bballnut90
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All I have to say is wow.. that will be a hell of a schedule. I would be blown away if UCONN went through that gauntlet unblemished. I don't think it will happen though.
Nov 14 - @ Florida State WIN
Nov 17 - Baylor LOST
Nov 20 - LSU WIN
Nov 22 - Dayton WIN
Nov 29 - Chattanooga WIN
Dec 1 - DePaul WIN
Dec 4 - Texas (Jimmy V Classic in Uncasville) WIN
Dec 7 - @ Notre Dame LOST
Dec 11 - @ Kansas State WIN
Dec 19 - Ohio State TOSS UP
Dec 21 - @Nebraska WIN
Dec 29 - @ Maryland LOST
Feb 13 - South Carolina LOST
My analysis: I'll stick to the bigger games.
@Florida State: out of the gate will be tough for your relatively young team. The seminoles play an aggressive, almost SEC like brand of defense and they have Shakayla Thomas (who I still wishes came to SC), who takes a leap in her game every year. She's been working on an outside game, so be prepared for that. I still like UCONN here..
Baylor: This will likely be UCONN's first loss. This Baylor team is gargantuan.. and that front court of Brown and Mompremier will more than likely present all kinds of havoc for UCONN. Sure, some of you will say "big front courts never bothered us in the past"... well back then you had Stewart and Tuck, two phenomenal front court players in their own right. Who's going to stop them or even slow them down? Samuelson, eh? Butler, maybe. Collier, she'll definitely try. Gabby? Probably you're best bet. And that's not it.. when Brown and Mompremier get winded.. boom, Mulkey brings in the next wave of Cave and Lauren Cox. I haven't even mentioned All-American Nina Davis yet.. yeah, she's still there. The Baylor backcourt should be better as well, with Wallace and Jones... and Prince waiting on the wings. This team is stacked.
Texas: I think UCONN takes this. Texas is a talented team and they recruit well.. but a lot of those players have yet to really show what they're made of (cough, cough Ariel Atkins). If Texas finally decides to play up to the level of their talent then this could easily be a Longhorn win. Higgs and McCarty are two of my favorite guards in all of WCBB... but UCONN typically has the bodies to slow down elite guards (Nurse.. Nurse.. Nurse.. she's amazing). Texas is another tall team.. and I'm sure Joyner Holmes would love for this to be her coming out game.
@Notre Dame: I don't really think ND has a huge advantage over UCONN.. for one, they are very guard oriented. Turner will have to play a lot. This will be a game of guards and outside shooting.. if anybody takes over the post it will be UCONN (unless the Huskies have trouble defending dribble drives). This game is in South Bend and ND has a proven senior point guard... ND always moves the ball well and they will in this game. I can see ND's offense really getting in a groove this game.. but unless Turner decides to leave the paint, who's going to help Westbeld contain the outside/inside tandem of Samuelson and Collier? I still like Notre Dame here..
Ohio State: This is a home game for UCONN.. so I had a lot of trouble picking.. but for some reason I just think tOSU will be ready this year. Ohio State is another bigger team.. Mavunga, Hart and Cooper will provide a great front court.. but aside from just that, they've improved substantially at the guard position as well. Mitchell, who I'm sure is looking forward to "getting hers" versus UCONN, is still there.. but she's now complemented with Linnae Harper (being a former SEC player, I'm VERY familiar with her game, she's a tank) and Sierra Calhoun. Jensen Caretti is an instant impact freshmen guard that could present a matchup challenge for any team. In my heart, I picked tOSU to win.. but I'm really skeptical.. toss up.
@Maryland: This team presented a lot of challenges for UCONN last year. Well, in that span of time, they loss very little while UCONN loss A LOT.. Walker-Kimbrough and Jones are still there and they now have Ieshia Small. Maryland's guards are good and can score.. they'll continue to next year.. but Maryland also has great forwards that are strong and athletic but play like guards.. Fraser, Gillespie and Ellison. If Maryland decides to play big, those athletic forwards could be trouble with Jones inside, SWK on the wings and no Stewart or Tuck to effectively neutralize the attack.
South Carolina: This game comes later in the season.. when both teams should have an idea of who they are. Because I know my team and how they operate, I'm fairly confident that SC will take their lumps in the beginning.. but by the time this game rolls around they should be operating at an optimal level. If you're a husky fan, your biggest concern here should be neutralizing A'ja Wilson... at this point, I'm not convinced there's a player currently playing WCBB that can STOP her.. slow her down? Perhaps.. but shut her down? No. Stewart did a great job on Wilson last season.. but there were still times in the game where Wilson scored easily and used her body to bear down against Stewart. Wilson has the body and the strength that very few college players will be able to match up against, and last year Stewie was the only player that could. No Stewie to slow down A'ja? No Tuck to take Coates completely out of the game?.. and unlike previous years, SC's guard attack will not be a one woman show.. Cuevas, Davis, Gray and Cliney will provide a good scoring attack to open up the inside for Wilson and Coates.
Great synopsis. UCONN is very tough at home which bodes well for games against Baylor, Texas, Ohio State and SC.
Baylor on paper has the advantage, but if UCONN can score well from the perimeter it should be a good game. As much as UCONN lost a year ago, Baylor will also be still figuring out how all of their moving pieces fit together and they'll be without Niya Johnson who was so heavily relied upon last year. I think it'll be a tight UCONN win or a Baylor win by 8-15 points.
Texas--can't really take them seriously as a title threat/capable of beating UCONN until they start to put a better product out on the court. Talent wise, they are stacked, and Holmes is the best recruit that Aston has landed in her time at Texas. They have really solid guards and playmakers, but they just need better cohesion. I think UCONN wins this one. If UCONN is a pretty polished team entering this year, it may be a blowout.
Ohio State--Ohio State is loaded but they can be very streaky. They were very ineffective vs the Huskies a year ago and got beat badly by Tennessee in the Sweet 16. They also had great moments beating Maryland, so a lot will depend on which team comes out. Coaching gives the edge to UCONN, but I agree that it's a toss up.
South Carolina--this is an interesting one. A lot will depend on how improved Cuevas is and if UCONN can slow down SC's bigs. The last 2 years they dominated the inside game against the Gamecocks and it led to 2 easy wins. Even without a proven post and without a ton of height, I think Geno will find a way to neutralize Coates. If Geno can neutralize Wilson, big advantage Connecticut. If they cannot contain her, SC wins. Also worth noting--this game is in February and UCONN will likely be a LOT better in Feb than November. The same can be said about SC, but I think the improvements UCONN will make from Nov-Feb will be greater than the improvements SC makes.