What seed do you see us eventually being in March? | The Boneyard

What seed do you see us eventually being in March?

What seed do you see us eventually being in March?

  • 1

    Votes: 2 0.9%

  • 2

    Votes: 1 0.4%

  • 3

    Votes: 16 7.0%

  • 4

    Votes: 78 34.4%

  • 5

    Votes: 76 33.5%

  • 6

    Votes: 36 15.9%

  • 7

    Votes: 13 5.7%

  • 8

    Votes: 2 0.9%

  • 9

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • 10

    Votes: 3 1.3%
  • Total voters
    227
  • Poll closed .
Ratso

Ratso

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It’s still early but let’s see who gets it right. and there’s no chance we’re past a 10 seed
 
Ratso said:
It’s still early but let’s see who gets it right. and there’s no chance we’re past a 10 seed
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I think this team is highly regarded nationally and the Auburn win is huge for us. Unless this team falls flat on its face i see us no worse than a 5. If we get hot and win the BET i could easily see a 3 or possibly a 2. What do i expect? Id say we end up with a 5.
 
I don't think I ever remember us being a 4 seed. Can anyone remember for me?
 
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That range of 4-6 seems most likely. Did some quick math and UConn should have 23-24 wins heading into BET. PC makeup could change that. No bad losses yet.

Some of this depends on everyone else too. No team seems immune from upsets.
 
went with a 4 because i really don't want to be a 5 seed. those 5-12 match-ups are always so hairy.
 
nadavtheman said:
We were a four seed and lost to San Diego in the first first round. JC's only first round loss I think. It was the game AJ Price got hurt. My memory could be a little fuzzy.
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I remember that game. Unfortunately. Thanks for the reminder. I asked for it
 
TheChamps990411 said:
I think this team is highly regarded nationally and the Auburn win is huge for us. Unless this team falls flat on its face i see us no worse than a 5. If we get hot and win the BET i could easily see a 3 or possibly a 2. What do i expect? Id say we end up with a 5.
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ESPN’s college game day had a “love it, like it, leave it” segment this morning. We were the first team that came up. Seth Greenberg said he “likes” us and was very close to love. Talked about how Adama is a mountain of a man, and of course, heavy mention of the Auburn win. Said we’re a dark horse to win the BE. All this to say, we are VERY well regarded nationally for the Auburn win. If this team hits a stride and plays towards its ceiling, a 3-4 is possible.
 
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Jaydumo20 said:
I remember that game. Unfortunately. Thanks for the reminder. I asked for it
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Yeah fun day until the injury. We had 8 guys play golf at Tallwood that day all with the intent of watching a W at The Diamond in Glastonbury after. It was a tough one to watch even with a few cold ones to soften the blow. Was in interesting team with AJ not as much without.
 
If we get 23-24 wins, we will probably end up as a 4 seed.
If we get 25-26 wins, we will probably end up as a 3 seed.
27 wins likely means 2 seed; 28+ means a 1 seed.
 
The Villanova game yesterday was a perfect example of the potential to lose any game in the NBE. We too often have long stretches where we play like a 16 seed so I ended up with a 6 seed.
 
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We go as far as RJ Cole can take us but where we land depends a lot on the BE Tournament results. It gives the committee ammo up or down. If RJ stays healthy and we get to the semis I'd guess we might be a 4-5. Go out early and it's 8-10. Big difference.
 
Jaydumo20 said:
That was the Drummond/Lamb team correct? That is the most perplexing loss looking back on it. Royce White really emerged in that one. I was all geared up for a W on that one.
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Unfortunately it wasn't very perplexing, it pretty much encapsulated our season.
 
Jimdish255 said:
We go as far as RJ Cole can take us but where we land depends a lot on the BE Tournament results. It gives the committee ammo up or down. If RJ stays healthy and we get to the semis I'd guess we might be a 4-5. Go out early and it's 8-10. Big difference.
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The Big East tournament performance is not going to be the difference between being a top 15 team and a top 40 team in the field. That's crazy talk
 
We've been pretty consistently high teens to low 20s in our advanced metrics (#15 NET currently) and mostly also true for polling, which would put us in that 4-7 range. But right now our resume is actually a little top heavy, with that huge Auburn win and then not a ton of really strong meat elsewhere (@Marq only other Q1 win, only 2 Q2 wins). We're 29th in WAB, which would be an 8 seed. We're going to need some top team home wins and more road BE wins, and that's where this 9 game straight Q1 (4)+Q2 (5) stretch upcoming after tomorrow's game comes into play.

Need to win more games than we lose in that stretch to cement ourselves in that 4-7 range. 5 wins probably keeps us around the 6 line, while 6 wins moves us closer to 4. 6 wins means we win at least 1 of the 4 Nova and X games and completely take care of business in the others. If we sweep home (incl X and Nova) and win Johnnies and Depaul on the road that's 7, and then we start talking top 4 seedline.
 
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auror said:
We've been pretty consistently high teens to low 20s in our advanced metrics (#15 NET currently) and mostly also true for polling, which would put us in that 4-7 range. But right now our resume is actually a little top heavy, with that huge Auburn win and then not a ton of really strong meat elsewhere (@Marq only other Q1 win, only 2 Q2 wins). We're 29th in WAB, which would be an 8 seed. We're going to need some top team home wins and more road BE wins, and that's where this 9 game straight Q1 (4)+Q2 (5) stretch upcoming after tomorrow's game comes into play.

Need to win more games than we lose in that stretch to cement ourselves in that 4-7 range. 5 wins probably keeps us around the 6 line, while 6 wins moves us closer to 4. 6 wins means we win at least 1 of the 4 Nova and X games and completely take care of business in the others. If we sweep home (incl X and Nova) and win Johnnies and Depaul on the road that's 7, and then we start talking top 4 seedline.
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Yeah, but if we win the next 13 games, we're likely a 1-seed!
 
Rico444 said:
Unfortunately it wasn't very perplexing, it pretty much encapsulated our season.
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I think the first possession Drummond bricked a jumper, then Royce White took it coast to coast and dunked it over Oriakhi and/or Roscoe Smith.

The game was pretty much over at that point.
 
elmcityboy said:
went with a 4 because i really don't want to be a 5 seed. those 5-12 match-ups are always so hairy.
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of course but 5 is still better than a 6 or 7. those 3 pairings are about even in the first round but we'd obviously rather play a 4 in the second round as opposed to a 2 or 3.

There have been:
30 upsets by 13-seeds since the NCAA tournament field expanded in 1985
51 upsets by 12-seeds
52 upsets by 11-seeds
55 upsets by 10-seeds
 
I voted 5 but I am optimistic today. We need to avoided the 7-10 seed range. Too many upsets in those ranges.
 
I propose we rerun this poll after the @Villanova game, especially if we win it. If we're 17-4 at that point, I'd love to see the results.
 
2014 notwithstanding, you need to be a top 3 seed to have realistic championship expectations. otherwise the sweet 16 should be the goal.

Odds to make the championship game by seed​

No. 1: 50.0 (35 of 70)
No. 2: 17.1 (12 of 70)
No. 3: 15.6 (11 of 70)
No. 4: 4.3 (3 of 70)
No. 5: 4.3 (3 of 70)

58 of the 70 championship game participants were seeded No. 3 or higher- 82.9%

www.sportingnews.com

NCAA Tournament 2021 bracket tips: How to play odds when picking Final Four, national champs | Sporting News

www.sportingnews.com www.sportingnews.com
 
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