth in the team from the time I left. That's when we usually get it going. Still, if we can shoot consistently we can win some games.
 
There could be a new record for number of upsets this year given how bad the seeding was, but I still think they’ll mostly be contained to the first 3 rounds. I think the 1 and 2 seeds (minus MSU) are head and shoulders above the rest of the field and expect most will make the elite 8
 
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