I know the odds favor Gonzaga, but I gotta go with Baylor.
NCAA Champions tend to always have the following:
- A bucket-getting guard
- Jared Butler and MaCio Teague both average 15 ppg+.
- A balance between strong offense and defense
- KenPom 3rd in O, 1st in D.
- Mark Vital might be the best defensive player in the country who can legit guard 1-5.
- Davion Mitchell might be the best defensive guard in the country.
- A veteran team, especially in the backcourt
- Their starting lineup has two seniors, two juniors and a sophomore
- Their three starting guards consist of two juniors and a senior.
- An ability to produce offense in the half court when the game slows down
- Baylor's tempo is 152nd, so not a big adjustment needed in March.
- An X-Factor who isn't a leading scorer but has the ability to play up on any given night
- Both shooting guard Adam Flagler and Tyler Polley-clone Matthew Mayer average under 10 ppg, but also shoot 43% from 3.
Why I'm NOT picking Gonzaga:
- I like Timme, but I'm not crazy about their frontcourt depth. Watson is good, but isn't a big and neither Ballo/Gregg/Zakharov are reliable (all under 9 mpg).
- I love Suggs, but I prefer my backcourt more battle tested, both in experience and SOS.
- How will Gonzaga respond to slower paced games? (7th in tempo).
- Their defense is Gonzaga good, but not elite (12th overall).
Would like to hear your thoughts on actual basketball teams (not covid, please).