uconnphil2016
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- Joined
- Jun 19, 2015
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We can all agree that the 2018 can't finish enough, and I've begun wondering about 2019. This will be the real beginning of Edsall having to take accountability in some form for what's happening on the field, and I'm not sure it's going to look any better than what we've experienced this year. Our OOC schedule includes Wagner, Illinois, Indiana, and UMass. At best, we will win 2 of those contests.
In conference, we play ECU, Houston, Navy, USF, Cincy, Temple, Tulane, UCF. There's no chance of beating Cincy or UCF, and probably no chance at beating Temple either. USF looks like they could be headed towards being pretty bad, but they'll still probably handle us. We could have a shot against Navy, and maybe ECU.
I'd argue that our absolute ceiling for next year is 4 wins. We return almost the entirety of the worst defense in America, lose our best player by a mile in Pindell and don't have someone behind him who we're sure can handle the job. So, if we end up winning 3 games (and I think that's a high estimate) that'll probably put Randy at 7-28 through three seasons assuming we don't win another game this year (I think that's a safe assumption). At best, Randy ends up at 8-27 through three years. At worst, he's sitting at 5-30 or so.
There's been a lot of talk about whether Randy deserves to come back for 2019--I think that's a foregone conclusion. The better question is about 2020. Next year is not going to be pretty, and Randy will have had three dreadful seasons with no signs of meaningful improvement. Does he get a fourth year to turn around what's been branded as a massive rebuild that he claims will take five years?
I think that's a huge question, and a question that will probably hold in the balance whether or not we continue to play FBS football. If the rebuild works (and by works I mean gets us to a place where we can be 6-6 most of the time), then we're safe. If it doesn't, we will have spent a decade as one of the worst teams in CFB and will be looking at another coach to come in with a 3-4 year rebuild. In other words, we'll be toast. So, what do you guys think is the move if Randy wins 4 or less in 2019?
In conference, we play ECU, Houston, Navy, USF, Cincy, Temple, Tulane, UCF. There's no chance of beating Cincy or UCF, and probably no chance at beating Temple either. USF looks like they could be headed towards being pretty bad, but they'll still probably handle us. We could have a shot against Navy, and maybe ECU.
I'd argue that our absolute ceiling for next year is 4 wins. We return almost the entirety of the worst defense in America, lose our best player by a mile in Pindell and don't have someone behind him who we're sure can handle the job. So, if we end up winning 3 games (and I think that's a high estimate) that'll probably put Randy at 7-28 through three seasons assuming we don't win another game this year (I think that's a safe assumption). At best, Randy ends up at 8-27 through three years. At worst, he's sitting at 5-30 or so.
There's been a lot of talk about whether Randy deserves to come back for 2019--I think that's a foregone conclusion. The better question is about 2020. Next year is not going to be pretty, and Randy will have had three dreadful seasons with no signs of meaningful improvement. Does he get a fourth year to turn around what's been branded as a massive rebuild that he claims will take five years?
I think that's a huge question, and a question that will probably hold in the balance whether or not we continue to play FBS football. If the rebuild works (and by works I mean gets us to a place where we can be 6-6 most of the time), then we're safe. If it doesn't, we will have spent a decade as one of the worst teams in CFB and will be looking at another coach to come in with a 3-4 year rebuild. In other words, we'll be toast. So, what do you guys think is the move if Randy wins 4 or less in 2019?
